riddler-castles/castle-solutions-2: 2
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
rowid | Castle 1 | Castle 2 | Castle 3 | Castle 4 | Castle 5 | Castle 6 | Castle 7 | Castle 8 | Castle 9 | Castle 10 | Why did you choose your troop deployment? |
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2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 16 | I figure most people will use strategies that are either close to the winning submission, would outperform that submission head-to-head, follow your advice from the column after the last time this challenge was submitted, or follow a pretty similar strategy as they did last time. Goal is to get to 28 points, though in general you also want to keep in mind that you want to win the castles you win by just a little, and lose the ones you lose big time. This deployment looks to probably get to that 28 point margin by winning 4,5,9, and 10 most often. But the scout size of 3-5 is designed to try to be a couple steps ahead of the adjusters who are presenting 2-3 scouts after the previous run. I also wanted to watch out for people loading on 8,9,10, and 1, which was a reasonable strategy last time, which is why I loaded pretty heavily into 9 (which I still expect to be less contested than 10). As a final note, I also think it would be interesting to look at which strategies do best in terms of total differential to opponents, and how that differs from the actual winners of the contest as published. |