polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-13

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
151998 151998 2008R Alabama 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6773071 0.2622247 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
151999 151999 2008R Arizona 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.015657 0.5110642 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152000 152000 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.378136 1.148955 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152001 152001 2008R California 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 2.918601 2.4151 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152002 152002 2008R Colorado 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 5.734422 5.171505 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152003 152003 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4348325 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152004 152004 2008R Florida 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5804757 0.3274783 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-29
152005 152005 2008R Georgia 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3321144 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152006 152006 2008R Illinois 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.378136 0.905195 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152007 152007 2008R Iowa 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 2.301646 2.234791 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-03
152008 152008 2008R Maine 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3321144 0.0095928 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-01
152009 152009 2008R Maryland 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.575593 0.9277267 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-12
152010 152010 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3321144 0.0095928 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152011 152011 2008R Michigan 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3874781 0.1741312 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-15
152012 152012 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.466651 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152013 152013 2008R National 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7882904   12/10/19 18:09 one day test  
152014 152014 2008R Nevada 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.257539 0.9901205 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-19
152015 152015 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.154537 1.149313 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-08
152016 152016 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5574183 0.154834 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152017 152017 2008R New York 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6101903 0.4639352 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152018 152018 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-05-06
152019 152019 2008R Ohio 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6113293 0.2402603 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-03-04
152020 152020 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2214675 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152021 152021 2008R Oregon 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7610925 0.635332 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-05-20
152022 152022 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2099174 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-04-22
152023 152023 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7505272 0.7230873 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-19
152024 152024 2008R Texas 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 2.880586 2.545027 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-03-04
152025 152025 2008R Utah 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2329342 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152026 152026 2008R Vermont 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.378136 1.010935 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-03-04
152027 152027 2008R Virginia 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 1.252916 0.5735522 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-12
152028 152028 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3321144 0.0474109 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-05-13
152029 152029 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-13 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-19
152030 152030 2008R Alabama 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 26.31023 17.24829 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152031 152031 2008R Arizona 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 13.98205 6.691041 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152032 152032 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 5.699756 5.991817 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152033 152033 2008R California 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 12.46588 8.389038 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152034 152034 2008R Colorado 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 20.49125 11.5345 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152035 152035 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 5.241063 3.230369 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152036 152036 2008R Florida 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 10.96439 8.674461 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-29
152037 152037 2008R Georgia 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 28.40418 16.81916 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152038 152038 2008R Idaho 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 7.82348 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-05-27
152039 152039 2008R Illinois 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 22.27007 10.79829 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152040 152040 2008R Iowa 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 9.127796 8.186993 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-03
152041 152041 2008R Maine 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 5.868016 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-01
152042 152042 2008R Maryland 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 13.49835 7.028803 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-12
152043 152043 2008R Michigan 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 10.58103 6.668767 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-15
152044 152044 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 5.992697 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152045 152045 2008R Missouri 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 23.29501 12.81171 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152046 152046 2008R National 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 9.842757   12/10/19 18:09 one day test  
152047 152047 2008R Nevada 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 9.353745 6.438113 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-19
152048 152048 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 3.047568 2.451029 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-08
152049 152049 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 8.576405 3.346584 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152050 152050 2008R New York 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 7.619124 5.829726 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152051 152051 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 17.34848 12.67542 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-05-06
152052 152052 2008R Ohio 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 12.62554 7.225204 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-03-04
152053 152053 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 13.50896 12.04964 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152054 152054 2008R Oregon 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 6.664201 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-05-20
152055 152055 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 9.857418 5.106165 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-04-22
152056 152056 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 15.48436 14.78545 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-01-19
152057 152057 2008R Texas 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 16.48403 13.60777 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-03-04
152058 152058 2008R Utah 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-05
152059 152059 2008R Virginia 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 19.20234 9.837193 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-12
152060 152060 2008R Washington 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 9.924145 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-19
152061 152061 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 6.746912 6.399142 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-05-13
152062 152062 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-13 Fred Thompson 57 19.35345 15.02971 12/10/19 18:09 one day test 2008-02-19
152063 152063 2008R Alabama 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 1.79906 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152064 152064 2008R Arizona 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 0.1824507 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152065 152065 2008R California 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.5448227 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152066 152066 2008R Florida 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 1.443931 1.154841 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152067 152067 2008R Iowa 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 0.5097418 0.3806197 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152068 152068 2008R National 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 0.5867539   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152069 152069 2008R Nevada 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 0.0611679 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152070 152070 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 0.7230874 0.6421366 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152071 152071 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 0.5934544 0.4737878 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152072 152072 2008R Texas 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.7683908 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152073 152073 2008R Utah 2007-12-13 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152074 152074 2008R Alabama 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 1.017958 1.306082 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152075 152075 2008R Arizona 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 1.120481 1.466304 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152076 152076 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2422078 0.7169365 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152077 152077 2008R California 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 2.925094 3.312128 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152078 152078 2008R Colorado 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9053826 1.241045 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152079 152079 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4036 0.6498507 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152080 152080 2008R Florida 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7370076 0.6953455 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152081 152081 2008R Georgia 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2422078 0.7351822 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152082 152082 2008R Illinois 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7204633 1.363851 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152083 152083 2008R Iowa 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6510853 0.6450354 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152084 152084 2008R Maine 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2422078 0.592916 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-01
152085 152085 2008R Maryland 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.0073305 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152086 152086 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2422078 0.592916 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152087 152087 2008R Michigan 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.8860775 1.024112 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-15
152088 152088 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.225255 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152089 152089 2008R Missouri 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2422078 1.119961 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152090 152090 2008R National 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 1.590111   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152091 152091 2008R Nevada 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 2.906025 2.886579 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152092 152092 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.747095 0.7604299 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152093 152093 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3804853 0.5252588 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152094 152094 2008R New Mexico 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2422078 1.094412 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-06-03
152095 152095 2008R New York 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2788342 0.3078241 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152096 152096 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2422078 1.089321 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-06
152097 152097 2008R Ohio 2007-12-13 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6727011 0.9560543 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);