polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

Table actions

files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

570 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-11

✎ View and edit SQL

This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)

Suggested facets: contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
134156 134156 2008R Alabama 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.141049 1.133286 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134157 134157 2008R Arizona 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 2.60656 2.527953 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134158 134158 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.4451801 0.188371 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134159 134159 2008R California 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.432123 1.456063 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134160 134160 2008R Colorado 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 2.030637 1.980227 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134161 134161 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.526661 1.288296 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134162 134162 2008R Florida 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.8553417 0.7989275 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-29
134163 134163 2008R Georgia 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 2.565099 2.823667 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134164 134164 2008R Illinois 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 2.972153 3.011582 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134165 134165 2008R Iowa 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 2.853908 2.81759 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134166 134166 2008R Maine 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.4451801 0.1313562 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-01
134167 134167 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.183101 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134168 134168 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.4451801 0.1313562 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134169 134169 2008R Michigan 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.328276 1.313575 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-15
134170 134170 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.9068485 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134171 134171 2008R Missouri 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 5.72494 5.715015 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134172 134172 2008R National 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.503037   12/10/19 18:38 one day test  
134173 134173 2008R Nevada 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 2.81257 2.85405 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134174 134174 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.229313 1.174853 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-08
134175 134175 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.6284255 0.5685779 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134176 134176 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 4.674003 4.602856 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-06-03
134177 134177 2008R New York 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.9529752 0.8492628 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134178 134178 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.3007975 0.2408392 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134179 134179 2008R Ohio 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.005978 1.013123 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134180 134180 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 2.327386 2.231796 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134181 134181 2008R Oregon 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.282043 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-20
134182 134182 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.50535 1.500951 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-04-22
134183 134183 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.278987 1.26671 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134184 134184 2008R Texas 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.354329 1.294605 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134185 134185 2008R Utah 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.057052 0.7569363 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134186 134186 2008R Vermont 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.506672 1.149663 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134187 134187 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 1.169906 1.163133 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134188 134188 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-11 Sam Brownback 83 0.4451801 0.3648536 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-13
134189 134189 2008R Alabama 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.8104921 1.036391 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134190 134190 2008R Arizona 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.171639 1.32299 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134191 134191 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.417355 1.86722 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134192 134192 2008R California 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 2.872455 3.119238 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134193 134193 2008R Colorado 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 5.72344 6.137552 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134194 134194 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6218715 0.8343606 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134195 134195 2008R Florida 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6811396 0.8792796 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-29
134196 134196 2008R Georgia 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3666039 0.5882492 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134197 134197 2008R Illinois 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.417355 1.603242 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134198 134198 2008R Iowa 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 3.018562 3.249484 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134199 134199 2008R Maine 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3666039 0.631067 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-01
134200 134200 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3291622 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134201 134201 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3666039 0.631067 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134202 134202 2008R Michigan 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7609172 1.055225 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-15
134203 134203 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.299209 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134204 134204 2008R National 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.37328   12/10/19 18:38 one day test  
134205 134205 2008R Nevada 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.363572 1.474684 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134206 134206 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.625948 1.77394 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-08
134207 134207 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4728886 0.7035252 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134208 134208 2008R New York 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.605557 0.82586 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134209 134209 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.165727 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134210 134210 2008R Ohio 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7169428 0.9348318 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134211 134211 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2448241 0.4685209 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134212 134212 2008R Oregon 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 0.8941981 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-20
134213 134213 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2671275 0.4687492 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-04-22
134214 134214 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.165112 1.412443 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134215 134215 2008R Texas 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.417355 1.86722 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134216 134216 2008R Utah 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2574048 0.4912306 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134217 134217 2008R Vermont 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.417355 1.717783 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134218 134218 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 1.122323 1.21568 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134219 134219 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-11 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3666039 0.6721948 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-13
134220 134220 2008R Alabama 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 27.24274 27.06254 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134221 134221 2008R Arizona 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 14.76667 14.42053 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134222 134222 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 5.663732 13.08151 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134223 134223 2008R California 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 15.74947 15.05058 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134224 134224 2008R Colorado 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 20.8257 20.604 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134225 134225 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 3.222149 9.051073 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134226 134226 2008R Florida 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 19.85239 17.92126 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-29
134227 134227 2008R Georgia 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 28.33283 27.16221 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134228 134228 2008R Idaho 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.78435 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-27
134229 134229 2008R Illinois 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 22.20535 19.54993 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134230 134230 2008R Iowa 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 15.1659 13.54277 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134231 134231 2008R Maine 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 15.67735 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-01
134232 134232 2008R Maryland 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.4269 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134233 134233 2008R Michigan 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 13.20044 13.19662 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-15
134234 134234 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 13.17501 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134235 134235 2008R Missouri 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 23.22905 22.14927 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134236 134236 2008R National 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 18.52469   12/10/19 18:38 one day test  
134237 134237 2008R Nevada 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 12.77083 13.90065 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134238 134238 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 9.082432 7.747053 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-08
134239 134239 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 8.860324 10.05605 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134240 134240 2008R New York 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 8.661134 9.652515 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134241 134241 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 21.88013 23.20304 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134242 134242 2008R Ohio 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 14.30636 15.16597 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134243 134243 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 13.51954 21.39874 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134244 134244 2008R Oregon 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.78436 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-20
134245 134245 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 10.78369 11.81394 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-04-22
134246 134246 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 19.34864 17.5089 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134247 134247 2008R Texas 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 18.89955 24.41473 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134248 134248 2008R Utah 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 2.241067 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134249 134249 2008R Virginia 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 20.56794 20.15639 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134250 134250 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-11 Fred Thompson 57 6.708495 13.64602 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-13
134251 134251 2008R Arizona 2007-10-11 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134252 134252 2008R Iowa 2007-10-11 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134253 134253 2008R Nevada 2007-10-11 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134254 134254 2008R Utah 2007-10-11 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134255 134255 2008R Alabama 2007-10-11 Duncan Hunter 53 1.016186 1.100732 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05

Next page

Advanced export

JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited

CSV options: 

CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);