polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

569 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-18

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
153432 153432 2008R Alabama 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.684199 0.5511711 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153433 153433 2008R Arizona 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.014971 0.7999409 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153434 153434 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.37742 1.461427 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153435 153435 2008R California 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 2.559724 2.456243 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153436 153436 2008R Colorado 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 5.733552 5.615829 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153437 153437 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4346066 0.2527759 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153438 153438 2008R Florida 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5552013 0.5953643 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153439 153439 2008R Georgia 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.331485 0.2387193 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153440 153440 2008R Illinois 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.205898 1.160254 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153441 153441 2008R Iowa 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 2.359198 2.475545 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153442 153442 2008R Maine 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.331485 0.2795923 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-01
153443 153443 2008R Maryland 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.573485 1.232109 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153444 153444 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.331485 0.2795923 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153445 153445 2008R Michigan 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4367372 0.4796405 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-15
153446 153446 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.827529 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153447 153447 2008R National 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.038404   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153448 153448 2008R Nevada 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.218187 1.177212 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153449 153449 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.292215 1.419911 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153450 153450 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5708162 0.4143458 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153451 153451 2008R New York 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5957829 0.6312486 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153452 153452 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-06
153453 153453 2008R Ohio 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6126472 0.5215525 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153454 153454 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2211002 0.1362956 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153455 153455 2008R Oregon 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7207541 0.8450295 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-20
153456 153456 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2254118 0.1304976 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-04-22
153457 153457 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7430328 0.8406729 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153458 153458 2008R Texas 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 2.957439 2.873129 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153459 153459 2008R Utah 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2325343 0.1278145 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153460 153460 2008R Vermont 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.37742 1.318393 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153461 153461 2008R Virginia 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 1.250111 0.8651708 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153462 153462 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 0.331485 0.3188614 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-13
153463 153463 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-18 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-19
153464 153464 2008R Alabama 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 26.36841 18.47193 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153465 153465 2008R Arizona 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 13.96842 7.510437 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153466 153466 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 5.753671 6.499419 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153467 153467 2008R California 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 9.942539 9.165865 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153468 153468 2008R Colorado 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 20.42352 12.54715 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153469 153469 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 5.23067 3.872734 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153470 153470 2008R Florida 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 8.571913 7.979718 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153471 153471 2008R Georgia 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 28.3125 18.01559 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153472 153472 2008R Idaho 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 8.692086 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-27
153473 153473 2008R Illinois 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 17.10289 11.408 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153474 153474 2008R Iowa 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 8.99458 8.781672 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153475 153475 2008R Maine 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 6.642711 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-01
153476 153476 2008R Maryland 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 13.51342 7.865705 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153477 153477 2008R Michigan 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 11.33742 7.272589 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-15
153478 153478 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 6.775854 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153479 153479 2008R Missouri 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 23.21025 13.8722 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153480 153480 2008R National 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 10.88818   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153481 153481 2008R Nevada 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 10.16639 7.318001 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153482 153482 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 2.355137 2.310575 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153483 153483 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 8.91488 3.876247 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153484 153484 2008R New York 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 7.884816 5.991116 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153485 153485 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 17.79855 13.6934 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-06
153486 153486 2008R Ohio 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 12.80989 8.098288 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153487 153487 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 13.50954 13.09245 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153488 153488 2008R Oregon 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 7.063988 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-20
153489 153489 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 9.978227 5.832364 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-04-22
153490 153490 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 12.83647 12.72772 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153491 153491 2008R Texas 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 17.06706 14.67352 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153492 153492 2008R Utah 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153493 153493 2008R Virginia 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 19.22714 10.8031 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153494 153494 2008R Washington 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 10.89231 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-19
153495 153495 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 6.69755 7.192834 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-13
153496 153496 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-18 Fred Thompson 57 19.35395 16.12509 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-19
153497 153497 2008R Alabama 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.726629 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153498 153498 2008R Arizona 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 0.3406144 0.6876596 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153499 153499 2008R California 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.494764 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153500 153500 2008R Florida 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 1.467437 2.288575 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153501 153501 2008R Illinois 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.2169653 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153502 153502 2008R Iowa 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 0.5780379 1.061996 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153503 153503 2008R National 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 1.508068   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153504 153504 2008R Nevada 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 0.1723028 0.5529802 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153505 153505 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 0.7804524 1.196234 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153506 153506 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 0.7005264 1.187188 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153507 153507 2008R Texas 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.753578 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153508 153508 2008R Utah 2007-12-18 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.3525778 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153509 153509 2008R Alabama 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 1.016601 1.294357 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153510 153510 2008R Arizona 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 1.122366 1.451107 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153511 153511 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2442389 0.7032552 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153512 153512 2008R California 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 2.847353 3.069941 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153513 153513 2008R Colorado 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9072895 1.226297 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153514 153514 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4064899 0.6357508 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153515 153515 2008R Florida 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7842098 0.7674878 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153516 153516 2008R Georgia 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2442389 0.7214695 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153517 153517 2008R Illinois 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7226241 1.349101 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153518 153518 2008R Iowa 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7050888 0.7029291 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153519 153519 2008R Maine 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2442389 0.5794486 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-01
153520 153520 2008R Maryland 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153521 153521 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2442389 0.5794486 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153522 153522 2008R Michigan 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.917758 1.092657 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-15
153523 153523 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.209241 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153524 153524 2008R Missouri 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2442389 1.105594 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153525 153525 2008R National 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 1.641903   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153526 153526 2008R Nevada 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 2.738198 2.718394 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153527 153527 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6838579 0.6820521 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153528 153528 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3396057 0.4907965 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153529 153529 2008R New Mexico 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2442389 1.080088 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-06-03
153530 153530 2008R New York 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3138696 0.3426233 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153531 153531 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-18 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2442389 1.075005 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-06

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);