polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

570 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-10

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Suggested facets: contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
133856 133856 2008R Alabama 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.133903 1.05383 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133857 133857 2008R Arizona 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 2.592451 2.493269 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133858 133858 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.4443276 0.1253603 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133859 133859 2008R California 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.399708 1.348737 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133860 133860 2008R Colorado 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.966752 1.841736 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133861 133861 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.525599 1.214985 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133862 133862 2008R Florida 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.8544865 0.7908821 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-29
133863 133863 2008R Georgia 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 2.56402 2.738992 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133864 133864 2008R Illinois 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 2.971039 2.92588 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133865 133865 2008R Iowa 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 2.853124 2.840279 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-03
133866 133866 2008R Maine 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.4443276 0.0688441 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-01
133867 133867 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.111219 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133868 133868 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.4443276 0.0688441 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133869 133869 2008R Michigan 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.346589 1.306393 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-15
133870 133870 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.8829442 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133871 133871 2008R Missouri 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 5.723561 5.609412 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133872 133872 2008R National 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.389905   12/10/19 18:39 one day test  
133873 133873 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 2.963397 2.972938 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133874 133874 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.228819 1.193472 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-08
133875 133875 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.5580781 0.4555305 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133876 133876 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 4.672719 4.505031 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-06-03
133877 133877 2008R New York 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.9779111 0.8422877 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133878 133878 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.3001676 0.2034715 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133879 133879 2008R Ohio 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.017086 0.9711791 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133880 133880 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 2.326787 2.152482 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133881 133881 2008R Oregon 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.209903 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-20
133882 133882 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.478649 1.424398 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-04-22
133883 133883 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.278255 1.268505 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133884 133884 2008R Texas 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.353677 1.222384 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133885 133885 2008R Utah 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.056327 0.7221183 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133886 133886 2008R Vermont 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.505703 1.078456 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133887 133887 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 1.158529 1.162048 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133888 133888 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-10 Sam Brownback 83 0.4443276 0.3003082 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-13
133889 133889 2008R Alabama 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.804134 0.760739 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133890 133890 2008R Arizona 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.192238 1.156119 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133891 133891 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.414688 1.569138 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133892 133892 2008R California 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 2.853282 2.771069 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133893 133893 2008R Colorado 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 5.693684 5.70477 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133894 133894 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6207016 0.5709167 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133895 133895 2008R Florida 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7239575 0.7140509 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-29
133896 133896 2008R Georgia 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3642587 0.3313805 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133897 133897 2008R Illinois 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.414688 1.313469 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133898 133898 2008R Iowa 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 3.015421 3.02473 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-03
133899 133899 2008R Maine 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3642587 0.372794 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-01
133900 133900 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.082121 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133901 133901 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3642587 0.372794 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133902 133902 2008R Michigan 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7576043 0.7791321 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-15
133903 133903 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.02935 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133904 133904 2008R National 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.102091   12/10/19 18:39 one day test  
133905 133905 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364871 1.295303 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133906 133906 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.623918 1.621319 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-08
133907 133907 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4759419 0.4849912 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133908 133908 2008R New York 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6212869 0.6179122 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133909 133909 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0130341 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133910 133910 2008R Ohio 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7282429 0.721426 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133911 133911 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2431532 0.2162741 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133912 133912 2008R Oregon 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 0.6294916 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-20
133913 133913 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2609596 0.2543966 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-04-22
133914 133914 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.174759 1.177896 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133915 133915 2008R Texas 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.414688 1.569138 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133916 133916 2008R Utah 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2556751 0.2791086 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133917 133917 2008R Vermont 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.414688 1.424393 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133918 133918 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 1.110343 1.115305 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133919 133919 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-10 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3642587 0.4125593 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-13
133920 133920 2008R Alabama 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 27.25624 28.98025 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133921 133921 2008R Arizona 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 14.94471 15.49257 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133922 133922 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 5.659851 14.49524 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133923 133923 2008R California 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 15.80609 16.47315 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133924 133924 2008R Colorado 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 21.11487 22.44521 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133925 133925 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 3.220776 10.24507 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133926 133926 2008R Florida 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 19.89951 19.32923 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-29
133927 133927 2008R Georgia 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 28.32515 29.08347 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133928 133928 2008R Idaho 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 17.32437 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-27
133929 133929 2008R Illinois 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 22.19838 21.23511 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133930 133930 2008R Iowa 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 15.19424 14.85399 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-03
133931 133931 2008R Maine 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 17.21277 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-01
133932 133932 2008R Maryland 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 12.7674 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133933 133933 2008R Michigan 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 13.325 14.38188 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-15
133934 133934 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 14.59454 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133935 133935 2008R Missouri 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 23.22195 23.92377 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133936 133936 2008R National 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 19.97808   12/10/19 18:39 one day test  
133937 133937 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 12.56776 14.60076 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133938 133938 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 9.105181 8.641281 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-08
133939 133939 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 9.2163 11.26241 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133940 133940 2008R New York 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 8.588551 10.56628 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133941 133941 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 22.13715 25.07557 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-06
133942 133942 2008R Ohio 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 14.33754 16.49334 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133943 133943 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 13.51763 23.15159 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133944 133944 2008R Oregon 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 12.08758 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-20
133945 133945 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 10.82318 12.97027 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-04-22
133946 133946 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 19.38576 19.02375 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133947 133947 2008R Texas 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 18.89415 26.25403 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-03-04
133948 133948 2008R Utah 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 2.949056 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133949 133949 2008R Virginia 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 20.55047 20.88387 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-12
133950 133950 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-10 Fred Thompson 57 6.704356 15.08631 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-05-13
133951 133951 2008R Arizona 2007-10-10 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133952 133952 2008R Iowa 2007-10-10 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-03
133953 133953 2008R Nevada 2007-10-10 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-01-19
133954 133954 2008R Utah 2007-10-10 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05
133955 133955 2008R Alabama 2007-10-10 Duncan Hunter 53 1.019119 1.270394 12/10/19 18:39 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);