polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

571 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-18

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
136261 136261 2008R Alabama 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.125424 1.000018 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136262 136262 2008R Arizona 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 2.587709 2.44156 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136263 136263 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0626375 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136264 136264 2008R California 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.417528 1.319093 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136265 136265 2008R Colorado 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 2.009447 1.834101 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136266 136266 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.114843 0.868577 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136267 136267 2008R Florida 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.8711238 0.7585623 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-29
136268 136268 2008R Georgia 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 2.534905 2.654683 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136269 136269 2008R Illinois 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 2.940964 2.840473 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136270 136270 2008R Iowa 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 3.269697 3.215653 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136271 136271 2008R Maine 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0066195 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-01
136272 136272 2008R Maryland 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.062758 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136273 136273 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.0066195 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136274 136274 2008R Michigan 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.304056 1.192018 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-15
136275 136275 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.8013542 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136276 136276 2008R Missouri 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 5.68633 5.50409 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136277 136277 2008R National 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.382526   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136278 136278 2008R Nevada 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 2.260711 2.249669 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136279 136279 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.229729 1.128462 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-08
136280 136280 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.6487486 0.5114632 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136281 136281 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 4.638071 4.407498 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-06-03
136282 136282 2008R New York 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.8446516 0.6510499 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136283 136283 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.2844608 0.1260902 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-06
136284 136284 2008R Ohio 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.9838219 0.8949665 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136285 136285 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 2.316917 2.089544 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136286 136286 2008R Oregon 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 1.160057 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-20
136287 136287 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.511894 1.397282 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-04-22
136288 136288 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.285579 1.196528 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136289 136289 2008R Texas 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.344695 1.164952 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136290 136290 2008R Utah 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.037936 0.645367 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136291 136291 2008R Vermont 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.479566 1.007545 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136292 136292 2008R Virginia 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 1.16001 1.182292 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136293 136293 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-18 Sam Brownback 83 0.4213292 0.2360528 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-13
136294 136294 2008R Alabama 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7839953 1.236708 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136295 136295 2008R Arizona 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.093761 1.400177 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136296 136296 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 2.057907 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136297 136297 2008R California 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 2.847679 3.375233 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136298 136298 2008R Colorado 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 5.685473 6.43469 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136299 136299 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4172444 0.7086898 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136300 136300 2008R Florida 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6277642 1.010226 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-29
136301 136301 2008R Georgia 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.752817 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136302 136302 2008R Illinois 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 1.788673 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136303 136303 2008R Iowa 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 2.821538 3.058227 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136304 136304 2008R Maine 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.7965479 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-01
136305 136305 2008R Maryland 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.540295 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136306 136306 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.7965479 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136307 136307 2008R Michigan 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7244808 1.245293 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-15
136308 136308 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.535362 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136309 136309 2008R National 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.635016   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136310 136310 2008R Nevada 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.082806 1.283354 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136311 136311 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.53644 1.833799 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-08
136312 136312 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5783001 0.9165887 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136313 136313 2008R New York 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4983537 0.8448503 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136314 136314 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3065302 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-06
136315 136315 2008R Ohio 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7031198 1.11356 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136316 136316 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.213586 0.646971 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136317 136317 2008R Oregon 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 1.120433 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-20
136318 136318 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2746726 0.657923 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-04-22
136319 136319 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.129471 1.593192 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136320 136320 2008R Texas 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 2.057907 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136321 136321 2008R Utah 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2245941 0.634463 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136322 136322 2008R Vermont 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.364357 1.905503 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136323 136323 2008R Virginia 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.127766 1.271331 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136324 136324 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3199997 0.8385395 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-13
136325 136325 2008R Alabama 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 27.31455 25.55436 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136326 136326 2008R Arizona 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 14.49115 13.05984 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136327 136327 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 5.745642 12.04521 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136328 136328 2008R California 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 15.55732 14.0417 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136329 136329 2008R Colorado 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 20.57274 19.22408 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136330 136330 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 5.711082 8.573074 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136331 136331 2008R Florida 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 20.2255 16.43922 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-29
136332 136332 2008R Georgia 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 28.49491 25.72699 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136333 136333 2008R Idaho 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 14.53747 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-27
136334 136334 2008R Illinois 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 22.3524 18.3032 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136335 136335 2008R Iowa 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 15.4272 13.69436 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136336 136336 2008R Maine 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 14.43439 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-01
136337 136337 2008R Maryland 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 10.35518 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136338 136338 2008R Michigan 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 13.07032 12.39209 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-15
136339 136339 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 12.06773 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136340 136340 2008R Missouri 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 23.3789 20.83155 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136341 136341 2008R National 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 17.05422   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136342 136342 2008R Nevada 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 14.38368 14.29545 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136343 136343 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 9.396758 6.968705 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-08
136344 136344 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 9.585479 9.294399 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136345 136345 2008R New York 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 9.068164 9.208505 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136346 136346 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 21.62272 21.66798 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-06
136347 136347 2008R Ohio 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 14.22651 13.97791 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136348 136348 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 13.52028 19.96567 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136349 136349 2008R Oregon 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 9.738103 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-20
136350 136350 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 10.68213 10.76599 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-04-22
136351 136351 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 19.87675 16.85728 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136352 136352 2008R Texas 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 18.93176 22.93856 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136353 136353 2008R Utah 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 1.593039 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136354 136354 2008R Virginia 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 20.59292 18.5802 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136355 136355 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-18 Fred Thompson 57 6.795843 12.58932 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-13
136356 136356 2008R Arizona 2007-10-18 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136357 136357 2008R Iowa 2007-10-18 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136358 136358 2008R National 2007-10-18 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136359 136359 2008R Nevada 2007-10-18 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136360 136360 2008R Utah 2007-10-18 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);