riddler-castles/castle-solutions-2: 2

This directory contains the data behind the submissions for castles puzzle.

castle-solutions.csv contains the submissions for Can You Rule Riddler Nation?
castle-solutions-2.csv contains the submissions for The Battle For Riddler Nation, Round 2
castle-solutions-3.csv contains the submissions for Are You The Best Warlord?
castle-solutions-4.csv contains the submissions for A Peaceful (But Not Peaceful) Transition Of Power In Riddler Nation
castle-solutions-5.csv contains the submissions for The Fifth Battle For Riddler Nation, in which there were 13 castles rather than the usual 10

Readers were asked to submit a strategy for the following “Colonel Blotto”-style game:

In a distant, war-torn land, there are 10 castles. There are two warlords: you and your archenemy. Each castle has its own strategic value for a would-be conqueror. Specifically, the castles are worth 1, 2, 3, …, 9, and 10 victory points. You and your enemy each have 100 soldiers to distribute, any way you like, to fight at any of the 10 castles. Whoever sends more soldiers to a given castle conquers that castle and wins its victory points. If you each send the same number of troops, you split the points. You don’t know what distribution of forces your enemy has chosen until the battles begin. Whoever wins the most points wins the war.

Submit a plan distributing your 100 soldiers among the 10 castles. Once I receive all your battle plans, I’ll adjudicate all the possible one-on-one matchups. Whoever wins the most wars wins the battle royale and is crowned king or queen of Riddler Nation!

The data includes all valid submissions, with solvers’ identifying information removed. The 11 columns represent the soldiers deployed to each of the 10 castles, plus a column where the reader could describe his or her strategic approach.

Correction

Please see the following commit: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/commit/c3f808fda5b67aa26ea6fa663ddd4d2eb7c6187f

Data source: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/blob/master/riddler-castles/castle-solutions-2.csv

This data as json, copyable

rowid	Castle 1	Castle 2	Castle 3	Castle 4	Castle 5	Castle 6	Castle 7	Castle 8	Castle 9	Castle 10	Why did you choose your troop deployment?
2	0	3	4	14	15	5	5	5	33	16	I figure most people will use strategies that are either close to the winning submission, would outperform that submission head-to-head, follow your advice from the column after the last time this challenge was submitted, or follow a pretty similar strategy as they did last time. Goal is to get to 28 points, though in general you also want to keep in mind that you want to win the castles you win by just a little, and lose the ones you lose big time. This deployment looks to probably get to that 28 point margin by winning 4,5,9, and 10 most often. But the scout size of 3-5 is designed to try to be a couple steps ahead of the adjusters who are presenting 2-3 scouts after the previous run. I also wanted to watch out for people loading on 8,9,10, and 1, which was a reasonable strategy last time, which is why I loaded pretty heavily into 9 (which I still expect to be less contested than 10). As a final note, I also think it would be interesting to look at which strategies do best in terms of total differential to opponents, and how that differs from the actual winners of the contest as published.