polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

569 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-14

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Suggested facets: contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
152284 152284 2008R Alabama 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6749974 0.2625053 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152285 152285 2008R Arizona 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.011055 0.5116822 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152286 152286 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.373333 1.149623 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152287 152287 2008R California 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 2.919358 2.414475 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152288 152288 2008R Colorado 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 5.728363 5.172337 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152289 152289 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4333169 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152290 152290 2008R Florida 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5391886 0.4433793 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152291 152291 2008R Georgia 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.327891 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152292 152292 2008R Illinois 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.203336 0.9445901 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152293 152293 2008R Iowa 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 2.30614 2.238533 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152294 152294 2008R Maine 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.327891 0.0101701 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-01
152295 152295 2008R Maryland 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.573498 0.9267062 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152296 152296 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.327891 0.0101701 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152297 152297 2008R Michigan 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3894865 0.1766546 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-15
152298 152298 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.466651 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152299 152299 2008R National 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7860381   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152300 152300 2008R Nevada 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.25356 0.9900942 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152301 152301 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.2762 1.273901 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152302 152302 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5572716 0.1548496 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152303 152303 2008R New York 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6139141 0.4625827 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152304 152304 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-06
152305 152305 2008R Ohio 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6113293 0.2402603 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152306 152306 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2185683 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152307 152307 2008R Oregon 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7610925 0.635332 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-20
152308 152308 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2099174 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-04-22
152309 152309 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7499959 0.7229005 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152310 152310 2008R Texas 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 2.878009 2.545338 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152311 152311 2008R Utah 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2299063 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152312 152312 2008R Vermont 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.373333 1.011593 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152313 152313 2008R Virginia 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 1.250251 0.5722157 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152314 152314 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 0.327891 0.0479913 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-13
152315 152315 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-14 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-19
152316 152316 2008R Alabama 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 26.35926 16.48659 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152317 152317 2008R Arizona 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 13.9588 6.179931 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152318 152318 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 5.632475 5.503164 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152319 152319 2008R California 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 12.74787 7.582526 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152320 152320 2008R Colorado 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 20.39281 10.89018 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152321 152321 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 5.225959 2.830044 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152322 152322 2008R Florida 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 9.446733 8.072303 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152323 152323 2008R Georgia 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 28.27085 16.05409 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152324 152324 2008R Idaho 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 7.268492 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-27
152325 152325 2008R Illinois 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 17.08275 10.39936 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152326 152326 2008R Iowa 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 9.102071 7.660425 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152327 152327 2008R Maine 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 5.375404 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-01
152328 152328 2008R Maryland 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 13.48825 6.504012 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152329 152329 2008R Michigan 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 11.15749 6.096585 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-15
152330 152330 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 5.49368 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152331 152331 2008R Missouri 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 23.17177 12.13646 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152332 152332 2008R National 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 8.969161   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152333 152333 2008R Nevada 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 9.993614 6.102405 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152334 152334 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 2.65887 2.224346 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152335 152335 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 8.814473 2.913591 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152336 152336 2008R New York 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 7.846657 5.096959 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152337 152337 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 17.68905 12.0217 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-06
152338 152338 2008R Ohio 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 12.79614 6.714657 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152339 152339 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 13.51009 11.38361 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152340 152340 2008R Oregon 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 6.098238 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-20
152341 152341 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 9.968395 4.626441 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-04-22
152342 152342 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 15.44824 14.00534 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152343 152343 2008R Texas 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 16.86285 13.11317 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152344 152344 2008R Utah 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152345 152345 2008R Virginia 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 19.18522 9.231914 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152346 152346 2008R Washington 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 9.312108 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-19
152347 152347 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 6.675159 5.897964 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-13
152348 152348 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-14 Fred Thompson 57 19.35441 14.30594 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-19
152349 152349 2008R Alabama 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 1.79906 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152350 152350 2008R Arizona 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 0.1824507 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152351 152351 2008R California 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.5448227 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152352 152352 2008R Florida 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 1.443931 1.154841 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152353 152353 2008R Illinois 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152354 152354 2008R Iowa 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 0.5097418 0.3806197 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152355 152355 2008R National 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 0.5867539   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152356 152356 2008R Nevada 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 0.0611679 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152357 152357 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 0.7230874 0.6421366 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152358 152358 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 0.5934544 0.4737878 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152359 152359 2008R Texas 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.7683908 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152360 152360 2008R Utah 2007-12-14 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152361 152361 2008R Alabama 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 1.017091 1.305213 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152362 152362 2008R Arizona 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 1.11935 1.465174 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152363 152363 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2409854 0.7156807 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152364 152364 2008R California 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 2.919107 3.30352 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152365 152365 2008R Colorado 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9042364 1.239891 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152366 152366 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4033131 0.6494014 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152367 152367 2008R Florida 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7815605 0.7851271 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152368 152368 2008R Georgia 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2409854 0.7339235 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152369 152369 2008R Illinois 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7191628 1.362497 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152370 152370 2008R Iowa 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.646365 0.6404046 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152371 152371 2008R Maine 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2409854 0.5916799 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-01
152372 152372 2008R Maryland 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.0071377 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152373 152373 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2409854 0.5916799 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152374 152374 2008R Michigan 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.8828566 1.020895 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-15
152375 152375 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.225255 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152376 152376 2008R Missouri 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2409854 1.118643 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152377 152377 2008R National 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 1.591348   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152378 152378 2008R Nevada 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 2.902839 2.883589 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152379 152379 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.5054602 0.5132683 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152380 152380 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3805114 0.5251454 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152381 152381 2008R New Mexico 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2409854 1.093097 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-06-03
152382 152382 2008R New York 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2738479 0.3003897 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152383 152383 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-14 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2409854 1.088007 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-06

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);