rowid,question_id,poll_id,cycle,state,pollster_id,pollster,sponsor_ids,sponsors,display_name,pollster_rating_id,pollster_rating_name,fte_grade,sample_size,population,population_full,methodology,office_type,seat_number,seat_name,start_date,end_date,election_date,sponsor_candidate,internal,partisan,tracking,nationwide_batch,ranked_choice_reallocated,created_at,notes,url,stage,race_id,answer,candidate_id,candidate_name,candidate_party,pct 163,136343,72653,2020,Arizona,744,Ipsos,71,Reuters,Ipsos,154,Ipsos,B-,610,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/27/20,11/2/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/2/20 14:27,,https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w6_11_2_2020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,53.0 192,136327,72649,2020,Arizona,1205,Marist College,132,NBC News,Marist College,183,Marist College,A,717,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/29/20,11/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/2/20 13:06,,http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/NBC-News_Marist-Poll_AZ-Likely-Voters_NOS-and-Tables_202011012357.pdf#page=3,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 194,136328,72649,2020,Arizona,1205,Marist College,132,NBC News,Marist College,183,Marist College,A,988,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/29/20,11/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/2/20 13:06,,http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/NBC-News_Marist-Poll_AZ-Adults-and-Registered-Voters_NOS-and-Tables_202011012355.pdf#page=3,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 201,136503,72726,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,409,lv,lv,Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/29/20,11/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/2/20 19:43,,https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/CNBC-CR_Battleground_Toplines_Final-Wave_Oct-29-Nov-1.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 223,136221,72585,2020,Arizona,1515,Data for Progress,,,Data for Progress,522,Data for Progress,B,1195,lv,lv,Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/27/20,11/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/1/20 22:06,,https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_az_11.1.20.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,54.0 256,136581,72764,2020,Arizona,1522,Swayable,,,Swayable,543,Swayable,C,333,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/27/20,11/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/2/20 22:16,,https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,55.0 284,136051,72495,2020,Arizona,1102,Emerson College,,,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,A-,732,lv,lv,IVR/Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/29/20,10/31/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/1/20 12:06,,https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/super-poll-sunday-toss-ups-in-nevada-and-arizona,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.3 301,136269,72602,2020,Arizona,1189,Morning Consult,,,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,B,1059,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/22/20,10/31/20,11/3/20,,0,,1,0,0,11/2/20 07:19,,https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.9 328,136301,72632,2020,Arizona,1308,Data Orbital,,,Data Orbital,73,Data Orbital,A/B,550,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/28/20,10/30/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/2/20 09:44,,https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-arizona-presidential-and-us-senate-races-shift-one-day-before-election-day,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.1 330,136021,72478,2020,Arizona,1424,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,,,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,448,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,A+,1252,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/26/20,10/30/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,11/1/20 05:56,,https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-fl-pa-wi/bc6b622f38350414/full.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 342,135886,72417,2020,Arizona,1361,SSRS,143,CNN,CNN/SSRS,297,SSRS,C,865,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/23/20,10/30/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/31/20 17:57,,http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_az.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 344,135887,72417,2020,Arizona,1361,SSRS,143,CNN,CNN/SSRS,297,SSRS,C,892,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/23/20,10/30/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/31/20 17:57,,http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_az.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 363,135483,72217,2020,Arizona,399,Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research,,,Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research,277,Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research,B,800,lv,lv,IVR/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/27/20,10/29/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/29/20 13:57,,https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_senate_kelly_d_48_mcsally_r_43,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 403,135321,72158,2020,Arizona,801,Gravis Marketing,,,Gravis Marketing,124,Gravis Marketing,B,704,lv,lv,IVR/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/26/20,10/28/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/28/20 14:49,,https://www.scribd.com/document/481978819/Arizona-October-28-2020,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 503,135359,72166,2020,Arizona,744,Ipsos,71,Reuters,Ipsos,154,Ipsos,B-,714,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/21/20,10/27/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/28/20 18:25,,https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w5_10_28_2020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 543,135658,72296,2020,Arizona,1522,Swayable,,,Swayable,543,Swayable,C,286,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/23/20,10/26/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/30/20 07:56,,https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-10-28.html,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,55.8 574,135086,72055,2020,Arizona,1293,OH Predictive Insights,,,OH Predictive Insights,235,OH Predictive Insights,B/C,716,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/22/20,10/25/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/27/20 14:38,,https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/poll-biden-maintains-small-lead-in-arizona/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 580,135337,72161,2020,Arizona,1636,The Justice Collaborative Institute,,,The Justice Collaborative Institute,630,The Justice Collaborative Institute,B/C,1007,rv,rv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/22/20,10/25/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/28/20 16:52,,https://tjcinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/From-President-and-Senate-to-County-Attorney-and-Sheriff-Democrats-Lead-Up-and-Down-the-Ballot-in-Arizona-1.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 593,135278,72147,2020,Arizona,1640,Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research,501,Arizona State,Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research,516,Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research,B/C,725,rv,rv,Live Phone/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/17/20,10/25/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/28/20 13:00,,https://st1.uvnimg.com/33/8f/ed1016da4a5fb16ec7e34cd5568a/univision-crosstabs-october-final.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 601,135111,72067,2020,Arizona,1422,Patinkin Research Strategies,"1498,1499",Arizona Research Consortium | Arizona Wins,Patinkin Research Strategies,490,Patinkin Research Strategies,B/C,729,lv,lv,Live Phone/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/21/20,10/24/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,10/27/20 19:48,,https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027_AZ_Patinkin.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,53.0 609,135871,72412,2020,Arizona,1243,Y2 Analytics,,,Y2 Analytics,389,Y2 Analytics,B/C,700,lv,lv,Live Phone/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/15/20,10/24/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/31/20 17:22,,https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2020/10/31/trump-up-over-biden-new/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 634,134440,71750,2020,Arizona,461,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,1457,Center for American Greatness,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,B+,500,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/19/20,10/22/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/23/20 14:26,,https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/10/Toplines-ArizonaStatewide-CFAG-Oct2020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.0 653,134175,71621,2020,Arizona,744,Ipsos,71,Reuters,Ipsos,154,Ipsos,B-,658,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/14/20,10/21/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/21/20 17:42,,https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w4_10_21_2020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 726,134226,71637,2020,Arizona,1189,Morning Consult,,,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,B,1066,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/11/20,10/20/20,11/3/20,,0,,1,0,0,10/22/20 07:35,,https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 748,134034,71546,2020,Arizona,399,Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research,,,Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research,277,Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research,B,800,lv,lv,IVR/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/18/20,10/19/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/21/20 12:34,,https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_senate_kelly_d_46_mcsally_r_44,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,46.0 761,133963,71519,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,232,lv,lv,Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/16/20,10/19/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/20/20 20:42,,https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/20/voters-want-senate-to-choose-coronavirus-stimulus-over-supreme-court.html,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,54.0 786,134023,71461,2020,Arizona,1554,RMG Research,1475,PoliticalIQ,RMG Research,555,RMG Research,B-,800,lv,lv,Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/14/20,10/19/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/21/20 10:09,,http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/21/az-senate-race-kelly-d-46-mcsally-r-39/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,46.0 804,133818,71451,2020,Arizona,1308,Data Orbital,,,Data Orbital,73,Data Orbital,A/B,550,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/16/20,10/18/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/20/20 10:35,,https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-arizona-presidential-and-us-races-still-tight-two-weeks-out-from-election-day,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.1 831,133502,71295,2020,Arizona,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,B+,1065,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/13/20,10/16/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/18/20 11:04,,https://drive.google.com/file/d/1j9uJnxfT1x8spYhW2QmAq6OkSMd06wJG/view,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 894,132885,71007,2020,Arizona,744,Ipsos,71,Reuters,Ipsos,154,Ipsos,B-,667,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/7/20,10/14/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/14/20 17:31,,https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w3_10_14_2020_1.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 904,133068,71090,2020,Arizona,320,Monmouth University,,,Monmouth University,215,Monmouth University,A,502,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/9/20,10/13/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/15/20 11:04,,https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 906,133069,71090,2020,Arizona,320,Monmouth University,,,Monmouth University,215,Monmouth University,A,502,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/9/20,10/13/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/15/20 11:05,high likely turnout,https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 908,133070,71090,2020,Arizona,320,Monmouth University,,,Monmouth University,215,Monmouth University,A,502,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/9/20,10/13/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/15/20 11:05,low likely turnout,https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 986,132376,70752,2020,Arizona,1189,Morning Consult,,,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,B,1144,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/2/20,10/11/20,11/3/20,,0,,1,0,0,10/13/20 07:47,,https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 1016,132315,70728,2020,Arizona,1250,Trafalgar Group,,,Trafalgar Group,338,Trafalgar Group,A-,1045,lv,lv,IVR/Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/6/20,10/9/20,11/3/20,,0,REP,,0,0,10/11/20 20:26,,https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Wi8S4iVv3og1J-ril-RG3uZYlDHTz8gx/view,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.3 1022,133023,71067,2020,Arizona,1293,OH Predictive Insights,,,OH Predictive Insights,235,OH Predictive Insights,B/C,608,lv,lv,IVR/Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/4/20,10/8/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/15/20 07:53,,https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/201005_AZPOP/PR_Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20Toplines%20and%20Crosstabs%20(1).pdf?utm_medium=email&_hsmi=97443604&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8YKdQGdcjhrShEJfsBc7JTFdlklT1RodoeG-nMmCGHWRDUFwNlhUCpC0Qyjh4DQGGGyPyUZaS7ikUHptXoT6cVk8q7kfO-4hRg1rAyzImJPZbVBeA&utm_content=97443604&utm_source=hs_email,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1052,132118,70651,2020,Arizona,744,Ipsos,71,Reuters,Ipsos,154,Ipsos,B-,633,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/29/20,10/7/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/7/20 14:34,,https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w2_10_07_2020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1083,132199,70681,2020,Arizona,1379,Latino Decisions,1126,Education Reform Now Advocacy,Latino Decisions,482,Latino Decisions,B/C,600,lv,lv,,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/28/20,10/6/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,10/8/20 13:27,,http://dfer.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ERNA-Memo-Latino-Decisions-10.8.20.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.0 1098,132091,70639,2020,Arizona,1308,Data Orbital,,,Data Orbital,73,Data Orbital,A/B,550,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/3/20,10/5/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/7/20 11:18,,https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-az-us-senate-race-tightens-and-president-trump-down-45,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.2 1100,134460,71758,2020,Arizona,48,Basswood Research,1326,American Action Forum,Basswood Research,24,Basswood Research,B/C,800,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/3/20,10/5/20,11/3/20,,0,REP,,0,0,10/23/20 15:14,,https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/arizona-policy-priorities-and-the-election-october-update/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.4 1118,132096,70603,2020,Arizona,1337,HighGround Inc.,,,HighGround Inc.,416,HighGround Inc.,B/C,400,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/28/20,10/5/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/7/20 12:22,,https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201007_AZ_HighGround.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1120,132074,70604,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,296,lv,lv,Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/2/20,10/4/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/7/20 09:24,,https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-15/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1146,131639,70565,2020,Arizona,1424,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,,,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,448,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,A+,655,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/1/20,10/3/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/5/20 12:55,,https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az100120-crosstabs/a77605c32cd8f31e/full.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1148,135112,72068,2020,Arizona,1422,Patinkin Research Strategies,"1498,1499",Arizona Research Consortium | Arizona Wins,Patinkin Research Strategies,490,Patinkin Research Strategies,B/C,604,lv,lv,Live Phone/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,10/1/20,10/3/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,10/27/20 19:49,,https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027_AZ_Patinkin.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1154,133221,71159,2020,Arizona,1477,Targoz Market Research,1477,PollSmart MR,Targoz Market Research,454,Targoz Market Research,B/C,1045,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/23/20,10/2/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/15/20 17:18,,https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/trump-kelly-lead-in-arizona,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1166,131971,70587,2020,Arizona,1189,Morning Consult,,,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,B,1048,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/22/20,10/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/5/20 18:10,,https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/05/arizona-senate-polling-martha-mcsally-mark-kelly/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1171,130643,70119,2020,Arizona,458,Suffolk University,135,USA Today,Suffolk University,323,Suffolk University,B+,500,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/26/20,9/30/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,10/2/20 08:53,,https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2020/10_2_2020_tables_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=092D976850EB75E3AD343E1F122E02FA8C57CEFC,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 1197,130463,70042,2020,Arizona,461,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,1457,Center for American Greatness,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,326,Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.,B+,500,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/25/20,9/28/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/29/20 13:30,,https://amgreatness.com/2020/09/29/trump-and-biden-tied-in-new-arizona-poll/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 1208,130562,70079,2020,Arizona,1515,Data for Progress,"1155,1452",Crooked Media | Indivisible,Data for Progress,522,Data for Progress,B,808,lv,lv,Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/23/20,9/28/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,10/1/20 08:02,,https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-2/dfp_psp_AZ_Senate_week2.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1324,130314,69973,2020,Arizona,1515,Data for Progress,1455,Defend Students Action Fund,Data for Progress,522,Data for Progress,B,481,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/15/20,9/22/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/25/20 10:12,,https://filesforprogress.org/memos/student-debt-project-electoral.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.0 1369,129909,69681,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,262,lv,lv,Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/18/20,9/20/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/23/20 08:36,,https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-14/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1392,129895,69675,2020,Arizona,11,ABC News/The Washington Post,,,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,ABC News/The Washington Post,A+,701,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/15/20,9/20/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/23/20 05:55,,https://www.washingtonpost.com/context/sept-15-20-2020-florida-and-arizona-washington-post-abc-news-polls/48276797-3b93-4ab2-835b-ed2fcdc8581e/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1394,129896,69675,2020,Arizona,11,ABC News/The Washington Post,,,ABC News/The Washington Post,3,ABC News/The Washington Post,A+,579,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/15/20,9/20/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/23/20 05:55,,https://www.washingtonpost.com/context/sept-15-20-2020-florida-and-arizona-washington-post-abc-news-polls/48276797-3b93-4ab2-835b-ed2fcdc8581e/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 1400,129831,69639,2020,Arizona,1189,Morning Consult,,,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,B,907,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/11/20,9/20/20,11/3/20,,0,,1,0,0,9/22/20 06:03,,https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-harrison-graham/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 1423,130331,69981,2020,Arizona,204,Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group,791,Human Rights Campaign,Hart Research Associates,113,Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group,B-,400,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/17/20,9/19/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,9/25/20 22:00,,https://www.hrc.org/parts/HRC-Poll-917-202020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,55.0 1460,132383,70764,2020,Arizona,1189,Morning Consult,,,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,B,900,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/8/20,9/17/20,11/3/20,,0,,1,0,0,10/13/20 08:02,,https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/13/senate-graham-harrison-supreme-court-polling/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.15 1487,129826,69634,2020,Arizona,147,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",,,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",90,"Fabrizio, Lee & Associates",B/C,800,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/14/20,9/16/20,11/3/20,Martha McSally,1,REP,,0,0,9/22/20 05:51,,https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000174-b2e8-d59c-a174-f6fc6db30000,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 1489,129567,69542,2020,Arizona,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,B/C,855,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/12/20,9/16/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/18/20 14:01,,https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-12-16-september/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 1511,129957,69698,2020,Arizona,744,Ipsos,71,Reuters,Ipsos,154,Ipsos,B-,565,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/11/20,9/16/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/23/20 15:20,,https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w1_09_23_2020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1515,129490,69513,2020,Arizona,320,Monmouth University,,,Monmouth University,215,Monmouth University,A,420,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/11/20,9/15/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/17/20 11:03,,https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1517,129491,69513,2020,Arizona,320,Monmouth University,,,Monmouth University,215,Monmouth University,A,420,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/11/20,9/15/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/17/20 11:03,higher likely turnout,https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1519,129492,69513,2020,Arizona,320,Monmouth University,,,Monmouth University,215,Monmouth University,A,420,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/11/20,9/15/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/17/20 11:03,lower likely turnout,https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 1521,129510,69523,2020,Arizona,1424,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,,,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,448,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,A+,653,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/10/20,9/15/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/18/20 05:12,,https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-me-nc-0920-crosstabs/72d074246b272695/full.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1541,135113,72069,2020,Arizona,1422,Patinkin Research Strategies,"1498,1499",Arizona Research Consortium | Arizona Wins,Patinkin Research Strategies,490,Patinkin Research Strategies,B/C,679,lv,lv,Live Phone/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/10/20,9/13/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,10/27/20 19:49,,https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027_AZ_Patinkin.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1551,129470,69500,2020,Arizona,800,Kaiser Family Foundation,579,Cook Political Report,Kaiser Family Foundation,419,Kaiser Family Foundation,,1298,rv,rv,Mail,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/29/20,9/13/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/17/20 06:44,,https://www.kff.org/other/report/sun-belt-voices-project/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,44.0 1555,129281,69420,2020,Arizona,801,Gravis Marketing,,,Gravis Marketing,124,Gravis Marketing,B,684,lv,lv,IVR/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/10/20,9/11/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/12/20 08:17,,https://gravismarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona-September-11-2020.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 1557,129305,69423,2020,Arizona,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,B+,1102,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/9/20,9/11/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/13/20 10:33,,https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hr0WLAZhvP2k_BOL7sRwEifQgu2JAOTU/view,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 1567,129406,69429,2020,Arizona,1293,OH Predictive Insights,,,OH Predictive Insights,235,OH Predictive Insights,B/C,600,lv,lv,IVR/Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/8/20,9/10/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/16/20 08:32,,https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200908%20AZPOP/AZPOP%20Crosstabs%20-%20Senate.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 1585,128419,68584,2020,Arizona,1609,Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Research,42,AARP,Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Research,606,Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Research,,1600,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/28/20,9/8/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/10/20 09:37,,https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2020/2020-election-battleground-states-presidential-election-arizona-topline.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00401.002.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 1597,128359,68533,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,470,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,9/4/20,9/6/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/9/20 13:48,,https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-13/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1623,128373,68520,2020,Arizona,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,B/C,830,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/30/20,9/4/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/9/20 16:25,,https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-30-august-to-4-september/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,53.0 1665,128022,68338,2020,Arizona,590,Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,,,Fox News,103,Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,A,858,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/29/20,9/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/2/20 18:10,,https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,55.0 1667,128023,68338,2020,Arizona,590,Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,,,Fox News,103,Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research,A,772,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/29/20,9/1/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,9/2/20 18:10,,https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,56.0 1695,134455,71753,2020,Arizona,48,Basswood Research,1326,American Action Forum,Basswood Research,24,Basswood Research,B/C,800,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/29/20,8/31/20,11/3/20,,0,REP,,0,0,10/23/20 15:13,,https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/arizona-policy-priorities-and-the-election/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 1735,127661,68153,2020,Arizona,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,B/C,856,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/16/20,8/18/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,8/21/20 19:00,,https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-16-to-19-august/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,53.0 1769,127356,68005,2020,Arizona,1102,Emerson College,,,Emerson College,88,Emerson College,A-,661,lv,lv,IVR/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/8/20,8/10/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,8/11/20 19:05,,https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-pennsylvania-and-arizona-2020-tight-races-in-battleground-states-leading-into-party-conventions,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.81 1777,127368,68011,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,428,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/7/20,8/9/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,8/12/20 05:36,,https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-11,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 1803,127323,67973,2020,Arizona,1293,OH Predictive Insights,,,OH Predictive Insights,235,OH Predictive Insights,B/C,603,lv,lv,IVR/Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/3/20,8/4/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,8/11/20 08:05,,https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200803_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20--%20Senate.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 1805,127581,68113,2020,Arizona,356,OnMessage Inc.,1162,Heritage Action,OnMessage Inc.,239,OnMessage Inc.,B/C,400,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,8/2/20,8/4/20,11/3/20,,0,REP,,0,0,8/18/20 16:40,,https://s3.amazonaws.com/hafa/Heritage-Action-August-2020-Battleground-Survey.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.0 1837,127194,67934,2020,Arizona,1515,Data for Progress,,,Data for Progress,522,Data for Progress,B,1215,lv,lv,Online/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/24/20,8/2/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,8/6/20 08:00,,http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/8/progressive-senate-project/DFP_Arizona_8_20_xtabs.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1906,126908,67808,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,365,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/24/20,7/26/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/29/20 05:36,,https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.0 1912,126761,67685,2020,Arizona,1189,Morning Consult,,,Morning Consult,218,Morning Consult,B,908,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/17/20,7/26/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/28/20 06:44,,https://morningconsult.com/2020/07/28/senate-presidential-polling-political-intelligence/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 1928,126667,67661,2020,Arizona,1361,SSRS,143,CNN,CNN/SSRS,297,SSRS,C,873,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/18/20,7/24/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/26/20 08:09,,https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/07/26/rel1_az.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 1940,126989,67838,2020,Arizona,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,B/C,858,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/19/20,7/23/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/30/20 08:38,,https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-19-to-24-july/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,53.0 1944,126607,67652,2020,Arizona,383,Public Policy Polling,236,MoveOn,Public Policy Polling,263,Public Policy Polling,A-,816,v,v,IVR/Text,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/21/20,7/22/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,7/24/20 12:28,,https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bovYI6yeunK2kGDEqKrz0UWBi2AlRNZz/view,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 1946,126672,67665,2020,Arizona,1205,Marist College,132,NBC News,Marist College,183,Marist College,A,826,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/14/20,7/22/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/26/20 08:58,,http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NBC-News_Marist-Poll-AZ-NOS-and-Tables_202007231249.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,53.0 1972,126531,67621,2020,Arizona,1488,Spry Strategies,1260,American Principles Project,Spry Strategies,508,Spry Strategies,B/C,700,lv,lv,IVR/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/11/20,7/16/20,11/3/20,,0,REP,,0,0,7/22/20 18:48,,https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP.Arizona.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,48.07 1996,125356,67087,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,345,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/10/20,7/12/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/15/20 05:39,,https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-9,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 2009,125292,67055,2020,Arizona,568,YouGov,133,CBS News,YouGov,391,YouGov,B+,1087,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/7/20,7/10/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/12/20 10:34,,https://drive.google.com/file/d/1NdvAi60uPh_3x7OMA1S_ZtFCMBB7y8X_/view,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,46.0 2033,125334,67078,2020,Arizona,1293,OH Predictive Insights,,,OH Predictive Insights,235,OH Predictive Insights,B/C,600,lv,lv,IVR/Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,7/6/20,7/7/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/14/20 07:57,,https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200706_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20(AZPOP)%20--%20Senate%20Toplines.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,52.0 2068,125070,66969,2020,Arizona,1308,Data Orbital,,,Data Orbital,73,Data Orbital,A/B,600,lv,lv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/27/20,6/29/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/1/20 12:00,,https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-az-us-senate-leans-dem-presidential-race-a-toss-up,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.9 2070,125035,66956,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,576,CNBC,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,311,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/26/20,6/28/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,7/1/20 05:40,,https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-8,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,53.0 2078,125094,66976,2020,Arizona,801,Gravis Marketing,358,One America News Network,Gravis Marketing,124,Gravis Marketing,B,527,lv,lv,IVR/Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/27/20,6/27/20,11/3/20,,0,REP,,0,0,7/1/20 19:57,,https://d2pggiv3o55wnc.cloudfront.net/oann/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-OANN-June-28-2020-v3.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,42.0 2101,125198,67007,2020,Arizona,178,Global Strategy Group,681,End Citizens United,Global Strategy Group,118,Global Strategy Group,B/C,800,lv,lv,,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/19/20,6/24/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,7/7/20 06:53,,https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000173-2701-d3c8-abf7-67f5fa840000,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 2115,125242,67026,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,973,314 Action,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,946,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/20/20,6/23/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,7/8/20 21:40,,https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-Senate-Survey-Memo.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 2117,125243,67026,2020,Arizona,1365,Change Research,973,314 Action,Change Research,48,Change Research,B-,946,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/20/20,6/23/20,11/3/20,,0,DEM,,0,0,7/8/20 21:40,,https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-Senate-Survey-Memo.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,50.0 2137,124938,66904,2020,Arizona,1562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,1473,The Telegraph,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,562,Redfield & Wilton Strategies,B/C,865,lv,lv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/14/20,6/17/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,6/25/20 11:52,,https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-14-to-19-june/,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,49.0 2151,124901,66892,2020,Arizona,1424,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,,,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,448,Siena College/The New York Times Upshot,A+,650,rv,rv,Live Phone,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/8/20,6/16/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,6/25/20 05:03,,https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/AZ0620-Crosstabs062520H.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,47.0 2153,124693,66820,2020,Arizona,1447,Civiqs,185,Daily Kos,Civiqs,471,Civiqs,B-,1368,rv,rv,Online,U.S. Senate,2,Class III,6/13/20,6/15/20,11/3/20,,0,,,0,0,6/16/20 08:17,,https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_AZ_banner_book_2020_06_gh368w.pdf,general,6268,Kelly,13445,Mark Kelly,DEM,51.0 2181,124472,66724,2020,Arizona,590,Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. 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