riddler-castles/castle-solutions: 201
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
rowid | Castle 1 | Castle 2 | Castle 3 | Castle 4 | Castle 5 | Castle 6 | Castle 7 | Castle 8 | Castle 9 | Castle 10 | Why did you choose your troop deployment? |
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201 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 14 | Simulation! I created 10,000 possible deployment strategies. For each one, I generated a scalar, u, from Uniform(0.1, 10). Then, generate a set of probabilities, theta, from Dirichlet((sqrt(u), sqrt(u), ..., sqrt(u))). Finally, generate the troop deployment from Multinomial(100, theta). Then, I paired off all possible deployment strategies and found the one that won the most. The top few seemed pretty similar, but might as well go with the best of the best, even if it's probable that a slight change will beat this particular one. |