polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

571 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-10-19

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
136562 136562 2008R Alabama 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.119988 0.746538 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136563 136563 2008R Arizona 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 2.592316 2.206474 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136564 136564 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.4127458 0.0 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136565 136565 2008R California 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.412473 1.056545 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136566 136566 2008R Colorado 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 2.040406 1.598166 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136567 136567 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.124641 0.7007861 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136568 136568 2008R Florida 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.9516068 0.5866642 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-29
136569 136569 2008R Georgia 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 2.524037 2.351123 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136570 136570 2008R Illinois 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 2.929736 2.53287 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136571 136571 2008R Iowa 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 3.266065 3.087284 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136572 136572 2008R Maine 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.4127458 0.0 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-01
136573 136573 2008R Maryland 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.8101126 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136574 136574 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.4127458 0.0 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136575 136575 2008R Michigan 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.269069 0.9095258 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-15
136576 136576 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.574948 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136577 136577 2008R Missouri 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 5.672429 5.124067 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136578 136578 2008R National 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.100484   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136579 136579 2008R Nevada 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 2.155263 1.974348 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136580 136580 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.280288 0.9685083 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-08
136581 136581 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.6791974 0.3518239 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136582 136582 2008R New Mexico 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 4.625134 4.055836 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-06-03
136583 136583 2008R New York 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.8409906 0.4371127 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136584 136584 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.2786379 0.0 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-06
136585 136585 2008R Ohio 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.9665819 0.6422206 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136586 136586 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 2.313421 1.808599 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136587 136587 2008R Oregon 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.000001 0.9055306 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-20
136588 136588 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.544975 1.167938 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-04-22
136589 136589 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.334838 1.059598 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136590 136590 2008R Texas 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.341605 0.9096049 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136591 136591 2008R Utah 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.031108 0.4231571 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136592 136592 2008R Vermont 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.46981 0.7525783 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136593 136593 2008R Virginia 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 1.156345 1.035414 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136594 136594 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-19 Sam Brownback 83 0.4127458 0.0051948 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-13
136595 136595 2008R Alabama 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.8039075 1.250965 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136596 136596 2008R Arizona 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.101535 1.42887 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136597 136597 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.40506 2.091066 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136598 136598 2008R California 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 2.865565 3.386737 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136599 136599 2008R Colorado 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 5.768223 6.507624 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136600 136600 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4365576 0.7380524 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136601 136601 2008R Florida 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5895048 0.972736 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-29
136602 136602 2008R Georgia 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3557905 0.7814745 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136603 136603 2008R Illinois 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.40506 1.820921 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136604 136604 2008R Iowa 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 2.880762 3.180235 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-03
136605 136605 2008R Maine 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3557905 0.8253433 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-01
136606 136606 2008R Maryland 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.5387188 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136607 136607 2008R Massachusetts 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3557905 0.8253433 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136608 136608 2008R Michigan 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7506319 1.264182 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-15
136609 136609 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 3.545022 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136610 136610 2008R National 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.546077   12/10/19 18:35 one day test  
136611 136611 2008R Nevada 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.13016 1.36557 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136612 136612 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.378342 1.749625 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-08
136613 136613 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5407068 0.9004949 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136614 136614 2008R New York 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4955225 0.8632474 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136615 136615 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.3202196 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-06
136616 136616 2008R Ohio 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6846552 1.105333 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136617 136617 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2374427 0.6657761 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136618 136618 2008R Oregon 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5373139 1.119257 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-20
136619 136619 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2847512 0.6820254 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-04-22
136620 136620 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.14206 1.609161 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-01-19
136621 136621 2008R Texas 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 3.682634 4.094258 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136622 136622 2008R Utah 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2496863 0.6627744 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-05
136623 136623 2008R Vermont 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.40506 1.938148 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-03-04
136624 136624 2008R Virginia 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.136399 1.327379 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-02-12
136625 136625 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3557905 0.8674844 12/10/19 18:35 one day test 2008-05-13
136626 136626 2008R Alabama 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 27.31778 26.65205 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136627 136627 2008R Arizona 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 14.46675 13.72725 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136628 136628 2008R Arkansas 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 5.750185 12.84069 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136629 136629 2008R California 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 15.55988 14.66152 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136630 136630 2008R Colorado 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 20.56622 20.20405 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136631 136631 2008R Connecticut 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 5.676587 9.057258 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136632 136632 2008R Florida 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 20.259 17.2608 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-29
136633 136633 2008R Georgia 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 28.50389 26.83087 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136634 136634 2008R Idaho 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 15.40539 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-05-27
136635 136635 2008R Illinois 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 22.36054 19.26109 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136636 136636 2008R Iowa 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 15.43725 14.06744 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-03
136637 136637 2008R Maine 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 15.29957 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-01
136638 136638 2008R Maryland 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.10234 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-12
136639 136639 2008R Michigan 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 13.0744 13.13008 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-15
136640 136640 2008R Minnesota 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 12.84633 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136641 136641 2008R Missouri 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 23.3872 21.84445 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136642 136642 2008R National 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 17.46021   12/10/19 18:34 one day test  
136643 136643 2008R Nevada 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 14.40726 14.96486 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-19
136644 136644 2008R New Hampshire 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 9.435054 7.503002 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-08
136645 136645 2008R New Jersey 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 9.551853 9.883957 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136646 136646 2008R New York 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 9.073286 9.834758 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136647 136647 2008R North Carolina 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 21.60806 22.66541 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-05-06
136648 136648 2008R Ohio 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 14.2202 14.77467 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-03-04
136649 136649 2008R Oklahoma 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 13.51991 20.96263 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136650 136650 2008R Oregon 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 11.0 10.46564 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-05-20
136651 136651 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 10.67406 11.47169 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-04-22
136652 136652 2008R South Carolina 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 19.90631 17.72631 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-19
136653 136653 2008R Texas 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 18.10959 22.11128 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-03-04
136654 136654 2008R Utah 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 1.911792 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136655 136655 2008R Virginia 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 20.5914 19.17262 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-12
136656 136656 2008R West Virginia 2007-10-19 Fred Thompson 57 6.800686 13.40052 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-05-13
136657 136657 2008R Arizona 2007-10-19 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05
136658 136658 2008R Iowa 2007-10-19 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.000001 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-03
136659 136659 2008R National 2007-10-19 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001   12/10/19 18:34 one day test  
136660 136660 2008R Nevada 2007-10-19 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-01-19
136661 136661 2008R Utah 2007-10-19 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:34 one day test 2008-02-05

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);