polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

571 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-15

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Suggested facets: contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
135358 135358 2008R Alabama 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.126975 1.001588 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135359 135359 2008R Arizona 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 2.590822 2.44467 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135360 135360 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.423788 0.0650073 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135361 135361 2008R California 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.419026 1.320754 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135362 135362 2008R Colorado 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 2.012048 1.836694 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135363 135363 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.510415 1.152137 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135364 135364 2008R Florida 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.8729554 0.761855 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-29
135365 135365 2008R Georgia 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 2.538018 2.657871 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135366 135366 2008R Illinois 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 2.94418 2.843702 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135367 135367 2008R Iowa 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 3.270756 3.2172 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135368 135368 2008R Maine 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.423788 0.0089704 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-01
135369 135369 2008R Maryland 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.062758 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135370 135370 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.423788 0.0089704 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135371 135371 2008R Michigan 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.305475 1.193637 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-15
135372 135372 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.8013542 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135373 135373 2008R Missouri 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 5.690311 5.508073 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135374 135374 2008R National 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.383611   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135375 135375 2008R Nevada 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 2.262875 2.252048 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135376 135376 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.230703 1.129719 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-08
135377 135377 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.6617146 0.4960701 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135378 135378 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 4.641776 4.411186 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-06-03
135379 135379 2008R New York 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.9249372 0.7094163 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135380 135380 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.286127 0.1277518 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135381 135381 2008R Ohio 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.9878072 0.9035658 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135382 135382 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 2.317909 2.090539 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135383 135383 2008R Oregon 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.160057 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-20
135384 135384 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.515878 1.405533 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-04-22
135385 135385 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.286921 1.198171 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135386 135386 2008R Texas 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.345567 1.165865 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135387 135387 2008R Utah 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.039891 0.6472414 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135388 135388 2008R Vermont 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.48236 1.010225 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135389 135389 2008R Virginia 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 1.160632 1.183054 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135390 135390 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-15 Sam Brownback 83 0.423788 0.2384805 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-13
135391 135391 2008R Alabama 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7845156 1.236807 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135392 135392 2008R Arizona 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.094732 1.40065 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135393 135393 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.36536 2.058415 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135394 135394 2008R California 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 2.848186 3.375143 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135395 135395 2008R Colorado 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 5.686718 6.435274 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135396 135396 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5990585 1.032201 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135397 135397 2008R Florida 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6281259 1.010234 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-29
135398 135398 2008R Georgia 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.320881 0.7532551 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135399 135399 2008R Illinois 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.36536 1.789166 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135400 135400 2008R Iowa 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 2.821892 3.058055 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135401 135401 2008R Maine 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.320881 0.7969885 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-01
135402 135402 2008R Maryland 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.540295 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135403 135403 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.320881 0.7969885 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135404 135404 2008R Michigan 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7251476 1.245503 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-15
135405 135405 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.535362 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135406 135406 2008R National 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.635541   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135407 135407 2008R Nevada 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.083488 1.283366 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135408 135408 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.536901 1.833606 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-08
135409 135409 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4594025 0.8893407 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135410 135410 2008R New York 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5686712 0.9925207 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135411 135411 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3065302 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135412 135412 2008R Ohio 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7031198 1.11356 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135413 135413 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.214183 0.6472195 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135414 135414 2008R Oregon 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 1.120433 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-20
135415 135415 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2746726 0.657923 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-04-22
135416 135416 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.130118 1.593278 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135417 135417 2008R Texas 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.36536 2.058415 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135418 135418 2008R Utah 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2252195 0.6347365 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135419 135419 2008R Vermont 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.36536 1.906003 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135420 135420 2008R Virginia 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.128111 1.271048 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135421 135421 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.320881 0.8389823 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-13
135422 135422 2008R Alabama 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 27.2965 27.14983 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135423 135423 2008R Arizona 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 14.72272 14.41402 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135424 135424 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 5.73153 13.20772 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135425 135425 2008R California 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 15.52184 15.09451 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135426 135426 2008R Colorado 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 20.88885 20.75677 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135427 135427 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 3.246145 9.116862 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135428 135428 2008R Florida 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 19.89546 17.91273 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-29
135429 135429 2008R Georgia 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 28.46702 27.33538 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135430 135430 2008R Idaho 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.81925 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-27
135431 135431 2008R Illinois 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 22.32709 19.70109 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135432 135432 2008R Iowa 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 15.41466 14.75124 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135433 135433 2008R Maine 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 15.71214 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-01
135434 135434 2008R Maryland 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.46095 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135435 135435 2008R Michigan 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 13.20345 13.32911 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-15
135436 135436 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 13.24014 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135437 135437 2008R Missouri 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 23.35311 22.30872 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135438 135438 2008R National 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 18.79323   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135439 135439 2008R Nevada 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 14.23714 15.11855 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135440 135440 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 9.095359 7.747982 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-08
135441 135441 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 8.775647 10.12168 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135442 135442 2008R New York 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 8.694757 9.808635 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135443 135443 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 21.77238 23.22058 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135444 135444 2008R Ohio 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 14.28148 15.18745 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135445 135445 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 13.51609 21.4313 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135446 135446 2008R Oregon 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.81387 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-20
135447 135447 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 10.75169 11.83261 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-04-22
135448 135448 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 19.46458 17.64048 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135449 135449 2008R Texas 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 18.91793 24.47724 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135450 135450 2008R Utah 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 2.210128 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135451 135451 2008R Virginia 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 20.58862 20.01386 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135452 135452 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-15 Fred Thompson 57 6.780795 13.77465 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-13
135453 135453 2008R Arizona 2007-10-15 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135454 135454 2008R Iowa 2007-10-15 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135455 135455 2008R National 2007-10-15 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135456 135456 2008R Nevada 2007-10-15 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135457 135457 2008R Utah 2007-10-15 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);