polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

571 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-13

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
134756 134756 2008R Alabama 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.129212 0.9832114 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134757 134757 2008R Arizona 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 2.588215 2.419981 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134758 134758 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.0496668 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134759 134759 2008R California 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.421236 1.301617 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134760 134760 2008R Colorado 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 2.020318 1.822036 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134761 134761 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.514277 1.135473 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134762 134762 2008R Florida 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.8664685 0.7310669 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-29
134763 134763 2008R Georgia 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 2.541668 2.637298 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134764 134764 2008R Illinois 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 2.947949 2.8228 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134765 134765 2008R Iowa 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 2.847383 2.711521 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
134766 134766 2008R Maine 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.0 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-01
134767 134767 2008R Maryland 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.041941 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
134768 134768 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.0 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134769 134769 2008R Michigan 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.310554 1.178409 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-15
134770 134770 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.7826163 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134771 134771 2008R Missouri 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 5.694979 5.482285 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134772 134772 2008R National 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.483615   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
134773 134773 2008R Nevada 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 2.318409 2.284609 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
134774 134774 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.225032 1.098767 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-08
134775 134775 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.6664723 0.4825284 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134776 134776 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 4.646119 4.387309 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-06-03
134777 134777 2008R New York 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.929495 0.6954018 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134778 134778 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.2882069 0.1122736 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134779 134779 2008R Ohio 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.9967523 0.8897744 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134780 134780 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 2.319671 2.06978 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134781 134781 2008R Oregon 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.139788 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-20
134782 134782 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.509609 1.378984 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-04-22
134783 134783 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.277137 1.16278 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
134784 134784 2008R Texas 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.347424 1.147223 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134785 134785 2008R Utah 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.042297 0.6290271 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134786 134786 2008R Vermont 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.485637 0.992878 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134787 134787 2008R Virginia 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 1.165715 1.148844 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
134788 134788 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-13 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.2227645 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-13
134789 134789 2008R Alabama 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7932647 1.225606 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134790 134790 2008R Arizona 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.124276 1.412853 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134791 134791 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 2.055357 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134792 134792 2008R California 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 2.8566 3.358527 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134793 134793 2008R Colorado 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 5.712326 6.435891 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134794 134794 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6066682 1.019501 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134795 134795 2008R Florida 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6374089 1.005287 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-29
134796 134796 2008R Georgia 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.7505918 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134797 134797 2008R Illinois 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 1.786192 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134798 134798 2008R Iowa 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 3.085349 3.540168 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
134799 134799 2008R Maine 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.7943334 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-01
134800 134800 2008R Maryland 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.5197583 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
134801 134801 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.7943334 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134802 134802 2008R Michigan 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7384782 1.240335 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-15
134803 134803 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.525316 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134804 134804 2008R National 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.716912   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
134805 134805 2008R Nevada 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.08502 1.259987 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
134806 134806 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.557925 1.851133 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-08
134807 134807 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4617386 0.8779275 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134808 134808 2008R New York 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5733309 0.9829448 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134809 134809 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3066956 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134810 134810 2008R Ohio 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7085875 1.099654 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134811 134811 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2244311 0.6388732 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134812 134812 2008R Oregon 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 1.0981 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-20
134813 134813 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2716882 0.6354112 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-04-22
134814 134814 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.133759 1.583758 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
134815 134815 2008R Texas 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 2.055357 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134816 134816 2008R Utah 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2359774 0.6338645 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134817 134817 2008R Vermont 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 1.902992 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134818 134818 2008R Virginia 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.129295 1.267237 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
134819 134819 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.8363134 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-13
134820 134820 2008R Alabama 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 27.29564 26.22842 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134821 134821 2008R Arizona 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 14.78294 13.90702 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134822 134822 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 5.725662 12.53107 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134823 134823 2008R California 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 15.75735 14.41313 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134824 134824 2008R Colorado 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 20.83562 19.88852 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134825 134825 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 3.244067 8.548728 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134826 134826 2008R Florida 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 19.82604 17.26643 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-29
134827 134827 2008R Georgia 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 28.45542 26.40269 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134828 134828 2008R Idaho 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.08137 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-27
134829 134829 2008R Illinois 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 22.31656 18.88896 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134830 134830 2008R Iowa 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 15.18585 12.99846 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
134831 134831 2008R Maine 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 14.97656 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-01
134832 134832 2008R Maryland 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 10.82097 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
134833 134833 2008R Michigan 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 13.19041 12.66365 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-15
134834 134834 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 12.57303 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134835 134835 2008R Missouri 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 23.34239 21.45109 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134836 134836 2008R National 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 17.96604   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
134837 134837 2008R Nevada 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 14.20657 14.65824 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
134838 134838 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 9.09424 7.341492 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-08
134839 134839 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 8.765047 9.537755 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134840 134840 2008R New York 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 8.698429 9.24169 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134841 134841 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 21.77225 22.37302 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
134842 134842 2008R Ohio 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 14.29598 14.54671 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134843 134843 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 13.51903 20.59098 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134844 134844 2008R Oregon 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.19343 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-20
134845 134845 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 10.77043 11.27148 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-04-22
134846 134846 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 19.38253 16.89231 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
134847 134847 2008R Texas 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 18.92181 23.59418 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
134848 134848 2008R Utah 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 1.956799 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134849 134849 2008R Virginia 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 20.57927 19.69798 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
134850 134850 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-13 Fred Thompson 57 6.774538 13.08484 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-13
134851 134851 2008R Arizona 2007-10-13 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
134852 134852 2008R Iowa 2007-10-13 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
134853 134853 2008R National 2007-10-13 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
134854 134854 2008R Nevada 2007-10-13 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
134855 134855 2008R Utah 2007-10-13 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);