polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2015-12-14

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
256920 256920 2016R Alabama 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 34.35074 41.13299 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256921 256921 2016R Arizona 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 27.23498 33.5262 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-22
256922 256922 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 35.83852 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256923 256923 2016R California 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 20.35075 24.84178 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
256924 256924 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 27.07134 30.95617 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
256925 256925 2016R Florida 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 28.29556 32.4019 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256926 256926 2016R Georgia 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 31.09883 35.90455 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256927 256927 2016R Illinois 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 20.49941 28.35671 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256928 256928 2016R Indiana 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 26.05591 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-05-03
256929 256929 2016R Iowa 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 25.4074 25.52688 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-01
256930 256930 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 11.56492 37.79984 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-05
256931 256931 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 23.58516 30.9823 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-05
256932 256932 2016R Maryland 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 23.0 25.85353 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
256933 256933 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 40.04506 44.89956 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256934 256934 2016R Michigan 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 18.60737 29.18232 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-08
256935 256935 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 20.65522 26.94577 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256936 256936 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 36.95137 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-08
256937 256937 2016R Missouri 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 22.41702 29.1317 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256938 256938 2016R Montana 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 22.2 24.36991 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
256939 256939 2016R National 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 32.07348   12/10/19 18:21 one day test  
256940 256940 2016R Nevada 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 29.74796 39.62465 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-23
256941 256941 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 25.73008 26.71153 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-09
256942 256942 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 27.60809 34.5409 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
256943 256943 2016R New York 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 6.263652 38.78834 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-19
256944 256944 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 26.5431 31.34567 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256945 256945 2016R Ohio 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 14.42174 26.76421 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256946 256946 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 28.04284 34.09388 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256947 256947 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 23.51567 28.52688 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
256948 256948 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 30.01575 30.16379 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-20
256949 256949 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 45.36208 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256950 256950 2016R Texas 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 17.75251 26.15401 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256951 256951 2016R Utah 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 18.04608 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-22
256952 256952 2016R Virginia 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 20.06084 31.0861 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256953 256953 2016R West Virginia 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 29.0 33.88768 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-05-10
256954 256954 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-14 Donald Trump 9849 16.53578 20.61036 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-05
256955 256955 2016R Alabama 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2136839 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256956 256956 2016R Arizona 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-22
256957 256957 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.137539 0.2868205 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256958 256958 2016R California 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.10095 0.7429996 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
256959 256959 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1992807 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
256960 256960 2016R Florida 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1884406 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256961 256961 2016R Georgia 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0939534 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256962 256962 2016R Illinois 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 2.356278 1.41035 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256963 256963 2016R Iowa 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7127638 0.7039294 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-01
256964 256964 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 2.000001 0.5182743 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-05
256965 256965 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1207103 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-05
256966 256966 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256967 256967 2016R Michigan 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7910338 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-08
256968 256968 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256969 256969 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1207103 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-08
256970 256970 2016R Missouri 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5537475 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256971 256971 2016R National 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2681931   12/10/19 18:21 one day test  
256972 256972 2016R Nevada 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.106717 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-23
256973 256973 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4228255 0.3883027 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-09
256974 256974 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9387779 0.4573165 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
256975 256975 2016R New York 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.796907 0.0796034 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-19
256976 256976 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.720308 0.4311128 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256977 256977 2016R Ohio 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.443215 0.4666891 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256978 256978 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6423469 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256979 256979 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 2.451848 2.021661 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
256980 256980 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5726324 0.495405 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-20
256981 256981 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.137539 0.2982501 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256982 256982 2016R Texas 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6969068 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256983 256983 2016R Utah 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.6374789 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-22
256984 256984 2016R Virginia 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2135324 0.0 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256985 256985 2016R Washington 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.691064 0.1378057 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-05-24
256986 256986 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-14 Rick Santorum 9742 1.187004 0.5695328 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-05
256987 256987 2016R Alabama 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 2.099754 6.588244 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256988 256988 2016R Arizona 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 8.492191 13.04168 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-22
256989 256989 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.676391 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256990 256990 2016R California 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 10.11158 13.33867 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
256991 256991 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 8.91288 11.61788 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
256992 256992 2016R Florida 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 14.41757 17.42808 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256993 256993 2016R Georgia 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 9.557902 11.23802 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
256994 256994 2016R Illinois 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 5.990129 12.73905 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
256995 256995 2016R Indiana 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 17.0 17.11032 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-05-03
256996 256996 2016R Iowa 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 12.89653 12.93291 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-01
256997 256997 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 7.175622 9.069777 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-05
256998 256998 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 6.583838 11.7617 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-05
256999 256999 2016R Maryland 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 16.0 16.93737 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
257000 257000 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 13.92925 16.18553 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
257001 257001 2016R Michigan 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 6.841677 11.81725 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-08
257002 257002 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 10.67593 15.1979 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
257003 257003 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.676391 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-08
257004 257004 2016R Missouri 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 5.591211 12.04551 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
257005 257005 2016R Montana 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 10.86012 15.39969 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
257006 257006 2016R National 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 13.06626   12/10/19 18:21 one day test  
257007 257007 2016R Nevada 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 6.884842 11.12378 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-23
257008 257008 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 12.99455 13.20638 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-09
257009 257009 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 12.58686 14.73018 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-06-07
257010 257010 2016R New York 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 9.700121 13.39852 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-19
257011 257011 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 10.46863 13.01159 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
257012 257012 2016R Ohio 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 6.585185 9.628123 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-15
257013 257013 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 8.588852 11.92674 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
257014 257014 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 7.904587 11.98656 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-04-26
257015 257015 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 12.76264 13.56496 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-02-20
257016 257016 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.677642 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
257017 257017 2016R Texas 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 5.672854 9.117616 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01
257018 257018 2016R Utah 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 13.40953 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-22
257019 257019 2016R Virginia 2015-12-14 Marco Rubio 9731 9.007865 13.51606 12/10/19 18:21 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);