polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

569 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-17

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
153145 153145 2008R Alabama 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6804554 0.2210819 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153146 153146 2008R Arizona 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.00886 0.460964 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153147 153147 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.371042 1.094726 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153148 153148 2008R California 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 2.916589 2.344812 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153149 153149 2008R Colorado 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 5.725518 5.094397 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153150 153150 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4325941 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153151 153151 2008R Florida 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5449036 0.423445 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
153152 153152 2008R Georgia 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3258766 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153153 153153 2008R Illinois 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.202198 0.9041906 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153154 153154 2008R Iowa 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 2.323606 2.225355 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
153155 153155 2008R Maine 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3258766 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-01
153156 153156 2008R Maryland 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.570527 0.8719707 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
153157 153157 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3258766 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153158 153158 2008R Michigan 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4226058 0.1579249 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-15
153159 153159 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.405505 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153160 153160 2008R National 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.774169   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
153161 153161 2008R Nevada 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.213832 0.8523381 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
153162 153162 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.27806 1.246865 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
153163 153163 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.569559 0.1098808 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153164 153164 2008R New York 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5955341 0.3561223 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153165 153165 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-06
153166 153166 2008R Ohio 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6125923 0.1934294 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
153167 153167 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.217271 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153168 153168 2008R Oregon 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7239048 0.5556751 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-20
153169 153169 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2247052 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-04-22
153170 153170 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6505263 0.6448156 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
153171 153171 2008R Texas 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 2.948228 2.527449 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
153172 153172 2008R Utah 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2285304 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153173 153173 2008R Vermont 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.371042 0.9575834 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
153174 153174 2008R Virginia 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 1.246339 0.5189738 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
153175 153175 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3258766 0.0003583 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-13
153176 153176 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-17 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-19
153177 153177 2008R Alabama 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 26.35822 18.02787 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153178 153178 2008R Arizona 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 13.96564 7.210328 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153179 153179 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 5.754732 6.30652 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153180 153180 2008R California 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 11.70889 9.897157 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153181 153181 2008R Colorado 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 20.42584 12.17717 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153182 153182 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 5.231028 3.63366 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153183 153183 2008R Florida 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 8.633465 7.902519 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-29
153184 153184 2008R Georgia 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 28.31565 17.58091 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153185 153185 2008R Idaho 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 8.365965 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-27
153186 153186 2008R Illinois 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 17.10436 11.14678 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153187 153187 2008R Iowa 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 9.056477 8.303718 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-03
153188 153188 2008R Maine 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 6.351727 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-01
153189 153189 2008R Maryland 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 13.52767 7.574397 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
153190 153190 2008R Michigan 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 11.29367 7.035459 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-15
153191 153191 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 6.481513 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153192 153192 2008R Missouri 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 23.21317 13.48628 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153193 153193 2008R National 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 10.45981   12/10/19 18:07 one day test  
153194 153194 2008R Nevada 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 10.09775 7.0432 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
153195 153195 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 2.653811 2.476548 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-08
153196 153196 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 8.887325 3.660331 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153197 153197 2008R New York 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 7.875544 5.812025 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153198 153198 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 17.8197 13.35429 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-06
153199 153199 2008R Ohio 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 12.80221 7.786605 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
153200 153200 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 13.50939 12.70327 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153201 153201 2008R Oregon 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 6.855785 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-20
153202 153202 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 9.97271 5.561696 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-04-22
153203 153203 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 13.77406 13.59604 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-01-19
153204 153204 2008R Texas 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 17.02151 14.29776 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-03-04
153205 153205 2008R Utah 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-05
153206 153206 2008R Virginia 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 19.25079 10.47671 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-12
153207 153207 2008R Washington 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 10.52679 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-19
153208 153208 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 6.699249 6.903082 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-05-13
153209 153209 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-17 Fred Thompson 57 19.35382 15.7358 12/10/19 18:07 one day test 2008-02-19
153210 153210 2008R Alabama 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.726629 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153211 153211 2008R Arizona 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 0.3406144 0.6876596 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153212 153212 2008R California 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.494764 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153213 153213 2008R Florida 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 1.467437 2.288575 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153214 153214 2008R Illinois 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.2169653 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153215 153215 2008R Iowa 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 0.5780379 1.061996 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153216 153216 2008R National 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 1.508068   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153217 153217 2008R Nevada 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 0.1723028 0.5529802 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153218 153218 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 0.7804524 1.196234 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153219 153219 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 0.7005264 1.187188 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153220 153220 2008R Texas 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.753578 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153221 153221 2008R Utah 2007-12-17 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.3525778 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153222 153222 2008R Alabama 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 1.012359 0.8830855 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153223 153223 2008R Arizona 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 1.115479 1.033142 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153224 153224 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2366543 0.319844 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153225 153225 2008R California 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 2.99696 2.902861 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153226 153226 2008R Colorado 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9002204 0.8188285 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153227 153227 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4027896 0.2597018 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153228 153228 2008R Florida 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7799979 0.5934674 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153229 153229 2008R Georgia 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2366543 0.3371706 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153230 153230 2008R Illinois 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7145553 0.9353902 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153231 153231 2008R Iowa 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6474863 0.3558535 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153232 153232 2008R Maine 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2366543 0.2020925 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-01
153233 153233 2008R Maryland 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.002028 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153234 153234 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2366543 0.2020925 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153235 153235 2008R Michigan 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9112955 0.6937506 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-15
153236 153236 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 0.8042899 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153237 153237 2008R Missouri 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2366543 0.7027522 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153238 153238 2008R National 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 1.198811   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153239 153239 2008R Nevada 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 2.742297 2.27875 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153240 153240 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.5059692 0.3026164 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153241 153241 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3416404 0.1433707 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153242 153242 2008R New Mexico 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2366543 0.6784669 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-06-03
153243 153243 2008R New York 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3056874 0.0219077 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153244 153244 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-17 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2366543 0.6736277 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-06

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);