polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

585 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2007-12-20

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
154006 154006 2008R Alabama 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.6967787 0.5563225 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154007 154007 2008R Arizona 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.033144 0.8120006 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154008 154008 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.396385 1.474465 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154009 154009 2008R California 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 2.583177 2.467429 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154010 154010 2008R Colorado 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 5.757763 5.630759 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154011 154011 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4405906 0.2523202 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154012 154012 2008R Florida 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.4277804 0.4295733 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-29
154013 154013 2008R Georgia 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3481621 0.249934 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154014 154014 2008R Illinois 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.218389 1.175969 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154015 154015 2008R Iowa 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 2.171481 2.220111 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-03
154016 154016 2008R Maine 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3481621 0.2908698 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-01
154017 154017 2008R Maryland 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.575422 1.225176 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-12
154018 154018 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3481621 0.2908698 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154019 154019 2008R Michigan 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5967706 0.6505446 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-15
154020 154020 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 3.0 2.818161 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154021 154021 2008R Montana 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.000001 0.9893935 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154022 154022 2008R National 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.076529   12/10/19 18:05 one day test  
154023 154023 2008R Nevada 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.142707 1.086102 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
154024 154024 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.9742274 1.045503 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-08
154025 154025 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5744451 0.4055881 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154026 154026 2008R New York 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.5920488 0.6037906 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154027 154027 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-06
154028 154028 2008R Ohio 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.612676 0.513202 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-03-04
154029 154029 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2330963 0.1424087 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154030 154030 2008R Oregon 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7147952 0.8267871 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-20
154031 154031 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2257837 0.1225042 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-04-22
154032 154032 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.7225966 0.7974694 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
154033 154033 2008R Texas 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 2.982809 2.895733 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-03-04
154034 154034 2008R Utah 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.2449288 0.1344016 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154035 154035 2008R Vermont 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.396385 1.331223 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-03-04
154036 154036 2008R Virginia 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 1.251968 0.8581313 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-12
154037 154037 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 0.3481621 0.3301991 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-13
154038 154038 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-20 Tom Tancredo 59 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-19
154039 154039 2008R Alabama 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 26.33522 18.01406 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154040 154040 2008R Arizona 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 13.95445 7.211689 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154041 154041 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 5.749549 6.282859 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154042 154042 2008R California 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 9.934855 9.007175 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154043 154043 2008R Colorado 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 20.41807 12.17808 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154044 154044 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 5.230023 3.645496 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154045 154045 2008R Florida 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 8.268142 7.690735 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-29
154046 154046 2008R Georgia 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 28.30678 17.57969 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154047 154047 2008R Idaho 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 18.0 8.385868 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-27
154048 154048 2008R Illinois 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 17.09366 11.15164 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154049 154049 2008R Iowa 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 8.330043 8.058104 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-03
154050 154050 2008R Maine 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 8.999999 6.369361 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-01
154051 154051 2008R Maryland 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 13.45587 7.529142 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-12
154052 154052 2008R Michigan 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 5.834474 4.775957 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-15
154053 154053 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 6.499466 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154054 154054 2008R Missouri 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 23.20497 13.48519 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154055 154055 2008R Montana 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 12.0 11.96264 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154056 154056 2008R National 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 10.65193   12/10/19 18:05 one day test  
154057 154057 2008R Nevada 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 10.77915 7.498822 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
154058 154058 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 2.997297 2.839089 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-08
154059 154059 2008R New Jersey 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 8.958305 3.655413 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154060 154060 2008R New York 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 7.904671 5.721236 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154061 154061 2008R North Carolina 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 17.87883 13.34677 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-06
154062 154062 2008R Ohio 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 12.81393 7.802522 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-03-04
154063 154063 2008R Oklahoma 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 10.68762 10.2779 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154064 154064 2008R Oregon 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 9.925372 6.825223 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-20
154065 154065 2008R Pennsylvania 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 9.980447 5.570503 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-04-22
154066 154066 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 12.91767 12.63658 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
154067 154067 2008R Texas 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 17.1035 14.32645 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-03-04
154068 154068 2008R Utah 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 3.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154069 154069 2008R Virginia 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 19.1349 10.40007 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-12
154070 154070 2008R Washington 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 16.0 10.55383 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-19
154071 154071 2008R West Virginia 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 6.694474 6.902267 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-05-13
154072 154072 2008R Wisconsin 2007-12-20 Fred Thompson 57 19.34542 15.72501 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-19
154073 154073 2008R Alabama 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 2.000001 2.726629 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154074 154074 2008R Arizona 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 0.2597548 0.6172321 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154075 154075 2008R California 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.494764 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154076 154076 2008R Florida 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 1.446321 2.260184 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-29
154077 154077 2008R Illinois 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.2169653 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154078 154078 2008R Iowa 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 0.9926535 1.208032 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-03
154079 154079 2008R Montana 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154080 154080 2008R National 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 1.580888   12/10/19 18:05 one day test  
154081 154081 2008R Nevada 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 0.1114264 0.4942989 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
154082 154082 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 0.6474032 0.7994762 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-08
154083 154083 2008R South Carolina 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 0.6403115 1.126586 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
154084 154084 2008R Texas 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 1.000001 1.753578 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-03-04
154085 154085 2008R Utah 2007-12-20 Alan Keyes 55 4.01e-07 0.3525778 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154086 154086 2008R Alabama 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 1.020313 1.279295 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154087 154087 2008R Arizona 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 1.125287 1.434708 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154088 154088 2008R Arkansas 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2470711 0.688205 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154089 154089 2008R California 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 2.864311 3.076379 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154090 154090 2008R Colorado 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9100439 1.210173 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154091 154091 2008R Connecticut 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.4086801 0.6200821 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154092 154092 2008R Florida 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.8728788 0.8322417 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-29
154093 154093 2008R Georgia 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2470711 0.7063848 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154094 154094 2008R Illinois 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7256369 1.332874 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154095 154095 2008R Iowa 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.6460035 0.6222678 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-03
154096 154096 2008R Maine 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2470711 0.564634 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-01
154097 154097 2008R Maryland 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.0289269 0.0 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-12
154098 154098 2008R Massachusetts 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2470711 0.564634 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154099 154099 2008R Michigan 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.9020339 0.9556377 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-15
154100 154100 2008R Minnesota 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 1.000001 1.191588 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154101 154101 2008R Missouri 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.2470711 1.089788 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154102 154102 2008R Montana 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 2.000001 1.991298 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-02-05
154103 154103 2008R National 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 1.578522   12/10/19 18:05 one day test  
154104 154104 2008R Nevada 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 2.665277 2.632637 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-19
154105 154105 2008R New Hampshire 2007-12-20 Duncan Hunter 53 0.7578833 0.7443842 12/10/19 18:05 one day test 2008-01-08

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);