polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

571 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-16

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
135659 135659 2008R Alabama 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.125424 1.000018 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135660 135660 2008R Arizona 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 2.587709 2.44156 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135661 135661 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0626375 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135662 135662 2008R California 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.417528 1.319093 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135663 135663 2008R Colorado 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 2.009447 1.834101 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135664 135664 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.114843 0.868577 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135665 135665 2008R Florida 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.8711238 0.7585623 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-29
135666 135666 2008R Georgia 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 2.534905 2.654683 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135667 135667 2008R Illinois 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 2.940964 2.840473 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135668 135668 2008R Iowa 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 3.269697 3.215653 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135669 135669 2008R Maine 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0066195 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-01
135670 135670 2008R Maryland 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.062758 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135671 135671 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0066195 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135672 135672 2008R Michigan 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.304056 1.192018 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-15
135673 135673 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.8013542 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135674 135674 2008R Missouri 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 5.68633 5.50409 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135675 135675 2008R National 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.382526   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135676 135676 2008R Nevada 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 2.260711 2.249669 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135677 135677 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.229729 1.128462 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-08
135678 135678 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.6487486 0.5114632 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135679 135679 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 4.638071 4.407498 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-06-03
135680 135680 2008R New York 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.8446516 0.6510499 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135681 135681 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.2844608 0.1260902 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135682 135682 2008R Ohio 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.9838219 0.8949665 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135683 135683 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 2.316917 2.089544 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135684 135684 2008R Oregon 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.160057 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-20
135685 135685 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.511894 1.397282 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-04-22
135686 135686 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.285579 1.196528 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135687 135687 2008R Texas 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.344695 1.164952 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135688 135688 2008R Utah 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.037936 0.645367 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135689 135689 2008R Vermont 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.479566 1.007545 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135690 135690 2008R Virginia 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 1.16001 1.182292 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135691 135691 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-16 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.2360528 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-13
135692 135692 2008R Alabama 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7839953 1.236708 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135693 135693 2008R Arizona 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.093761 1.400177 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135694 135694 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 2.057907 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135695 135695 2008R California 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 2.847679 3.375233 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135696 135696 2008R Colorado 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 5.685473 6.43469 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135697 135697 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4172444 0.7086898 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135698 135698 2008R Florida 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6277642 1.010226 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-29
135699 135699 2008R Georgia 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.752817 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135700 135700 2008R Illinois 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 1.788673 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135701 135701 2008R Iowa 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 2.821538 3.058227 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135702 135702 2008R Maine 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.7965479 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-01
135703 135703 2008R Maryland 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.540295 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135704 135704 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.7965479 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135705 135705 2008R Michigan 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7244808 1.245293 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-15
135706 135706 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.535362 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135707 135707 2008R National 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.635016   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135708 135708 2008R Nevada 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.082806 1.283354 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135709 135709 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.53644 1.833799 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-08
135710 135710 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5783001 0.9165887 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135711 135711 2008R New York 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4983537 0.8448503 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135712 135712 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3065302 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135713 135713 2008R Ohio 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7031198 1.11356 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135714 135714 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.213586 0.646971 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135715 135715 2008R Oregon 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 1.120433 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-20
135716 135716 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2746726 0.657923 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-04-22
135717 135717 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.129471 1.593192 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135718 135718 2008R Texas 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 2.057907 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135719 135719 2008R Utah 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2245941 0.634463 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135720 135720 2008R Vermont 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 1.905503 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135721 135721 2008R Virginia 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.127766 1.271331 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135722 135722 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.8385395 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-13
135723 135723 2008R Alabama 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 27.2969 26.92234 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135724 135724 2008R Arizona 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 14.70109 14.24468 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135725 135725 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 5.733408 13.03757 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135726 135726 2008R California 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 15.5212 15.01078 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135727 135727 2008R Colorado 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 20.86813 20.54179 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135728 135728 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 5.920415 9.445 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135729 135729 2008R Florida 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 19.91394 17.72755 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-29
135730 135730 2008R Georgia 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 28.47074 27.10179 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135731 135731 2008R Idaho 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.63912 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-27
135732 135732 2008R Illinois 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 22.33046 19.49726 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135733 135733 2008R Iowa 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 15.41054 14.68362 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135734 135734 2008R Maine 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 15.53257 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-01
135735 135735 2008R Maryland 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.30505 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135736 135736 2008R Michigan 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 13.18479 13.19256 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-15
135737 135737 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 13.0752 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135738 135738 2008R Missouri 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 23.35655 22.09366 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135739 135739 2008R National 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 18.54925   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135740 135740 2008R Nevada 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 14.24794 15.0326 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135741 135741 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 9.090556 7.633041 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-08
135742 135742 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 9.86326 10.27645 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135743 135743 2008R New York 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 9.009103 9.816778 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135744 135744 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 21.75071 23.00752 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135745 135745 2008R Ohio 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 14.27639 15.02374 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135746 135746 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 13.51526 21.22587 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135747 135747 2008R Oregon 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.66213 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-20
135748 135748 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 10.74513 11.68865 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-04-22
135749 135749 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 19.50962 17.53588 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135750 135750 2008R Texas 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 18.91686 24.25959 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135751 135751 2008R Utah 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 2.134925 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135752 135752 2008R Virginia 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 20.57805 19.85238 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135753 135753 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-16 Fred Thompson 57 6.782798 13.60122 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-13
135754 135754 2008R Arizona 2007-10-16 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135755 135755 2008R Iowa 2007-10-16 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135756 135756 2008R National 2007-10-16 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135757 135757 2008R Nevada 2007-10-16 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135758 135758 2008R Utah 2007-10-16 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);