polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

571 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-14

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
135057 135057 2008R Alabama 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.129212 0.9832114 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135058 135058 2008R Arizona 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 2.588215 2.419981 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135059 135059 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.0496668 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135060 135060 2008R California 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.421236 1.301617 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135061 135061 2008R Colorado 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 2.020318 1.822036 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135062 135062 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.514277 1.135473 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135063 135063 2008R Florida 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.8664685 0.7310669 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-29
135064 135064 2008R Georgia 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 2.541668 2.637298 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135065 135065 2008R Illinois 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 2.947949 2.8228 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135066 135066 2008R Iowa 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 2.847383 2.711521 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
135067 135067 2008R Maine 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.0 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-01
135068 135068 2008R Maryland 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.041941 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
135069 135069 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.0 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135070 135070 2008R Michigan 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.310554 1.178409 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-15
135071 135071 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.7826163 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135072 135072 2008R Missouri 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 5.694979 5.482285 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135073 135073 2008R National 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.483615   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
135074 135074 2008R Nevada 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 2.318409 2.284609 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
135075 135075 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.225032 1.098767 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-08
135076 135076 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.6664723 0.4825284 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135077 135077 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 4.646119 4.387309 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-06-03
135078 135078 2008R New York 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.929495 0.6954018 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135079 135079 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.2882069 0.1122736 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135080 135080 2008R Ohio 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.9967523 0.8897744 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135081 135081 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 2.319671 2.06978 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135082 135082 2008R Oregon 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.139788 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-20
135083 135083 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.509609 1.378984 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-04-22
135084 135084 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.277137 1.16278 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
135085 135085 2008R Texas 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.347424 1.147223 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135086 135086 2008R Utah 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.042297 0.6290271 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135087 135087 2008R Vermont 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.485637 0.992878 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135088 135088 2008R Virginia 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 1.165715 1.148844 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
135089 135089 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-14 Sam Brownback 83 0.4266706 0.2227645 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-13
135090 135090 2008R Alabama 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7932647 1.225606 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135091 135091 2008R Arizona 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.124276 1.412853 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135092 135092 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 2.055357 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135093 135093 2008R California 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 2.8566 3.358527 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135094 135094 2008R Colorado 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 5.712326 6.435891 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135095 135095 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6066682 1.019501 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135096 135096 2008R Florida 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6374089 1.005287 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-29
135097 135097 2008R Georgia 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.7505918 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135098 135098 2008R Illinois 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 1.786192 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135099 135099 2008R Iowa 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 3.085349 3.540168 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
135100 135100 2008R Maine 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.7943334 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-01
135101 135101 2008R Maryland 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.5197583 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
135102 135102 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.7943334 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135103 135103 2008R Michigan 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7384782 1.240335 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-15
135104 135104 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.525316 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135105 135105 2008R National 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.716912   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
135106 135106 2008R Nevada 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.08502 1.259987 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
135107 135107 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.557925 1.851133 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-08
135108 135108 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4617386 0.8779275 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135109 135109 2008R New York 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5733309 0.9829448 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135110 135110 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3066956 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135111 135111 2008R Ohio 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7085875 1.099654 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135112 135112 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2244311 0.6388732 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135113 135113 2008R Oregon 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 1.0981 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-20
135114 135114 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2716882 0.6354112 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-04-22
135115 135115 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.133759 1.583758 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
135116 135116 2008R Texas 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 2.055357 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135117 135117 2008R Utah 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2359774 0.6338645 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135118 135118 2008R Vermont 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.382704 1.902992 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135119 135119 2008R Virginia 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.129295 1.267237 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
135120 135120 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3361313 0.8363134 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-13
135121 135121 2008R Alabama 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 27.29724 26.97578 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135122 135122 2008R Arizona 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 14.7442 14.35831 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135123 135123 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 5.728607 13.07741 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135124 135124 2008R California 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 15.76596 14.97171 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135125 135125 2008R Colorado 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 20.90822 20.59114 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135126 135126 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 3.245111 9.005994 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135127 135127 2008R Florida 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 19.83895 17.76715 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-29
135128 135128 2008R Georgia 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 28.46125 27.15649 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135129 135129 2008R Idaho 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.67397 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-27
135130 135130 2008R Illinois 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 22.32185 19.54501 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135131 135131 2008R Iowa 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 15.19925 13.43472 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
135132 135132 2008R Maine 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 15.56731 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-01
135133 135133 2008R Maryland 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.33277 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
135134 135134 2008R Michigan 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 13.18975 13.16859 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-15
135135 135135 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 13.10224 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135136 135136 2008R Missouri 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 23.34777 22.144 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135137 135137 2008R National 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 18.47809   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
135138 135138 2008R Nevada 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 14.24833 15.14152 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
135139 135139 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 9.102957 7.679297 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-08
135140 135140 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 8.809788 10.00039 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135141 135141 2008R New York 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 8.686848 9.652433 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135142 135142 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 21.80987 23.06077 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-06
135143 135143 2008R Ohio 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 14.28658 15.06528 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135144 135144 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 13.51839 21.27002 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135145 135145 2008R Oregon 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.69139 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-20
135146 135146 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 10.7584 11.72644 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-04-22
135147 135147 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 19.38101 17.4038 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
135148 135148 2008R Texas 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 18.92156 24.31103 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-03-04
135149 135149 2008R Utah 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 2.15949 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135150 135150 2008R Virginia 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 20.58496 19.99981 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-12
135151 135151 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-14 Fred Thompson 57 6.777678 13.64183 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-05-13
135152 135152 2008R Arizona 2007-10-14 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05
135153 135153 2008R Iowa 2007-10-14 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-03
135154 135154 2008R National 2007-10-14 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001   12/10/19 18:37 one day test  
135155 135155 2008R Nevada 2007-10-14 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-01-19
135156 135156 2008R Utah 2007-10-14 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:37 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);