polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-09

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
133558 133558 2008R Alabama 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.139262 1.0591 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133559 133559 2008R Arizona 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.922819 1.683923 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133560 133560 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.4522375 0.1328914 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133561 133561 2008R California 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.404701 1.353753 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133562 133562 2008R Colorado 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.974982 1.849826 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133563 133563 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.531303 1.220479 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133564 133564 2008R Florida 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.8576344 0.7928196 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-29
133565 133565 2008R Georgia 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 2.574031 2.74911 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133566 133566 2008R Illinois 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 2.98138 2.936128 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133567 133567 2008R Iowa 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 2.860231 2.845768 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-03
133568 133568 2008R Maine 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.4522375 0.0763156 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-01
133569 133569 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.111219 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133570 133570 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.4522375 0.0763156 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133571 133571 2008R Michigan 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.353617 1.311964 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-15
133572 133572 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.8829442 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133573 133573 2008R Missouri 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 5.73636 5.622045 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133574 133574 2008R National 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.390959   12/10/19 18:40 one day test  
133575 133575 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.149396 1.170864 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133576 133576 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.30213 1.24103 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-08
133577 133577 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.5603148 0.4577863 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133578 133578 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 4.684631 4.516732 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-06-03
133579 133579 2008R New York 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.9800808 0.8446921 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133580 133580 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.3056415 0.2088387 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-06
133581 133581 2008R Ohio 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.019438 0.9735982 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133582 133582 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 2.330456 2.15599 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133583 133583 2008R Oregon 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.209903 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-20
133584 133584 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.47849 1.424051 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-04-22
133585 133585 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.284234 1.273204 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-01-19
133586 133586 2008R Texas 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.357154 1.225771 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133587 133587 2008R Utah 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.062718 0.7281536 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-05
133588 133588 2008R Vermont 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.514692 1.086969 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-03-04
133589 133589 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 1.160414 1.164049 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-02-12
133590 133590 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-09 Sam Brownback 83 0.4522375 0.3080231 12/10/19 18:40 one day test 2008-05-13
133591 133591 2008R Alabama 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.8109162 0.7676666 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133592 133592 2008R Arizona 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.9405723 0.8870113 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133593 133593 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.427295 1.582244 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133594 133594 2008R California 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 2.860057 2.777946 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133595 133595 2008R Colorado 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 5.709038 5.720468 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133596 133596 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6262326 0.576576 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133597 133597 2008R Florida 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7289577 0.718241 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-29
133598 133598 2008R Georgia 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3753463 0.3426629 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133599 133599 2008R Illinois 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.427295 1.326207 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133600 133600 2008R Iowa 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 3.01973 3.029171 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-03
133601 133601 2008R Maine 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3753463 0.3841392 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-01
133602 133602 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.082121 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133603 133603 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3753463 0.3841392 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133604 133604 2008R Michigan 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7661586 0.787907 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-15
133605 133605 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.02935 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133606 133606 2008R National 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.107108   12/10/19 18:39 one day test  
133607 133607 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.331836 1.190662 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133608 133608 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.622869 1.641762 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-08
133609 133609 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4775708 0.4866762 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133610 133610 2008R New York 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6195974 0.6161827 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133611 133611 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0130341 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133612 133612 2008R Ohio 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7282429 0.721426 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133613 133613 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2507394 0.2240565 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133614 133614 2008R Oregon 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 0.6294916 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-20
133615 133615 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2609596 0.2543966 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-04-22
133616 133616 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.178402 1.18164 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133617 133617 2008R Texas 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.427295 1.582244 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133618 133618 2008R Utah 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2636049 0.287252 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133619 133619 2008R Vermont 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.427295 1.437291 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133620 133620 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 1.11399 1.119072 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133621 133621 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-09 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3753463 0.4239646 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-13
133622 133622 2008R Alabama 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 27.24636 29.42068 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133623 133623 2008R Arizona 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 13.51645 15.21987 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133624 133624 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 5.643747 14.78093 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133625 133625 2008R California 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 15.80591 16.79203 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133626 133626 2008R Colorado 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 21.15075 22.80374 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133627 133627 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 3.215081 10.51832 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133628 133628 2008R Florida 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 19.93594 19.51937 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-29
133629 133629 2008R Georgia 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 28.29321 29.46706 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133630 133630 2008R Idaho 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 17.713 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-27
133631 133631 2008R Illinois 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 22.16942 21.57354 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133632 133632 2008R Iowa 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 15.21185 15.02113 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-03
133633 133633 2008R Maine 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 17.60029 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-01
133634 133634 2008R Maryland 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 13.10452 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133635 133635 2008R Michigan 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 13.36769 14.57624 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-15
133636 133636 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 14.88611 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133637 133637 2008R Missouri 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 23.19243 24.27949 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133638 133638 2008R National 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 20.41719   12/10/19 18:39 one day test  
133639 133639 2008R Nevada 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 15.53375 19.83832 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133640 133640 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 9.316143 8.722613 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-08
133641 133641 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 9.259641 11.52421 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133642 133642 2008R New York 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 8.579325 10.79713 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133643 133643 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 22.16829 25.48662 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133644 133644 2008R Ohio 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 14.34263 16.75747 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133645 133645 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 13.51679 23.59091 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133646 133646 2008R Oregon 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 12.41833 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-20
133647 133647 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 10.82959 13.18595 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-04-22
133648 133648 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 19.39149 19.24954 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133649 133649 2008R Texas 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 18.88642 26.69185 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133650 133650 2008R Utah 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 3.02243 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133651 133651 2008R Virginia 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 20.5544 20.83038 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133652 133652 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-09 Fred Thompson 57 6.687181 15.3772 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-13
133653 133653 2008R Iowa 2007-10-09 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-03
133654 133654 2008R Utah 2007-10-09 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133655 133655 2008R Alabama 2007-10-09 Duncan Hunter 53 1.015714 1.265626 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133656 133656 2008R Arizona 2007-10-09 Duncan Hunter 53 1.425786 1.688984 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133657 133657 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-09 Duncan Hunter 53 0.222188 0.5456437 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);