polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

569 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-19

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Suggested facets: modeldate (date), contestdate (date)

Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
153719 153719 2008R Alabama 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6852766 0.552211 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153720 153720 2008R Arizona 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.016532 0.8014601 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153721 153721 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.379049 1.46307 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153722 153722 2008R California 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 2.558344 2.454733 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153723 153723 2008R Colorado 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 5.735631 5.617886 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153724 153724 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4351205 0.2532859 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153725 153725 2008R Florida 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4377734 0.4473208 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153726 153726 2008R Georgia 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3329171 0.240132 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153727 153727 2008R Illinois 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.206966 1.161299 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153728 153728 2008R Iowa 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 2.36267 2.450342 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153729 153729 2008R Maine 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3329171 0.281013 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-01
153730 153730 2008R Maryland 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.575396 1.233484 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153731 153731 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3329171 0.281013 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153732 153732 2008R Michigan 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4399924 0.4833373 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-15
153733 153733 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.827529 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153734 153734 2008R National 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.039323   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153735 153735 2008R Nevada 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.21838 1.177725 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153736 153736 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.085478 1.229415 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153737 153737 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5709608 0.4144784 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153738 153738 2008R New York 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5919076 0.6271226 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153739 153739 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-06
153740 153740 2008R Ohio 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6126472 0.5215525 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153741 153741 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2221279 0.1373131 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153742 153742 2008R Oregon 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7207541 0.8450295 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-20
153743 153743 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2254118 0.1304976 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-04-22
153744 153744 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7469498 0.8455023 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153745 153745 2008R Texas 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 2.958779 2.874436 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153746 153746 2008R Utah 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2335967 0.1288665 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153747 153747 2008R Vermont 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.379049 1.32001 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153748 153748 2008R Virginia 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 1.252539 0.8669144 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153749 153749 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3329171 0.3202896 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-13
153750 153750 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-19 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-19
153751 153751 2008R Alabama 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 26.38053 18.36412 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153752 153752 2008R Arizona 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 13.97361 7.436884 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153753 153753 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 5.754564 6.437202 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153754 153754 2008R California 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 9.952498 9.119201 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153755 153755 2008R Colorado 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 20.42542 12.4562 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153756 153756 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 5.230959 3.815133 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153757 153757 2008R Florida 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 8.292268 7.795959 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-29
153758 153758 2008R Georgia 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 28.31505 17.90851 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153759 153759 2008R Idaho 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 8.613817 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-27
153760 153760 2008R Illinois 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 17.10419 11.3445 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153761 153761 2008R Iowa 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 8.83497 8.620137 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-03
153762 153762 2008R Maine 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 6.572898 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-01
153763 153763 2008R Maryland 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 13.5064 7.787112 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153764 153764 2008R Michigan 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 11.40246 7.205021 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-15
153765 153765 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 6.705179 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153766 153766 2008R Missouri 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 23.21261 13.77707 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153767 153767 2008R National 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 10.78409   12/10/19 18:06 one day test  
153768 153768 2008R Nevada 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 10.24033 7.277423 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153769 153769 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 2.453144 2.391536 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-08
153770 153770 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 8.942447 3.820914 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153771 153771 2008R New York 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 7.897129 5.915577 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153772 153772 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 17.84865 13.61573 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-06
153773 153773 2008R Ohio 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 12.81756 8.023552 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153774 153774 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 13.50963 12.99836 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153775 153775 2008R Oregon 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 7.001745 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-20
153776 153776 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 9.98374 5.765059 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-04-22
153777 153777 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 12.86839 12.71365 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-01-19
153778 153778 2008R Texas 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 17.11335 14.6029 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-03-04
153779 153779 2008R Utah 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-05
153780 153780 2008R Virginia 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 19.21547 10.71119 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-12
153781 153781 2008R Washington 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 10.80604 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-19
153782 153782 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 6.698922 7.121311 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-05-13
153783 153783 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-19 Fred Thompson 57 19.35402 16.02433 12/10/19 18:06 one day test 2008-02-19
153784 153784 2008R Alabama 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.726629 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153785 153785 2008R Arizona 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 0.3406144 0.6876596 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153786 153786 2008R California 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.494764 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153787 153787 2008R Florida 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 1.467437 2.288575 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-29
153788 153788 2008R Illinois 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.2169653 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153789 153789 2008R Iowa 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 0.5780379 1.061996 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-03
153790 153790 2008R National 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 1.508068   12/10/19 18:05 one day test  
153791 153791 2008R Nevada 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 0.1723028 0.5529802 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
153792 153792 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 0.7804524 1.196234 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-08
153793 153793 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 0.7005264 1.187188 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
153794 153794 2008R Texas 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.753578 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-03-04
153795 153795 2008R Utah 2007-12-19 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.3525778 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153796 153796 2008R Alabama 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 1.016396 1.294085 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153797 153797 2008R Arizona 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 1.122164 1.450842 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153798 153798 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2440311 0.7029774 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153799 153799 2008R California 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 2.848512 3.070946 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153800 153800 2008R Colorado 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9070912 1.226037 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153801 153801 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4031629 0.6324677 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153802 153802 2008R Florida 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.86764 0.8404508 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-29
153803 153803 2008R Georgia 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2440311 0.7211911 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153804 153804 2008R Illinois 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.722403 1.348801 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153805 153805 2008R Iowa 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.728433 0.7252159 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-03
153806 153806 2008R Maine 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2440311 0.5791752 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-01
153807 153807 2008R Maryland 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-12
153808 153808 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2440311 0.5791752 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153809 153809 2008R Michigan 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.92533 1.100228 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-15
153810 153810 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.209241 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153811 153811 2008R Missouri 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2440311 1.105302 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153812 153812 2008R National 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 1.641095   12/10/19 18:05 one day test  
153813 153813 2008R Nevada 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 2.736685 2.716846 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
153814 153814 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.5259668 0.5411059 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-08
153815 153815 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3366145 0.4879046 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153816 153816 2008R New Mexico 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2440311 1.079797 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-06-03
153817 153817 2008R New York 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.3133056 0.3420308 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
153818 153818 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-19 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2440311 1.074715 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-06

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);