polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2015-12-13

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
256455 256455 2016R Alabama 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 34.28699 40.10873 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256456 256456 2016R Arizona 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 27.21562 32.59217 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-22
256457 256457 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 34.89803 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256458 256458 2016R California 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 20.33351 23.9859 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256459 256459 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 27.13075 30.14852 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256460 256460 2016R Florida 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 28.29195 31.54369 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256461 256461 2016R Georgia 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 31.15349 35.30971 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256462 256462 2016R Illinois 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 20.51529 27.5049 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256463 256463 2016R Indiana 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 25.86999 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-05-03
256464 256464 2016R Iowa 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 24.17467 24.66726 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-01
256465 256465 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 11.60595 36.90054 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-05
256466 256466 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 23.58062 30.0951 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-05
256467 256467 2016R Maryland 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 23.0 25.09974 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256468 256468 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 39.99416 43.96364 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256469 256469 2016R Michigan 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 18.61452 28.32103 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-08
256470 256470 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 20.66987 26.09636 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256471 256471 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 36.00283 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-08
256472 256472 2016R Missouri 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 22.47214 28.30423 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256473 256473 2016R Montana 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 22.2 23.72801 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256474 256474 2016R National 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 31.14238   12/10/19 18:22 one day test  
256475 256475 2016R Nevada 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 29.65739 38.57914 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-23
256476 256476 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 25.7176 26.32722 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-09
256477 256477 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 27.65688 33.7112 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256478 256478 2016R New York 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 6.344257 37.91354 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-19
256479 256479 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 26.62053 30.72149 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256480 256480 2016R Ohio 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 14.48236 25.95681 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256481 256481 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 28.0365 33.20232 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256482 256482 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 23.57535 27.69494 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256483 256483 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 29.99468 29.72322 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-20
256484 256484 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 44.37354 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256485 256485 2016R Texas 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 17.71839 25.27641 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256486 256486 2016R Utah 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 17.32909 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-22
256487 256487 2016R Virginia 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 20.06307 30.20177 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256488 256488 2016R West Virginia 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 29.0 32.96288 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-05-10
256489 256489 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-13 Donald Trump 9849 16.52868 19.87309 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-05
256490 256490 2016R Alabama 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2165886 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256491 256491 2016R Arizona 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-22
256492 256492 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.13889 0.3387928 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256493 256493 2016R California 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.101956 0.7990099 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256494 256494 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1800766 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256495 256495 2016R Florida 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1864586 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256496 256496 2016R Georgia 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0949772 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256497 256497 2016R Illinois 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 2.354726 1.468747 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256498 256498 2016R Iowa 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9086795 0.8813531 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-01
256499 256499 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 2.000001 0.5711984 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-05
256500 256500 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1218972 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-05
256501 256501 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256502 256502 2016R Michigan 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7887654 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-08
256503 256503 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256504 256504 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1218972 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-08
256505 256505 2016R Missouri 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5494457 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256506 256506 2016R National 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.3023488   12/10/19 18:22 one day test  
256507 256507 2016R Nevada 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.11135 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-23
256508 256508 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4237037 0.408602 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-09
256509 256509 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9285938 0.4980267 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256510 256510 2016R New York 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.773643 0.1139025 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-19
256511 256511 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7133574 0.4643172 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256512 256512 2016R Ohio 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.425138 0.5063989 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256513 256513 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6432605 0.0232178 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256514 256514 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 2.441996 2.077195 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256515 256515 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5754278 0.5212073 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-20
256516 256516 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.13889 0.3503029 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256517 256517 2016R Texas 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7002864 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256518 256518 2016R Utah 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.6912187 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-22
256519 256519 2016R Virginia 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2127619 0.0 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256520 256520 2016R Washington 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.695753 0.1920937 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-05-24
256521 256521 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-13 Rick Santorum 9742 1.187704 0.6224877 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-05
256522 256522 2016R Alabama 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 2.107158 6.817605 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256523 256523 2016R Arizona 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 8.458722 13.31873 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-22
256524 256524 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.924582 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256525 256525 2016R California 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 10.10328 13.63946 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256526 256526 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 8.925836 11.90431 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256527 256527 2016R Florida 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 14.43093 17.75393 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256528 256528 2016R Georgia 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 9.638972 11.42628 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256529 256529 2016R Illinois 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 5.995367 13.03491 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256530 256530 2016R Indiana 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 17.0 17.08749 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-05-03
256531 256531 2016R Iowa 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 12.75625 13.10073 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-01
256532 256532 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 7.186415 9.322721 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-05
256533 256533 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 6.584321 12.04452 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-05
256534 256534 2016R Maryland 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 16.0 17.2646 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256535 256535 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 13.94374 16.50035 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256536 256536 2016R Michigan 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 6.84782 12.10122 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-08
256537 256537 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 10.6854 15.53266 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256538 256538 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.924582 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-08
256539 256539 2016R Missouri 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 5.605981 12.34203 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256540 256540 2016R Montana 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 10.87008 15.7077 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256541 256541 2016R National 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 13.33362   12/10/19 18:22 one day test  
256542 256542 2016R Nevada 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 6.896555 11.41566 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-23
256543 256543 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 12.99878 13.3418 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-09
256544 256544 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 12.61064 15.04124 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-06-07
256545 256545 2016R New York 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 9.718821 13.70844 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-19
256546 256546 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 10.52154 13.21302 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256547 256547 2016R Ohio 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 6.604848 9.898711 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-15
256548 256548 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 8.591187 12.2101 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256549 256549 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 7.916856 12.27665 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-04-26
256550 256550 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 12.76263 13.71169 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-02-20
256551 256551 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.925851 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256552 256552 2016R Texas 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 5.673409 9.378785 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01
256553 256553 2016R Utah 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 13.70955 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-22
256554 256554 2016R Virginia 2015-12-13 Marco Rubio 9731 9.005743 13.82131 12/10/19 18:22 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);