polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

569 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-16

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
152858 152858 2008R Alabama 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6826474 0.1636239 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152859 152859 2008R Arizona 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.008701 0.4001454 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152860 152860 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.370876 1.02888 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152861 152861 2008R California 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 2.916413 2.268546 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152862 152862 2008R Colorado 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 5.725317 5.000193 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152863 152863 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4325418 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152864 152864 2008R Florida 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5390199 0.3964717 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
152865 152865 2008R Georgia 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152866 152866 2008R Illinois 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.202134 0.8609534 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152867 152867 2008R Iowa 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 2.315592 2.159619 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
152868 152868 2008R Maine 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-01
152869 152869 2008R Maryland 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.570806 0.8079608 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
152870 152870 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152871 152871 2008R Michigan 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4169376 0.0957563 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-15
152872 152872 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.328371 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152873 152873 2008R National 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7280329   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
152874 152874 2008R Nevada 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.216213 0.7969013 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152875 152875 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.273666 1.212282 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
152876 152876 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5680577 0.0545812 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152877 152877 2008R New York 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5975353 0.3119183 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152878 152878 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-06
152879 152879 2008R Ohio 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6126156 0.1330501 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
152880 152880 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2171847 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152881 152881 2008R Oregon 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7298545 0.5077319 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-20
152882 152882 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2250057 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-04-22
152883 152883 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7487209 0.6472823 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152884 152884 2008R Texas 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 2.935575 2.463892 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
152885 152885 2008R Utah 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2284364 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152886 152886 2008R Vermont 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.370876 0.8928069 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
152887 152887 2008R Virginia 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 1.246693 0.4577549 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
152888 152888 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3257308 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-13
152889 152889 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-16 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-19
152890 152890 2008R Alabama 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 26.39561 17.51512 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152891 152891 2008R Arizona 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 13.97072 6.86395 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152892 152892 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 5.646691 6.15695 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152893 152893 2008R California 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 12.81833 8.242989 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152894 152894 2008R Colorado 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 20.41363 11.74921 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152895 152895 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 5.229149 3.36245 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152896 152896 2008R Florida 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 9.451393 8.376585 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
152897 152897 2008R Georgia 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 28.29905 17.07591 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152898 152898 2008R Idaho 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 7.993685 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-27
152899 152899 2008R Illinois 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 17.0965 10.89039 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152900 152900 2008R Iowa 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 9.036754 8.016313 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
152901 152901 2008R Maine 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 6.020189 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-01
152902 152902 2008R Maryland 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 13.52379 7.220739 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
152903 152903 2008R Michigan 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 11.32313 6.70228 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-15
152904 152904 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 6.145954 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152905 152905 2008R Missouri 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 23.19783 13.03883 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152906 152906 2008R National 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 10.12979   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
152907 152907 2008R Nevada 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 10.13561 6.73172 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152908 152908 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 2.650006 2.374341 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
152909 152909 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 8.882755 3.398167 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152910 152910 2008R New York 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 7.913466 5.534785 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152911 152911 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 17.79322 12.87396 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-06
152912 152912 2008R Ohio 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 12.81482 7.421105 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
152913 152913 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 13.50986 12.25801 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152914 152914 2008R Oregon 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 6.568026 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-20
152915 152915 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 9.981785 5.239982 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-04-22
152916 152916 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 15.46071 14.53883 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152917 152917 2008R Texas 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 16.96211 13.89648 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
152918 152918 2008R Utah 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152919 152919 2008R Virginia 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 19.24421 10.06976 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
152920 152920 2008R Washington 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 10.11526 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-19
152921 152921 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 6.69032 6.568451 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-13
152922 152922 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-16 Fred Thompson 57 19.35421 15.24066 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-19
152923 152923 2008R Alabama 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 1.79906 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152924 152924 2008R Arizona 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 0.1824507 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152925 152925 2008R California 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.5448227 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152926 152926 2008R Florida 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 1.443931 1.154841 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
152927 152927 2008R Illinois 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 4.01e-07 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152928 152928 2008R Iowa 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 0.5097418 0.3806197 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
152929 152929 2008R National 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 0.5867539   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
152930 152930 2008R Nevada 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 0.0611679 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152931 152931 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 0.7230874 0.6421366 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
152932 152932 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 0.5934544 0.4737878 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152933 152933 2008R Texas 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 0.7683908 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
152934 152934 2008R Utah 2007-12-16 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152935 152935 2008R Alabama 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 1.012849 1.135677 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152936 152936 2008R Arizona 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 1.117828 1.288671 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152937 152937 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.5538786 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152938 152938 2008R California 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 3.004477 3.220146 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152939 152939 2008R Colorado 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.902656 1.067845 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152940 152940 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4025815 0.4888708 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152941 152941 2008R Florida 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7810855 0.7156467 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
152942 152942 2008R Georgia 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.5717492 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152943 152943 2008R Illinois 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7173486 1.187999 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152944 152944 2008R Iowa 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6544152 0.5474253 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
152945 152945 2008R Maine 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.4324173 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-01
152946 152946 2008R Maryland 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.0020553 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
152947 152947 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.4324173 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152948 152948 2008R Michigan 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9103165 0.9316375 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-15
152949 152949 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.053235 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152950 152950 2008R Missouri 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.9486938 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152951 152951 2008R National 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 1.46024   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
152952 152952 2008R Nevada 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 2.753619 2.568321 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
152953 152953 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.5058228 0.4410058 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
152954 152954 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3456566 0.362718 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152955 152955 2008R New Mexico 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.9236602 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-06-03
152956 152956 2008R New York 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3014577 0.2176478 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
152957 152957 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-16 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2392801 0.9186719 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-06

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);