polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

570 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2015-11-17

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
244555 244555 2016R Alabama 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 34.54243 39.23954 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244556 244556 2016R Arizona 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 26.6228 30.64609 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-22
244557 244557 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 33.70325 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244558 244558 2016R California 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.13335 22.64671 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-06-07
244559 244559 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.10982 28.56614 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-26
244560 244560 2016R Florida 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 28.18395 29.61252 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244561 244561 2016R Georgia 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 26.64147 31.42133 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244562 244562 2016R Illinois 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.37088 26.31379 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244563 244563 2016R Iowa 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.83634 22.29473 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-01
244564 244564 2016R Kentucky 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 11.39592 35.45671 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-05
244565 244565 2016R Louisiana 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 23.5495 28.97117 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-05
244566 244566 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 43.78143 48.43653 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244567 244567 2016R Michigan 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 18.49456 27.1393 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-08
244568 244568 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.43364 24.71399 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244569 244569 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 34.79702 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-08
244570 244570 2016R Missouri 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 22.18967 26.98347 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244571 244571 2016R National 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 29.35515   12/10/19 18:47 one day test  
244572 244572 2016R Nevada 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 30.67601 37.65793 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-23
244573 244573 2016R New Hampshire 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 25.66504 27.01678 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-09
244574 244574 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 28.02225 32.73925 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-06-07
244575 244575 2016R New York 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 6.267919 36.48064 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-19
244576 244576 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 23.51771 28.89252 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244577 244577 2016R Ohio 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 14.59995 24.89241 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244578 244578 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.46614 30.62272 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244579 244579 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 23.39043 26.49065 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-26
244580 244580 2016R South Carolina 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 25.86434 27.59445 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-20
244581 244581 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 43.11061 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244582 244582 2016R Texas 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 18.48517 24.39581 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244583 244583 2016R Utah 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 16.42839 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-22
244584 244584 2016R Virginia 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.3841 28.61762 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244585 244585 2016R West Virginia 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 29.0 31.78867 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-05-10
244586 244586 2016R Wisconsin 2015-11-17 Donald Trump 9849 16.80894 18.6035 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-05
244587 244587 2016R Alabama 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2304965 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244588 244588 2016R Arizona 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-22
244589 244589 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.121933 0.4236171 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244590 244590 2016R California 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.184894 1.016896 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-06-07
244591 244591 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2043937 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-26
244592 244592 2016R Florida 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1177755 0.0177696 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244593 244593 2016R Georgia 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0878493 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244594 244594 2016R Illinois 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 2.310275 1.559414 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244595 244595 2016R Iowa 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.3368545 0.3213741 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-01
244596 244596 2016R Kentucky 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 2.000001 0.6887341 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-05
244597 244597 2016R Louisiana 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1070088 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-05
244598 244598 2016R Michigan 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7360682 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-08
244599 244599 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244600 244600 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1070088 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-08
244601 244601 2016R Missouri 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4616779 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244602 244602 2016R National 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4724934   12/10/19 18:47 one day test  
244603 244603 2016R Nevada 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.014598 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-23
244604 244604 2016R New Hampshire 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.3636846 0.3266932 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-09
244605 244605 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.8966979 0.5884213 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-06-07
244606 244606 2016R New York 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.8031 0.2520691 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-19
244607 244607 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9103031 0.5785857 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244608 244608 2016R Ohio 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.427961 0.6365941 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244609 244609 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6330416 0.114691 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244610 244610 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 2.385289 2.168139 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-26
244611 244611 2016R South Carolina 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4086197 0.3570667 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-20
244612 244612 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.121933 0.4352582 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244613 244613 2016R Texas 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6550707 0.1127265 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244614 244614 2016R Utah 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.8107151 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-22
244615 244615 2016R Virginia 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1792363 0.0 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244616 244616 2016R Washington 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.732966 0.3346958 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-05-24
244617 244617 2016R Wisconsin 2015-11-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.077597 0.692717 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-05
244618 244618 2016R Alabama 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 2.039948 4.705483 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244619 244619 2016R Arizona 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 9.685187 11.48311 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-22
244620 244620 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.61334 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244621 244621 2016R California 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.38645 11.14454 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-06-07
244622 244622 2016R Connecticut 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 9.453145 10.30175 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-26
244623 244623 2016R Florida 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 15.39622 16.13897 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244624 244624 2016R Georgia 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.475146 9.586001 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244625 244625 2016R Illinois 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 5.984327 10.2747 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244626 244626 2016R Iowa 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 13.7982 13.75134 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-01
244627 244627 2016R Kentucky 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 7.119364 6.993888 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-05
244628 244628 2016R Louisiana 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.583592 9.394304 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-05
244629 244629 2016R Massachusetts 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 11.44795 12.0595 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244630 244630 2016R Michigan 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.834787 9.457295 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-08
244631 244631 2016R Minnesota 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.58891 12.7321 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244632 244632 2016R Mississippi 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.61334 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-08
244633 244633 2016R Missouri 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 5.573523 9.621953 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244634 244634 2016R Montana 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.293333 13.65714 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-06-07
244635 244635 2016R National 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.99196   12/10/19 18:47 one day test  
244636 244636 2016R Nevada 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 7.273322 9.216735 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-23
244637 244637 2016R New Hampshire 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 11.39121 11.31923 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-09
244638 244638 2016R New Jersey 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 12.97874 13.25784 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-06-07
244639 244639 2016R New York 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 9.823121 11.03588 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-19
244640 244640 2016R North Carolina 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 9.355089 10.62956 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244641 244641 2016R Ohio 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.651009 7.566675 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-15
244642 244642 2016R Oklahoma 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 9.966307 11.16619 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244643 244643 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.026385 9.686877 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-26
244644 244644 2016R South Carolina 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.94903 10.98994 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-02-20
244645 244645 2016R Tennessee 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 6.61446 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244646 244646 2016R Texas 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.062456 7.2934 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244647 244647 2016R Utah 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 10.89203 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-22
244648 244648 2016R Virginia 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 9.422559 11.26919 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244649 244649 2016R Washington 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 12.10775 10.21167 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-05-24
244650 244650 2016R West Virginia 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.0 12.17524 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-05-10
244651 244651 2016R Wisconsin 2015-11-17 Marco Rubio 9731 12.67725 14.70965 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-04-05
244652 244652 2016R Alabama 2015-11-17 Rand Paul 9666 2.238493 1.440207 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01
244653 244653 2016R Arizona 2015-11-17 Rand Paul 9666 1.641126 0.8258161 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-22
244654 244654 2016R Arkansas 2015-11-17 Rand Paul 9666 4.000001 1.997041 12/10/19 18:47 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);