polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

568 rows where "modeldate" is on date 2015-12-18

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Link rowid ▼ race state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment contestdate
258780 258780 2016R Alabama 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 34.40953 42.94727 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258781 258781 2016R Arizona 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 27.30196 35.2723 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-22
258782 258782 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 37.56621 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258783 258783 2016R California 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 20.39768 26.41556 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258784 258784 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 27.15613 32.58191 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258785 258785 2016R Florida 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 31.19777 33.17582 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258786 258786 2016R Georgia 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 33.25323 37.17594 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258787 258787 2016R Illinois 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 27.36886 30.53292 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258788 258788 2016R Indiana 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 26.0 27.41921 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-05-03
258789 258789 2016R Iowa 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 26.11823 26.36579 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-01
258790 258790 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 11.65817 39.60365 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-05
258791 258791 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 23.59195 32.61713 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-05
258792 258792 2016R Maryland 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 23.0 27.31897 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258793 258793 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 40.10277 46.66943 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258794 258794 2016R Michigan 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 18.65019 30.81925 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-08
258795 258795 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 20.82741 28.55984 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258796 258796 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 27.0 38.69238 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-08
258797 258797 2016R Missouri 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 22.54225 30.80254 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258798 258798 2016R Montana 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 22.2 25.76437 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258799 258799 2016R National 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 33.48857   12/10/19 18:17 one day test  
258800 258800 2016R Nevada 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 29.74902 41.4414 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-23
258801 258801 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 27.07917 28.01965 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-09
258802 258802 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 27.49228 36.36321 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258803 258803 2016R New York 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 6.33198 40.60927 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-19
258804 258804 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 26.26631 32.98534 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258805 258805 2016R Ohio 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 14.49828 28.3872 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258806 258806 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 28.09946 35.82737 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258807 258807 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 23.59149 30.16468 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258808 258808 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 30.84505 31.37952 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-20
258809 258809 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 35.0 47.16542 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258810 258810 2016R Texas 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 17.67411 27.6899 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258811 258811 2016R Utah 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 11.91743 19.38309 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-22
258812 258812 2016R Virginia 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 20.03772 32.78155 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258813 258813 2016R West Virginia 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 29.0 35.58907 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-05-10
258814 258814 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-18 Donald Trump 9849 16.51469 21.98 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-05
258815 258815 2016R Alabama 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1990388 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258816 258816 2016R Arizona 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-22
258817 258817 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.086094 0.3317883 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258818 258818 2016R California 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.100006 0.8536063 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258819 258819 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2039551 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258820 258820 2016R Florida 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1308957 0.0098006 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258821 258821 2016R Georgia 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0581646 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258822 258822 2016R Illinois 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 2.349638 1.524115 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258823 258823 2016R Iowa 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7013248 0.7402417 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-01
258824 258824 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 2.000001 0.6264948 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-05
258825 258825 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0755478 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-05
258826 258826 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 4.01e-07 0.0117737 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258827 258827 2016R Michigan 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7828358 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-08
258828 258828 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258829 258829 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.0755478 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-08
258830 258830 2016R Missouri 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.5396863 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258831 258831 2016R National 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.3307275   12/10/19 18:17 one day test  
258832 258832 2016R Nevada 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.11814 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-23
258833 258833 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.2450522 0.2747495 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-09
258834 258834 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.9514376 0.5228786 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258835 258835 2016R New York 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.802569 0.1865127 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-19
258836 258836 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7456475 0.5110819 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258837 258837 2016R Ohio 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.449011 0.5796489 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258838 258838 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.6134229 0.0399526 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258839 258839 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 2.450111 2.14819 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258840 258840 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.4937762 0.5069806 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-20
258841 258841 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.086094 0.3432875 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258842 258842 2016R Texas 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.7049101 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258843 258843 2016R Utah 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.440368 0.7473648 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-22
258844 258844 2016R Virginia 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 0.1943342 0.0 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258845 258845 2016R Washington 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.695556 0.2440354 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-05-24
258846 258846 2016R Wisconsin 2015-12-18 Rick Santorum 9742 1.197443 0.6830644 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-05
258847 258847 2016R Alabama 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 2.1029 6.179648 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258848 258848 2016R Arizona 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 8.44077 12.44328 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-22
258849 258849 2016R Arkansas 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.216401 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258850 258850 2016R California 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 10.0808 12.73986 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258851 258851 2016R Connecticut 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 8.866332 11.06629 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258852 258852 2016R Florida 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 15.88594 16.48547 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258853 258853 2016R Georgia 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 10.37201 11.15236 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258854 258854 2016R Illinois 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 10.11124 12.65055 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258855 258855 2016R Indiana 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 17.0 16.75927 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-05-03
258856 258856 2016R Iowa 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 12.53881 12.31251 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-01
258857 258857 2016R Kentucky 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 7.207323 8.602405 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-05
258858 258858 2016R Louisiana 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 6.582283 11.23428 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-05
258859 258859 2016R Maryland 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 16.0 16.26998 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258860 258860 2016R Massachusetts 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 13.94371 15.60863 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258861 258861 2016R Michigan 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 6.851364 11.29681 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-08
258862 258862 2016R Minnesota 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 10.71152 14.56209 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258863 258863 2016R Mississippi 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.216401 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-08
258864 258864 2016R Missouri 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 5.622313 11.52561 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258865 258865 2016R Montana 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 10.86298 14.81487 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258866 258866 2016R National 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 12.73014   12/10/19 18:17 one day test  
258867 258867 2016R Nevada 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 6.889613 10.62761 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-23
258868 258868 2016R New Hampshire 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 12.86798 12.71692 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-09
258869 258869 2016R New Jersey 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 12.24459 13.94736 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-06-07
258870 258870 2016R New York 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 9.703472 12.84231 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-19
258871 258871 2016R North Carolina 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 10.11986 12.51944 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258872 258872 2016R Ohio 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 6.595792 9.153053 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-15
258873 258873 2016R Oklahoma 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 8.461578 11.29984 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258874 258874 2016R Pennsylvania 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 7.91327 11.46302 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-04-26
258875 258875 2016R South Carolina 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 12.12375 12.36351 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-02-20
258876 258876 2016R Tennessee 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 3.0 8.217627 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258877 258877 2016R Texas 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 5.659906 8.637599 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01
258878 258878 2016R Utah 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 7.261094 12.85191 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-22
258879 258879 2016R Virginia 2015-12-18 Marco Rubio 9731 8.957631 12.92221 12/10/19 18:17 one day test 2016-03-01

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_primary_avgs_1980-2016" (
"race" TEXT,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "contestdate" TEXT
);