polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2015-12-17

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
258315 258315 2016R Alabama 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 34.41906 43.5205 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258316 258316 2016R Arizona 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.29797 35.8102 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-22
258317 258317 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 38.12915 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258318 258318 2016R California 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.39552 26.91367 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258319 258319 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.14824 33.12942 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258320 258320 2016R Florida 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 31.19197 33.34589 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258321 258321 2016R Georgia 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 33.24724 37.44923 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258322 258322 2016R Illinois 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.35916 30.69197 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258323 258323 2016R Indiana 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 27.75346 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-05-03
258324 258324 2016R Iowa 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 25.49303 27.01764 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-01
258325 258325 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 11.66111 40.17491 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-05
258326 258326 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 23.58855 33.14354 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-05
258327 258327 2016R Maryland 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 23.0 27.87976 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258328 258328 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 40.10734 47.25191 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258329 258329 2016R Michigan 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 18.64588 31.33767 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-08
258330 258330 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.82263 29.0646 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258331 258331 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 39.25925 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-08
258332 258332 2016R Missouri 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 22.5462 31.33478 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258333 258333 2016R Montana 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 22.2 26.29347 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258334 258334 2016R National 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 33.96127   12/10/19 18:18 one day test  
258335 258335 2016R Nevada 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 29.6758 42.00634 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-23
258336 258336 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 25.78491 28.60776 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-09
258337 258337 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 27.4317 36.94563 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258338 258338 2016R New York 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 6.321661 41.16201 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-19
258339 258339 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 26.3242 33.46588 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258340 258340 2016R Ohio 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 14.49179 28.89042 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258341 258341 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 28.13287 36.44715 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258342 258342 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 23.58467 30.6813 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258343 258343 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 29.66325 30.73755 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-20
258344 258344 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 47.74952 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258345 258345 2016R Texas 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 17.71444 28.2324 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258346 258346 2016R Utah 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 19.82431 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-22
258347 258347 2016R Virginia 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 20.00904 33.33854 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258348 258348 2016R West Virginia 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 29.0 36.14413 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-05-10
258349 258349 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-17 Donald Trump 9849 16.48387 22.43373 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-05
258350 258350 2016R Alabama 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.203744 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258351 258351 2016R Arizona 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-22
258352 258352 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.107538 0.2176146 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258353 258353 2016R California 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.099382 0.7170389 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258354 258354 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2006366 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258355 258355 2016R Florida 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1381812 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258356 258356 2016R Georgia 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0724 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258357 258357 2016R Illinois 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 2.356216 1.384738 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258358 258358 2016R Iowa 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7133645 0.6649837 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-01
258359 258359 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 2.000001 0.4949612 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-05
258360 258360 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0943719 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-05
258361 258361 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258362 258362 2016R Michigan 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7907709 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-08
258363 258363 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258364 258364 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0943719 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-08
258365 258365 2016R Missouri 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5530787 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258366 258366 2016R National 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2223052   12/10/19 18:18 one day test  
258367 258367 2016R Nevada 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.125842 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-23
258368 258368 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4238139 0.3508709 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-09
258369 258369 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9525766 0.3802155 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258370 258370 2016R New York 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.798549 0.0603755 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-19
258371 258371 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7510251 0.4034806 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258372 258372 2016R Ohio 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.444728 0.4461898 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258373 258373 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6255183 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258374 258374 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 2.452389 1.995316 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258375 258375 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7857169 0.7018834 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-20
258376 258376 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.107538 0.2289365 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258377 258377 2016R Texas 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6980689 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258378 258378 2016R Utah 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.6138058 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-22
258379 258379 2016R Virginia 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2047847 0.0 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258380 258380 2016R Washington 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.691014 0.115862 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-05-24
258381 258381 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-17 Rick Santorum 9742 1.205709 0.5516341 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-05
258382 258382 2016R Alabama 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 2.103734 6.103592 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258383 258383 2016R Arizona 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.445179 12.34529 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-22
258384 258384 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.130459 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258385 258385 2016R California 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.07948 12.63881 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258386 258386 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.830997 10.97288 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258387 258387 2016R Florida 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 15.88994 16.4029 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258388 258388 2016R Georgia 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.37545 11.10552 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258389 258389 2016R Illinois 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.11661 12.59098 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258390 258390 2016R Indiana 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 17.0 16.6831 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-05-03
258391 258391 2016R Iowa 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 12.91944 12.67046 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-01
258392 258392 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 7.211252 8.515433 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-05
258393 258393 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.584163 11.13777 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-05
258394 258394 2016R Maryland 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 16.0 16.19382 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258395 258395 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 13.94323 15.50648 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258396 258396 2016R Michigan 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.854362 11.19872 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-08
258397 258397 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.71729 14.46205 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258398 258398 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.130459 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-08
258399 258399 2016R Missouri 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 5.624032 11.41749 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258400 258400 2016R Montana 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.86542 14.7209 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258401 258401 2016R National 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 12.62146   12/10/19 18:18 one day test  
258402 258402 2016R Nevada 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.822164 10.49964 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-23
258403 258403 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 13.01305 12.74787 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-09
258404 258404 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 12.14787 13.80733 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-06-07
258405 258405 2016R New York 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 9.711252 12.74572 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-19
258406 258406 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 10.17995 12.42597 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258407 258407 2016R Ohio 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 6.601336 9.067001 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-15
258408 258408 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.365887 11.15078 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258409 258409 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 7.917838 11.36693 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-04-26
258410 258410 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 12.18277 12.45514 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-02-20
258411 258411 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.131677 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258412 258412 2016R Texas 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 5.643437 8.542691 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01
258413 258413 2016R Utah 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 12.7475 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-22
258414 258414 2016R Virginia 2015-12-17 Marco Rubio 9731 8.93009 12.81059 12/10/19 18:18 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);