polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

Table actions

files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

569 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-15

✎ View and edit SQL

This data as json, copyable, CSV (advanced)

Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
152571 152571 2008R Alabama 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6826474 0.1636239 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152572 152572 2008R Arizona 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.008701 0.4001454 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152573 152573 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.370876 1.02888 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152574 152574 2008R California 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 2.916413 2.268546 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152575 152575 2008R Colorado 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 5.725317 5.000193 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152576 152576 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4325418 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152577 152577 2008R Florida 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5390199 0.3964717 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152578 152578 2008R Georgia 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152579 152579 2008R Illinois 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.202134 0.8609534 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152580 152580 2008R Iowa 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 2.315592 2.159619 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152581 152581 2008R Maine 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-01
152582 152582 2008R Maryland 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.570806 0.8079608 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152583 152583 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152584 152584 2008R Michigan 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4169376 0.0957563 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-15
152585 152585 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.328371 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152586 152586 2008R National 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7280329   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152587 152587 2008R Nevada 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.216213 0.7969013 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152588 152588 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.273666 1.212282 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152589 152589 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5680577 0.0545812 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152590 152590 2008R New York 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5975353 0.3119183 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152591 152591 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-06
152592 152592 2008R Ohio 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6126156 0.1330501 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152593 152593 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2171847 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152594 152594 2008R Oregon 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7298545 0.5077319 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-20
152595 152595 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2250057 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-04-22
152596 152596 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7487209 0.6472823 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152597 152597 2008R Texas 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 2.935575 2.463892 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152598 152598 2008R Utah 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2284364 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152599 152599 2008R Vermont 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.370876 0.8928069 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152600 152600 2008R Virginia 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 1.246693 0.4577549 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152601 152601 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-13
152602 152602 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-15 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-19
152603 152603 2008R Alabama 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 26.38254 17.38994 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152604 152604 2008R Arizona 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 13.97073 6.781167 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152605 152605 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 5.646579 6.078824 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152606 152606 2008R California 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 12.78456 8.181218 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152607 152607 2008R Colorado 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 20.41348 11.64659 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152608 152608 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 5.229124 3.297484 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152609 152609 2008R Florida 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 9.455441 8.35359 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-29
152610 152610 2008R Georgia 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 28.29883 16.95455 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152611 152611 2008R Idaho 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 7.904922 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-27
152612 152612 2008R Illinois 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 17.09647 10.85017 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152613 152613 2008R Iowa 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 9.036787 7.980651 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-03
152614 152614 2008R Maine 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 5.941139 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-01
152615 152615 2008R Maryland 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 13.52186 7.134896 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152616 152616 2008R Michigan 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 11.24515 6.634148 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-15
152617 152617 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 6.066018 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152618 152618 2008R Missouri 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 23.19762 12.93145 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152619 152619 2008R National 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 10.06617   12/10/19 18:08 one day test  
152620 152620 2008R Nevada 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 10.04961 6.63393 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152621 152621 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 2.651914 2.376422 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-08
152622 152622 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 8.848746 3.341028 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152623 152623 2008R New York 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 7.880159 5.501194 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152624 152624 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 17.74128 12.76724 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-06
152625 152625 2008R Ohio 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 12.80548 7.333775 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152626 152626 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 13.50999 12.15137 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152627 152627 2008R Oregon 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 6.519428 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-20
152628 152628 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 9.975091 5.165597 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-04-22
152629 152629 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 15.46299 14.49654 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-01-19
152630 152630 2008R Texas 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 16.91876 13.80106 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-03-04
152631 152631 2008R Utah 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-05
152632 152632 2008R Virginia 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 19.24096 9.970439 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-12
152633 152633 2008R Washington 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 10.01702 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-19
152634 152634 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 6.690201 6.488353 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-05-13
152635 152635 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-15 Fred Thompson 57 19.35432 15.12888 12/10/19 18:08 one day test 2008-02-19
152636 152636 2008R Alabama 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 1.79906 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152637 152637 2008R Arizona 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 0.1824507 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152638 152638 2008R California 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.5448227 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152639 152639 2008R Florida 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 1.443931 1.154841 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
152640 152640 2008R Illinois 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152641 152641 2008R Iowa 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 0.5097418 0.3806197 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
152642 152642 2008R National 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 0.5867539   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
152643 152643 2008R Nevada 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 0.0611679 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152644 152644 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 0.7230874 0.6421366 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
152645 152645 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 0.5934544 0.4737878 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152646 152646 2008R Texas 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.7683908 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
152647 152647 2008R Utah 2007-12-15 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152648 152648 2008R Alabama 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 1.012849 1.135677 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152649 152649 2008R Arizona 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 1.117828 1.288671 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152650 152650 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.5538786 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152651 152651 2008R California 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 3.004477 3.220146 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152652 152652 2008R Colorado 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.902656 1.067845 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152653 152653 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4025815 0.4888708 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152654 152654 2008R Florida 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7810855 0.7156467 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
152655 152655 2008R Georgia 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.5717492 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152656 152656 2008R Illinois 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7173486 1.187999 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152657 152657 2008R Iowa 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6544152 0.5474253 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
152658 152658 2008R Maine 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.4324173 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-01
152659 152659 2008R Maryland 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.0020553 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
152660 152660 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.4324173 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152661 152661 2008R Michigan 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9103165 0.9316375 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-15
152662 152662 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.053235 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152663 152663 2008R Missouri 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.9486938 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152664 152664 2008R National 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 1.46024   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
152665 152665 2008R Nevada 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 2.753619 2.568321 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152666 152666 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.5058228 0.4410058 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
152667 152667 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3456566 0.362718 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152668 152668 2008R New Mexico 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.9236602 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-06-03
152669 152669 2008R New York 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3014577 0.2176478 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152670 152670 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-15 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.9186719 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-06

Next page

Advanced export

JSON shape: default, array, newline-delimited

CSV options: 

CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);