polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2015-12-12

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
255990 255990 2016R Alabama 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 34.28281 40.02067 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
255991 255991 2016R Arizona 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 27.20226 32.4964 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-22
255992 255992 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 34.81607 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
255993 255993 2016R California 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 20.33069 23.91373 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
255994 255994 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 27.13316 30.07914 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
255995 255995 2016R Florida 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 28.3104 31.45172 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
255996 255996 2016R Georgia 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 31.20097 35.25199 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
255997 255997 2016R Illinois 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 20.51767 27.43324 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
255998 255998 2016R Indiana 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 25.90733 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-05-03
255999 255999 2016R Iowa 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 24.17611 24.63615 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-01
256000 256000 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 11.6085 36.82409 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-05
256001 256001 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 23.58154 30.01916 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-05
256002 256002 2016R Maryland 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 23.0 25.03394 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
256003 256003 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 39.99294 43.87833 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256004 256004 2016R Michigan 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 18.6168 28.24884 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-08
256005 256005 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 20.67296 26.03062 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256006 256006 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 35.92015 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-08
256007 256007 2016R Missouri 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 22.47558 28.23407 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256008 256008 2016R Montana 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 22.2 23.65886 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
256009 256009 2016R National 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 31.05838   12/10/19 18:23 one day test  
256010 256010 2016R Nevada 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 29.66552 38.49713 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-23
256011 256011 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 25.71825 26.30151 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-09
256012 256012 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 27.68085 33.63414 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
256013 256013 2016R New York 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 6.346261 37.83589 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-19
256014 256014 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 26.67096 30.69598 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256015 256015 2016R Ohio 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 14.48247 25.88541 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256016 256016 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 28.02887 33.11201 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256017 256017 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 23.57786 27.62324 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
256018 256018 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 29.99531 29.70619 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-20
256019 256019 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 44.28717 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256020 256020 2016R Texas 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 17.72722 25.20686 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256021 256021 2016R Utah 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 17.26697 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-22
256022 256022 2016R Virginia 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 20.07229 30.12227 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256023 256023 2016R West Virginia 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 29.0 32.88234 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-05-10
256024 256024 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-12 Donald Trump 9849 16.53608 19.81453 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-05
256025 256025 2016R Alabama 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2163101 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256026 256026 2016R Arizona 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-22
256027 256027 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.13855 0.3275979 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256028 256028 2016R California 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.102268 0.7873574 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
256029 256029 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1798651 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
256030 256030 2016R Florida 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1841443 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256031 256031 2016R Georgia 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0948141 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256032 256032 2016R Illinois 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 2.354561 1.455644 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256033 256033 2016R Iowa 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9087075 0.87889 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-01
256034 256034 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 2.000001 0.5595537 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-05
256035 256035 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1215983 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-05
256036 256036 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256037 256037 2016R Michigan 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7886126 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-08
256038 256038 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256039 256039 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1215983 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-08
256040 256040 2016R Missouri 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5492426 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256041 256041 2016R National 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2966652   12/10/19 18:23 one day test  
256042 256042 2016R Nevada 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.109301 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-23
256043 256043 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.423677 0.4035756 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-09
256044 256044 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9271775 0.4926231 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
256045 256045 2016R New York 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.773387 0.1029243 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-19
256046 256046 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7080964 0.4547167 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256047 256047 2016R Ohio 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.424891 0.4948034 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256048 256048 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6430504 0.0124705 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256049 256049 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 2.441814 2.063291 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
256050 256050 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5755745 0.5148414 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-20
256051 256051 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.13855 0.3390906 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256052 256052 2016R Texas 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6996085 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256053 256053 2016R Utah 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.6793955 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-22
256054 256054 2016R Virginia 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2125744 0.0 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256055 256055 2016R Washington 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.695437 0.1808992 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-05-24
256056 256056 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-12 Rick Santorum 9742 1.185726 0.6103182 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-05
256057 256057 2016R Alabama 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 2.107805 6.844114 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256058 256058 2016R Arizona 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 8.487898 13.37677 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-22
256059 256059 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.953664 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256060 256060 2016R California 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 10.11289 13.68466 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
256061 256061 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 8.946217 11.93906 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
256062 256062 2016R Florida 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 14.45554 17.76138 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256063 256063 2016R Georgia 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 9.694948 11.45081 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256064 256064 2016R Illinois 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 5.995244 13.06895 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256065 256065 2016R Indiana 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 17.0 17.05062 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-05-03
256066 256066 2016R Iowa 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 12.75603 13.08154 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-01
256067 256067 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 7.186177 9.35099 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-05
256068 256068 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 6.584358 12.07763 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-05
256069 256069 2016R Maryland 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 16.0 17.28957 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
256070 256070 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 13.94546 16.52781 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256071 256071 2016R Michigan 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 6.847664 12.13385 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-08
256072 256072 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 10.68532 15.57187 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256073 256073 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.953664 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-08
256074 256074 2016R Missouri 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 5.60545 12.375 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256075 256075 2016R Montana 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 10.87094 15.73351 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
256076 256076 2016R National 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 13.36615   12/10/19 18:23 one day test  
256077 256077 2016R Nevada 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 6.905587 11.4524 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-23
256078 256078 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 12.99924 13.33509 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-09
256079 256079 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 12.65449 15.09734 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-06-07
256080 256080 2016R New York 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 9.719299 13.74321 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-19
256081 256081 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 10.56883 13.22383 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256082 256082 2016R Ohio 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 6.605431 9.929049 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-15
256083 256083 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 8.614048 12.2553 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256084 256084 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 7.916953 12.30962 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-04-26
256085 256085 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 12.76217 13.71283 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-02-20
256086 256086 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.954932 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256087 256087 2016R Texas 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 5.678194 9.411819 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01
256088 256088 2016R Utah 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 13.74466 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-22
256089 256089 2016R Virginia 2015-12-12 Marco Rubio 9731 9.014194 13.86087 12/10/19 18:23 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);