polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2015-12-16

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
257850 257850 2016R Alabama 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 34.4015 41.90889 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257851 257851 2016R Arizona 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 27.2958 34.29199 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-22
257852 257852 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 36.5745 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257853 257853 2016R California 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 20.38604 25.52819 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257854 257854 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 27.13507 31.68434 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257855 257855 2016R Florida 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 31.1947 34.10132 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257856 257856 2016R Georgia 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 31.05291 36.39373 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257857 257857 2016R Illinois 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 20.52737 29.04663 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257858 257858 2016R Indiana 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 26.40118 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-05-03
257859 257859 2016R Iowa 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 25.46821 25.7882 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-01
257860 257860 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 11.60638 38.56942 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-05
257861 257861 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 23.59083 31.67405 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-05
257862 257862 2016R Maryland 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 23.0 26.54229 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257863 257863 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 40.09446 45.66468 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257864 257864 2016R Michigan 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 18.63042 29.87294 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-08
257865 257865 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 20.71663 27.63259 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257866 257866 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 37.69325 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-08
257867 257867 2016R Missouri 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 22.47272 29.84274 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257868 257868 2016R Montana 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 22.2 24.99378 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257869 257869 2016R National 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 32.5736   12/10/19 18:19 one day test  
257870 257870 2016R Nevada 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 29.74847 40.39326 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-23
257871 257871 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 25.76771 27.24841 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-09
257872 257872 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 27.59052 35.31781 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257873 257873 2016R New York 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 6.312451 39.5687 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-19
257874 257874 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 26.49171 31.95951 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257875 257875 2016R Ohio 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 14.47857 27.45756 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257876 257876 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 28.06822 34.84595 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257877 257877 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 23.56157 29.22152 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257878 257878 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 30.06097 30.72795 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-20
257879 257879 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 46.13227 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257880 257880 2016R Texas 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 17.73855 26.82717 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257881 257881 2016R Utah 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 18.61248 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-22
257882 257882 2016R Virginia 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 20.04591 31.81883 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257883 257883 2016R West Virginia 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 29.0 34.61205 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-05-10
257884 257884 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-16 Donald Trump 9849 16.53292 21.20734 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-05
257885 257885 2016R Alabama 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2146257 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257886 257886 2016R Arizona 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-22
257887 257887 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.137861 0.324403 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257888 257888 2016R California 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.09907 0.7804159 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257889 257889 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2007041 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257890 257890 2016R Florida 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1937333 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257891 257891 2016R Georgia 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0939129 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257892 257892 2016R Illinois 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 2.356236 1.453599 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257893 257893 2016R Iowa 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7127376 0.7094126 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-01
257894 257894 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 2.000001 0.5569507 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-05
257895 257895 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1209938 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-05
257896 257896 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257897 257897 2016R Michigan 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7909917 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-08
257898 257898 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257899 257899 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1209938 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-08
257900 257900 2016R Missouri 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5536886 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257901 257901 2016R National 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2893811   12/10/19 18:19 one day test  
257902 257902 2016R Nevada 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.107133 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-23
257903 257903 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4231842 0.4005743 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-09
257904 257904 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9428231 0.4779443 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257905 257905 2016R New York 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.798631 0.1180418 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-19
257906 257906 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7305555 0.4584864 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257907 257907 2016R Ohio 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.445026 0.5073061 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257908 257908 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6425202 0.0095682 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257909 257909 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 2.452482 2.06876 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257910 257910 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5731984 0.5106475 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-20
257911 257911 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.137861 0.3358909 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257912 257912 2016R Texas 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7005826 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257913 257913 2016R Utah 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.6767516 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-22
257914 257914 2016R Virginia 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2135998 0.0 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257915 257915 2016R Washington 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.692657 0.1762005 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-05-24
257916 257916 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-16 Rick Santorum 9742 1.190882 0.6089821 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-05
257917 257917 2016R Alabama 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 2.10139 6.192314 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257918 257918 2016R Arizona 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 8.444023 12.46245 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-22
257919 257919 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.234201 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257920 257920 2016R California 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 10.08617 12.76576 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257921 257921 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 8.906421 11.11625 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257922 257922 2016R Florida 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 15.3065 16.63153 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257923 257923 2016R Georgia 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 9.471961 10.88278 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257924 257924 2016R Illinois 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 5.995614 12.21679 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257925 257925 2016R Indiana 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 17.0 16.98296 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-05-03
257926 257926 2016R Iowa 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 12.91635 12.85089 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-01
257927 257927 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 7.186137 8.617379 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-05
257928 257928 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 6.584684 11.25654 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-05
257929 257929 2016R Maryland 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 16.0 16.3258 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257930 257930 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 13.94093 15.64179 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257931 257931 2016R Michigan 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 6.848059 11.31698 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-08
257932 257932 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 10.68528 14.58319 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257933 257933 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.234201 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-08
257934 257934 2016R Missouri 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 5.605401 11.53918 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257935 257935 2016R Montana 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 10.8628 14.85175 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257936 257936 2016R National 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 12.69664   12/10/19 18:19 one day test  
257937 257937 2016R Nevada 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 6.910851 10.6562 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-23
257938 257938 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 13.00942 12.94409 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-09
257939 257939 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 12.47778 14.12216 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-06-07
257940 257940 2016R New York 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 9.712335 12.87079 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-19
257941 257941 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 10.38518 12.60869 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257942 257942 2016R Ohio 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 6.5969 9.173732 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-15
257943 257943 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 8.542185 11.38256 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257944 257944 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 7.91388 11.48569 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-04-26
257945 257945 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 12.79286 13.29196 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-02-20
257946 257946 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.235422 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257947 257947 2016R Texas 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 5.660017 8.653232 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01
257948 257948 2016R Utah 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 12.87353 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-22
257949 257949 2016R Virginia 2015-12-16 Marco Rubio 9731 8.980156 12.95727 12/10/19 18:19 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);