polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

570 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-12

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
134456 134456 2008R Alabama 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.129547 1.121814 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134457 134457 2008R Arizona 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 2.584042 2.505468 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134458 134458 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.4273762 0.171085 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134459 134459 2008R California 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.421453 1.445215 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134460 134460 2008R Colorado 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 2.011802 1.96137 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134461 134461 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.514356 1.276301 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134462 134462 2008R Florida 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.864868 0.808486 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-29
134463 134463 2008R Georgia 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 2.542561 2.800462 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134464 134464 2008R Illinois 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 2.948872 2.988081 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134465 134465 2008R Iowa 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 2.847286 2.810944 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134466 134466 2008R Maine 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.4273762 0.1142068 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-01
134467 134467 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.183101 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134468 134468 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.4273762 0.1142068 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134469 134469 2008R Michigan 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.320266 1.305514 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-15
134470 134470 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.9068485 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134471 134471 2008R Missouri 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 5.696121 5.686065 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134472 134472 2008R National 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.49748   12/10/19 18:38 one day test  
134473 134473 2008R Nevada 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 2.349844 2.361764 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134474 134474 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.224872 1.170415 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-08
134475 134475 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.6238993 0.5640293 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134476 134476 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 4.647182 4.576035 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-06-03
134477 134477 2008R New York 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.9477904 0.8440608 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134478 134478 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.2886502 0.2287154 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134479 134479 2008R Ohio 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.001663 1.008711 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134480 134480 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 2.319827 2.224526 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134481 134481 2008R Oregon 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.282043 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-20
134482 134482 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.497669 1.493202 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-04-22
134483 134483 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.27581 1.263602 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134484 134484 2008R Texas 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.347487 1.28792 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134485 134485 2008R Utah 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.042826 0.743268 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134486 134486 2008R Vermont 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.486439 1.130131 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134487 134487 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 1.165564 1.158754 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134488 134488 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-12 Sam Brownback 83 0.4273762 0.347147 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-13
134489 134489 2008R Alabama 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.8067226 1.032141 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134490 134490 2008R Arizona 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.164375 1.314932 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134491 134491 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.40988 1.858667 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134492 134492 2008R California 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 2.868917 3.115279 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134493 134493 2008R Colorado 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 5.714288 6.127316 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134494 134494 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6185918 0.8306666 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134495 134495 2008R Florida 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6871621 0.8861538 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-29
134496 134496 2008R Georgia 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3600298 0.5808721 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134497 134497 2008R Illinois 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.40988 1.594926 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134498 134498 2008R Iowa 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 3.015692 3.246282 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134499 134499 2008R Maine 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3600298 0.6236493 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-01
134500 134500 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3291622 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134501 134501 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3600298 0.6236493 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134502 134502 2008R Michigan 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7560428 1.049712 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-15
134503 134503 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.299209 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134504 134504 2008R National 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.371223   12/10/19 18:38 one day test  
134505 134505 2008R Nevada 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.09199 1.169754 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134506 134506 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.622372 1.769975 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-08
134507 134507 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.471954 0.7024558 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134508 134508 2008R New York 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6042687 0.8243982 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134509 134509 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.165727 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134510 134510 2008R Ohio 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7169428 0.9348318 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134511 134511 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2404063 0.4635209 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134512 134512 2008R Oregon 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 0.8941981 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-20
134513 134513 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2671275 0.4687492 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-04-22
134514 134514 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.162132 1.409114 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134515 134515 2008R Texas 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.40988 1.858667 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134516 134516 2008R Utah 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2527679 0.4859825 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134517 134517 2008R Vermont 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.40988 1.709364 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134518 134518 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 1.120691 1.213929 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134519 134519 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-12 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3600298 0.6647382 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-13
134520 134520 2008R Alabama 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 27.28397 26.75793 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134521 134521 2008R Arizona 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 14.79726 14.24304 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134522 134522 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 5.711424 12.89383 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134523 134523 2008R California 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 15.75857 14.81444 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134524 134524 2008R Colorado 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 20.84329 20.34573 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134525 134525 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 3.239027 8.86621 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134526 134526 2008R Florida 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 19.82691 17.63923 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-29
134527 134527 2008R Georgia 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 28.42727 26.90397 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134528 134528 2008R Idaho 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.51064 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-27
134529 134529 2008R Illinois 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 22.29102 19.32487 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134530 134530 2008R Iowa 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 15.187 13.30371 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134531 134531 2008R Maine 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 15.40449 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-01
134532 134532 2008R Maryland 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.19075 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134533 134533 2008R Michigan 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 13.20847 12.984 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-15
134534 134534 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 12.92387 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134535 134535 2008R Missouri 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 23.31635 21.91167 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134536 134536 2008R National 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 18.15863   12/10/19 18:38 one day test  
134537 134537 2008R Nevada 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 14.17821 14.85489 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134538 134538 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 9.09653 7.577017 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-08
134539 134539 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 8.801571 9.854726 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134540 134540 2008R New York 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 8.685749 9.516652 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134541 134541 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 21.81146 22.86055 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-06
134542 134542 2008R Ohio 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 14.3023 14.92953 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134543 134543 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 13.51961 21.08504 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134544 134544 2008R Oregon 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.55398 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-20
134545 134545 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 10.77852 11.60716 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-04-22
134546 134546 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 19.37042 17.24265 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134547 134547 2008R Texas 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 18.91754 24.1056 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-03-04
134548 134548 2008R Utah 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 2.103997 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134549 134549 2008R Virginia 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 20.58087 19.84065 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-12
134550 134550 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-12 Fred Thompson 57 6.759356 13.4547 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-05-13
134551 134551 2008R Arizona 2007-10-12 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134552 134552 2008R Iowa 2007-10-12 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-03
134553 134553 2008R Nevada 2007-10-12 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-01-19
134554 134554 2008R Utah 2007-10-12 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05
134555 134555 2008R Alabama 2007-10-12 Duncan Hunter 53 1.020019 1.104528 12/10/19 18:38 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);