polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

571 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-17

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
135960 135960 2008R Alabama 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.125424 1.000018 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135961 135961 2008R Arizona 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 2.587709 2.44156 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135962 135962 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0626375 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135963 135963 2008R California 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.417528 1.319093 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135964 135964 2008R Colorado 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 2.009447 1.834101 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135965 135965 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.114843 0.868577 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135966 135966 2008R Florida 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.8711238 0.7585623 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-29
135967 135967 2008R Georgia 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 2.534905 2.654683 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135968 135968 2008R Illinois 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 2.940964 2.840473 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135969 135969 2008R Iowa 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 3.269697 3.215653 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-03
135970 135970 2008R Maine 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0066195 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-01
135971 135971 2008R Maryland 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.062758 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135972 135972 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0066195 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135973 135973 2008R Michigan 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.304056 1.192018 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-15
135974 135974 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.8013542 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135975 135975 2008R Missouri 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 5.68633 5.50409 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135976 135976 2008R National 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.382526   12/10/19 18:36 one day test  
135977 135977 2008R Nevada 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 2.260711 2.249669 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135978 135978 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.229729 1.128462 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-08
135979 135979 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.6487486 0.5114632 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135980 135980 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 4.638071 4.407498 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-06-03
135981 135981 2008R New York 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.8446516 0.6510499 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135982 135982 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.2844608 0.1260902 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-06
135983 135983 2008R Ohio 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.9838219 0.8949665 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135984 135984 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 2.316917 2.089544 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135985 135985 2008R Oregon 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.160057 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-20
135986 135986 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.511894 1.397282 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-04-22
135987 135987 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.285579 1.196528 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-01-19
135988 135988 2008R Texas 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.344695 1.164952 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135989 135989 2008R Utah 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.037936 0.645367 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-05
135990 135990 2008R Vermont 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.479566 1.007545 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-03-04
135991 135991 2008R Virginia 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 1.16001 1.182292 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-02-12
135992 135992 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-17 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.2360528 12/10/19 18:36 one day test 2008-05-13
135993 135993 2008R Alabama 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7839953 1.236708 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
135994 135994 2008R Arizona 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.093761 1.400177 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
135995 135995 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 2.057907 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
135996 135996 2008R California 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 2.847679 3.375233 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
135997 135997 2008R Colorado 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 5.685473 6.43469 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
135998 135998 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4172444 0.7086898 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
135999 135999 2008R Florida 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6277642 1.010226 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-29
136000 136000 2008R Georgia 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.752817 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136001 136001 2008R Illinois 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 1.788673 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136002 136002 2008R Iowa 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 2.821538 3.058227 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136003 136003 2008R Maine 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.7965479 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-01
136004 136004 2008R Maryland 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.540295 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136005 136005 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.7965479 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136006 136006 2008R Michigan 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7244808 1.245293 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-15
136007 136007 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.535362 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136008 136008 2008R National 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.635016   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136009 136009 2008R Nevada 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.082806 1.283354 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136010 136010 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.53644 1.833799 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-08
136011 136011 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5783001 0.9165887 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136012 136012 2008R New York 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4983537 0.8448503 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136013 136013 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3065302 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-06
136014 136014 2008R Ohio 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7031198 1.11356 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136015 136015 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.213586 0.646971 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136016 136016 2008R Oregon 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 1.120433 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-20
136017 136017 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2746726 0.657923 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-04-22
136018 136018 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.129471 1.593192 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136019 136019 2008R Texas 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 2.057907 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136020 136020 2008R Utah 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2245941 0.634463 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136021 136021 2008R Vermont 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 1.905503 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136022 136022 2008R Virginia 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.127766 1.271331 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136023 136023 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.8385395 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-13
136024 136024 2008R Alabama 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 27.30664 27.06491 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136025 136025 2008R Arizona 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 14.68814 14.30366 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136026 136026 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 5.742853 13.14807 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136027 136027 2008R California 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 15.53082 15.08406 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136028 136028 2008R Colorado 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 20.8587 20.67481 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136029 136029 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 5.893734 9.495882 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136030 136030 2008R Florida 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 19.95629 17.81388 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-29
136031 136031 2008R Georgia 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 28.4894 27.25365 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136032 136032 2008R Idaho 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.74488 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-27
136033 136033 2008R Illinois 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 22.34739 19.62966 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136034 136034 2008R Iowa 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 15.42641 14.75792 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136035 136035 2008R Maine 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 15.638 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-01
136036 136036 2008R Maryland 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.39643 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136037 136037 2008R Michigan 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 13.1857 13.30534 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-15
136038 136038 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 13.17553 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136039 136039 2008R Missouri 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 23.37381 22.23345 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136040 136040 2008R National 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 18.60696   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136041 136041 2008R Nevada 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 14.27277 15.1344 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136042 136042 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 9.101176 7.691235 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-08
136043 136043 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 9.837485 10.33969 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136044 136044 2008R New York 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 9.018709 9.926349 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136045 136045 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 21.74168 23.12967 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-06
136046 136046 2008R Ohio 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 14.27129 15.11607 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136047 136047 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 13.51641 21.34832 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136048 136048 2008R Oregon 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.75114 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-20
136049 136049 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 10.73875 11.77043 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-04-22
136050 136050 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 19.57292 17.70793 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136051 136051 2008R Texas 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 18.92276 24.3941 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136052 136052 2008R Utah 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 2.167949 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136053 136053 2008R Virginia 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 20.58769 19.89239 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136054 136054 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-17 Fred Thompson 57 6.792869 13.71385 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-13
136055 136055 2008R Arizona 2007-10-17 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136056 136056 2008R Iowa 2007-10-17 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136057 136057 2008R National 2007-10-17 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136058 136058 2008R Nevada 2007-10-17 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136059 136059 2008R Utah 2007-10-17 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);