senate_polls

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Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

119 rows where candidate_id = 13445

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Link rowid ▼ question_id poll_id cycle state pollster_id pollster sponsor_ids sponsors display_name pollster_rating_id pollster_rating_name fte_grade sample_size population population_full methodology office_type seat_number seat_name start_date end_date election_date sponsor_candidate internal partisan tracking nationwide_batch ranked_choice_reallocated created_at notes url stage race_id answer candidate_id candidate_name candidate_party pct
163 163 136343 72653 2020 Arizona 744 Ipsos 71 Reuters Ipsos 154 Ipsos B- 610 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/27/20 11/2/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/2/20 14:27   https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-11/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w6_11_2_2020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 53.0
192 192 136327 72649 2020 Arizona 1205 Marist College 132 NBC News Marist College 183 Marist College A 717 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/29/20 11/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/2/20 13:06   http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/NBC-News_Marist-Poll_AZ-Likely-Voters_NOS-and-Tables_202011012357.pdf#page=3 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
194 194 136328 72649 2020 Arizona 1205 Marist College 132 NBC News Marist College 183 Marist College A 988 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/29/20 11/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/2/20 13:06   http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/NBC-News_Marist-Poll_AZ-Adults-and-Registered-Voters_NOS-and-Tables_202011012355.pdf#page=3 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
201 201 136503 72726 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 409 lv lv Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/29/20 11/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/2/20 19:43   https://changeresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/CNBC-CR_Battleground_Toplines_Final-Wave_Oct-29-Nov-1.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
223 223 136221 72585 2020 Arizona 1515 Data for Progress     Data for Progress 522 Data for Progress B 1195 lv lv Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/27/20 11/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/1/20 22:06   https://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/11/2020-election-polls/toplines/dfp_az_11.1.20.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 54.0
256 256 136581 72764 2020 Arizona 1522 Swayable     Swayable 543 Swayable C 333 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/27/20 11/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/2/20 22:16   https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-11-02-large.html general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 55.0
284 284 136051 72495 2020 Arizona 1102 Emerson College     Emerson College 88 Emerson College A- 732 lv lv IVR/Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/29/20 10/31/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/1/20 12:06   https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/super-poll-sunday-toss-ups-in-nevada-and-arizona general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.3
301 301 136269 72602 2020 Arizona 1189 Morning Consult     Morning Consult 218 Morning Consult B 1059 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/22/20 10/31/20 11/3/20   0   1 0 0 11/2/20 07:19   https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.9
328 328 136301 72632 2020 Arizona 1308 Data Orbital     Data Orbital 73 Data Orbital A/B 550 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/28/20 10/30/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/2/20 09:44   https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-arizona-presidential-and-us-senate-races-shift-one-day-before-election-day general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.1
330 330 136021 72478 2020 Arizona 1424 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot     Siena College/The New York Times Upshot 448 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ 1252 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/26/20 10/30/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 11/1/20 05:56   https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-fl-pa-wi/bc6b622f38350414/full.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
342 342 135886 72417 2020 Arizona 1361 SSRS 143 CNN CNN/SSRS 297 SSRS C 865 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/23/20 10/30/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/31/20 17:57   http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_az.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
344 344 135887 72417 2020 Arizona 1361 SSRS 143 CNN CNN/SSRS 297 SSRS C 892 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/23/20 10/30/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/31/20 17:57   http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/31/rel2_az.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
363 363 135483 72217 2020 Arizona 399 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research     Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research 277 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research B 800 lv lv IVR/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/27/20 10/29/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/29/20 13:57   https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_senate_kelly_d_48_mcsally_r_43 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
403 403 135321 72158 2020 Arizona 801 Gravis Marketing     Gravis Marketing 124 Gravis Marketing B 704 lv lv IVR/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/26/20 10/28/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/28/20 14:49   https://www.scribd.com/document/481978819/Arizona-October-28-2020 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
503 503 135359 72166 2020 Arizona 744 Ipsos 71 Reuters Ipsos 154 Ipsos B- 714 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/21/20 10/27/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/28/20 18:25   https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w5_10_28_2020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
543 543 135658 72296 2020 Arizona 1522 Swayable     Swayable 543 Swayable C 286 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/23/20 10/26/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/30/20 07:56   https://www.swayable.com/polls/2020-10-28.html general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 55.8
574 574 135086 72055 2020 Arizona 1293 OH Predictive Insights     OH Predictive Insights 235 OH Predictive Insights B/C 716 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/22/20 10/25/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/27/20 14:38   https://ohpredictive.com/press-releases/poll-biden-maintains-small-lead-in-arizona/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
580 580 135337 72161 2020 Arizona 1636 The Justice Collaborative Institute     The Justice Collaborative Institute 630 The Justice Collaborative Institute B/C 1007 rv rv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/22/20 10/25/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/28/20 16:52   https://tjcinstitute.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/From-President-and-Senate-to-County-Attorney-and-Sheriff-Democrats-Lead-Up-and-Down-the-Ballot-in-Arizona-1.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
593 593 135278 72147 2020 Arizona 1640 Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 501 Arizona State Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research 516 Univision/Latino Decisions/North Star Opinion Research B/C 725 rv rv Live Phone/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/17/20 10/25/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/28/20 13:00   https://st1.uvnimg.com/33/8f/ed1016da4a5fb16ec7e34cd5568a/univision-crosstabs-october-final.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
601 601 135111 72067 2020 Arizona 1422 Patinkin Research Strategies 1498,1499 Arizona Research Consortium | Arizona Wins Patinkin Research Strategies 490 Patinkin Research Strategies B/C 729 lv lv Live Phone/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/21/20 10/24/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 10/27/20 19:48   https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027_AZ_Patinkin.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 53.0
609 609 135871 72412 2020 Arizona 1243 Y2 Analytics     Y2 Analytics 389 Y2 Analytics B/C 700 lv lv Live Phone/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/15/20 10/24/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/31/20 17:22   https://www.sltrib.com/news/politics/2020/10/31/trump-up-over-biden-new/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
634 634 134440 71750 2020 Arizona 461 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. 1457 Center for American Greatness Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. 326 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. B+ 500 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/19/20 10/22/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/23/20 14:26   https://overland.amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2020/10/Toplines-ArizonaStatewide-CFAG-Oct2020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.0
653 653 134175 71621 2020 Arizona 744 Ipsos 71 Reuters Ipsos 154 Ipsos B- 658 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/14/20 10/21/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/21/20 17:42   https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w4_10_21_2020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
726 726 134226 71637 2020 Arizona 1189 Morning Consult     Morning Consult 218 Morning Consult B 1066 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/11/20 10/20/20 11/3/20   0   1 0 0 10/22/20 07:35   https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
748 748 134034 71546 2020 Arizona 399 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research     Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research 277 Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research B 800 lv lv IVR/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/18/20 10/19/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/21/20 12:34   https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/arizona_senate_kelly_d_46_mcsally_r_44 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 46.0
761 761 133963 71519 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 232 lv lv Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/16/20 10/19/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/20/20 20:42   https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/20/voters-want-senate-to-choose-coronavirus-stimulus-over-supreme-court.html general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 54.0
786 786 134023 71461 2020 Arizona 1554 RMG Research 1475 PoliticalIQ RMG Research 555 RMG Research B- 800 lv lv Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/14/20 10/19/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/21/20 10:09   http://politicaliq.com/2020/10/21/az-senate-race-kelly-d-46-mcsally-r-39/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 46.0
804 804 133818 71451 2020 Arizona 1308 Data Orbital     Data Orbital 73 Data Orbital A/B 550 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/16/20 10/18/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/20/20 10:35   https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-arizona-presidential-and-us-races-still-tight-two-weeks-out-from-election-day general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.1
831 831 133502 71295 2020 Arizona 568 YouGov 133 CBS News YouGov 391 YouGov B+ 1065 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/13/20 10/16/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/18/20 11:04   https://drive.google.com/file/d/1j9uJnxfT1x8spYhW2QmAq6OkSMd06wJG/view general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
894 894 132885 71007 2020 Arizona 744 Ipsos 71 Reuters Ipsos 154 Ipsos B- 667 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/7/20 10/14/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/14/20 17:31   https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w3_10_14_2020_1.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
904 904 133068 71090 2020 Arizona 320 Monmouth University     Monmouth University 215 Monmouth University A 502 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/9/20 10/13/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/15/20 11:04   https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
906 906 133069 71090 2020 Arizona 320 Monmouth University     Monmouth University 215 Monmouth University A 502 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/9/20 10/13/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/15/20 11:05 high likely turnout https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
908 908 133070 71090 2020 Arizona 320 Monmouth University     Monmouth University 215 Monmouth University A 502 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/9/20 10/13/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/15/20 11:05 low likely turnout https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_101520.pdf/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
986 986 132376 70752 2020 Arizona 1189 Morning Consult     Morning Consult 218 Morning Consult B 1144 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/2/20 10/11/20 11/3/20   0   1 0 0 10/13/20 07:47   https://morningconsult.com/form/2020-u-s-election-tracker/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
1016 1016 132315 70728 2020 Arizona 1250 Trafalgar Group     Trafalgar Group 338 Trafalgar Group A- 1045 lv lv IVR/Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/6/20 10/9/20 11/3/20   0 REP   0 0 10/11/20 20:26   https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Wi8S4iVv3og1J-ril-RG3uZYlDHTz8gx/view general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.3
1022 1022 133023 71067 2020 Arizona 1293 OH Predictive Insights     OH Predictive Insights 235 OH Predictive Insights B/C 608 lv lv IVR/Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/4/20 10/8/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/15/20 07:53   https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/201005_AZPOP/PR_Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20Toplines%20and%20Crosstabs%20(1).pdf?utm_medium=email&_hsmi=97443604&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8YKdQGdcjhrShEJfsBc7JTFdlklT1RodoeG-nMmCGHWRDUFwNlhUCpC0Qyjh4DQGGGyPyUZaS7ikUHptXoT6cVk8q7kfO-4hRg1rAyzImJPZbVBeA&utm_content=97443604&utm_source=hs_email general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1052 1052 132118 70651 2020 Arizona 744 Ipsos 71 Reuters Ipsos 154 Ipsos B- 633 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/29/20 10/7/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/7/20 14:34   https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-10/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w2_10_07_2020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1083 1083 132199 70681 2020 Arizona 1379 Latino Decisions 1126 Education Reform Now Advocacy Latino Decisions 482 Latino Decisions B/C 600 lv lv   U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/28/20 10/6/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 10/8/20 13:27   http://dfer.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ERNA-Memo-Latino-Decisions-10.8.20.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.0
1098 1098 132091 70639 2020 Arizona 1308 Data Orbital     Data Orbital 73 Data Orbital A/B 550 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/3/20 10/5/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/7/20 11:18   https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-az-us-senate-race-tightens-and-president-trump-down-45 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.2
1100 1100 134460 71758 2020 Arizona 48 Basswood Research 1326 American Action Forum Basswood Research 24 Basswood Research B/C 800 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/3/20 10/5/20 11/3/20   0 REP   0 0 10/23/20 15:14   https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/arizona-policy-priorities-and-the-election-october-update/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.4
1118 1118 132096 70603 2020 Arizona 1337 HighGround Inc.     HighGround Inc. 416 HighGround Inc. B/C 400 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/28/20 10/5/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/7/20 12:22   https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201007_AZ_HighGround.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1120 1120 132074 70604 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 296 lv lv Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/2/20 10/4/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/7/20 09:24   https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-15/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1146 1146 131639 70565 2020 Arizona 1424 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot     Siena College/The New York Times Upshot 448 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ 655 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/1/20 10/3/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/5/20 12:55   https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az100120-crosstabs/a77605c32cd8f31e/full.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1148 1148 135112 72068 2020 Arizona 1422 Patinkin Research Strategies 1498,1499 Arizona Research Consortium | Arizona Wins Patinkin Research Strategies 490 Patinkin Research Strategies B/C 604 lv lv Live Phone/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 10/1/20 10/3/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 10/27/20 19:49   https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027_AZ_Patinkin.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1154 1154 133221 71159 2020 Arizona 1477 Targoz Market Research 1477 PollSmart MR Targoz Market Research 454 Targoz Market Research B/C 1045 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/23/20 10/2/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/15/20 17:18   https://www.pollsmartmr.com/latest-polls-1/trump-kelly-lead-in-arizona general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1166 1166 131971 70587 2020 Arizona 1189 Morning Consult     Morning Consult 218 Morning Consult B 1048 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/22/20 10/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/5/20 18:10   https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/05/arizona-senate-polling-martha-mcsally-mark-kelly/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1171 1171 130643 70119 2020 Arizona 458 Suffolk University 135 USA Today Suffolk University 323 Suffolk University B+ 500 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/26/20 9/30/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 10/2/20 08:53   https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2020/10_2_2020_tables_pdftxt.pdf?la=en&hash=092D976850EB75E3AD343E1F122E02FA8C57CEFC general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
1197 1197 130463 70042 2020 Arizona 461 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. 1457 Center for American Greatness Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. 326 Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc. B+ 500 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/25/20 9/28/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/29/20 13:30   https://amgreatness.com/2020/09/29/trump-and-biden-tied-in-new-arizona-poll/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
1208 1208 130562 70079 2020 Arizona 1515 Data for Progress 1155,1452 Crooked Media | Indivisible Data for Progress 522 Data for Progress B 808 lv lv Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/23/20 9/28/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 10/1/20 08:02   https://filesforprogress.org/memos/2020-senate-project/week-2/dfp_psp_AZ_Senate_week2.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1324 1324 130314 69973 2020 Arizona 1515 Data for Progress 1455 Defend Students Action Fund Data for Progress 522 Data for Progress B 481 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/15/20 9/22/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/25/20 10:12   https://filesforprogress.org/memos/student-debt-project-electoral.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.0
1369 1369 129909 69681 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 262 lv lv Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/18/20 9/20/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/23/20 08:36   https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-14/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1392 1392 129895 69675 2020 Arizona 11 ABC News/The Washington Post     ABC News/The Washington Post 3 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ 701 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/15/20 9/20/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/23/20 05:55   https://www.washingtonpost.com/context/sept-15-20-2020-florida-and-arizona-washington-post-abc-news-polls/48276797-3b93-4ab2-835b-ed2fcdc8581e/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1394 1394 129896 69675 2020 Arizona 11 ABC News/The Washington Post     ABC News/The Washington Post 3 ABC News/The Washington Post A+ 579 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/15/20 9/20/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/23/20 05:55   https://www.washingtonpost.com/context/sept-15-20-2020-florida-and-arizona-washington-post-abc-news-polls/48276797-3b93-4ab2-835b-ed2fcdc8581e/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
1400 1400 129831 69639 2020 Arizona 1189 Morning Consult     Morning Consult 218 Morning Consult B 907 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/11/20 9/20/20 11/3/20   0   1 0 0 9/22/20 06:03   https://morningconsult.com/2020/09/22/majority-makers-south-carolina-senate-harrison-graham/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
1423 1423 130331 69981 2020 Arizona 204 Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group 791 Human Rights Campaign Hart Research Associates 113 Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group B- 400 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/17/20 9/19/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 9/25/20 22:00   https://www.hrc.org/parts/HRC-Poll-917-202020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 55.0
1460 1460 132383 70764 2020 Arizona 1189 Morning Consult     Morning Consult 218 Morning Consult B 900 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/8/20 9/17/20 11/3/20   0   1 0 0 10/13/20 08:02   https://morningconsult.com/2020/10/13/senate-graham-harrison-supreme-court-polling/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.15
1487 1487 129826 69634 2020 Arizona 147 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates     Fabrizio, Lee & Associates 90 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates B/C 800 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/14/20 9/16/20 11/3/20 Martha McSally 1 REP   0 0 9/22/20 05:51   https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000174-b2e8-d59c-a174-f6fc6db30000 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
1489 1489 129567 69542 2020 Arizona 1562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 1473 The Telegraph Redfield & Wilton Strategies 562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies B/C 855 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/12/20 9/16/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/18/20 14:01   https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-12-16-september/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
1511 1511 129957 69698 2020 Arizona 744 Ipsos 71 Reuters Ipsos 154 Ipsos B- 565 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/11/20 9/16/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/23/20 15:20   https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2020-09/topline_reuters_arizona_state_poll_w1_09_23_2020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1515 1515 129490 69513 2020 Arizona 320 Monmouth University     Monmouth University 215 Monmouth University A 420 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/11/20 9/15/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/17/20 11:03   https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1517 1517 129491 69513 2020 Arizona 320 Monmouth University     Monmouth University 215 Monmouth University A 420 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/11/20 9/15/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/17/20 11:03 higher likely turnout https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1519 1519 129492 69513 2020 Arizona 320 Monmouth University     Monmouth University 215 Monmouth University A 420 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/11/20 9/15/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/17/20 11:03 lower likely turnout https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/documents/monmouthpoll_az_091720.pdf/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
1521 1521 129510 69523 2020 Arizona 1424 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot     Siena College/The New York Times Upshot 448 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ 653 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/10/20 9/15/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/18/20 05:12   https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/az-me-nc-0920-crosstabs/72d074246b272695/full.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1541 1541 135113 72069 2020 Arizona 1422 Patinkin Research Strategies 1498,1499 Arizona Research Consortium | Arizona Wins Patinkin Research Strategies 490 Patinkin Research Strategies B/C 679 lv lv Live Phone/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/10/20 9/13/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 10/27/20 19:49   https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20201027_AZ_Patinkin.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1551 1551 129470 69500 2020 Arizona 800 Kaiser Family Foundation 579 Cook Political Report Kaiser Family Foundation 419 Kaiser Family Foundation   1298 rv rv Mail U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/29/20 9/13/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/17/20 06:44   https://www.kff.org/other/report/sun-belt-voices-project/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 44.0
1555 1555 129281 69420 2020 Arizona 801 Gravis Marketing     Gravis Marketing 124 Gravis Marketing B 684 lv lv IVR/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/10/20 9/11/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/12/20 08:17   https://gravismarketing.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona-September-11-2020.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
1557 1557 129305 69423 2020 Arizona 568 YouGov 133 CBS News YouGov 391 YouGov B+ 1102 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/9/20 9/11/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/13/20 10:33   https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hr0WLAZhvP2k_BOL7sRwEifQgu2JAOTU/view general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
1567 1567 129406 69429 2020 Arizona 1293 OH Predictive Insights     OH Predictive Insights 235 OH Predictive Insights B/C 600 lv lv IVR/Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/8/20 9/10/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/16/20 08:32   https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200908%20AZPOP/AZPOP%20Crosstabs%20-%20Senate.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
1585 1585 128419 68584 2020 Arizona 1609 Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Research 42 AARP Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Research 606 Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARP Research   1600 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/28/20 9/8/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/10/20 09:37   https://www.aarp.org/content/dam/aarp/research/surveys_statistics/politics/2020/2020-election-battleground-states-presidential-election-arizona-topline.doi.10.26419-2Fres.00401.002.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
1597 1597 128359 68533 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 470 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 9/4/20 9/6/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/9/20 13:48   https://changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-13/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1623 1623 128373 68520 2020 Arizona 1562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 1473 The Telegraph Redfield & Wilton Strategies 562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies B/C 830 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/30/20 9/4/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/9/20 16:25   https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-30-august-to-4-september/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 53.0
1665 1665 128022 68338 2020 Arizona 590 Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research     Fox News 103 Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research A 858 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/29/20 9/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/2/20 18:10   https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 55.0
1667 1667 128023 68338 2020 Arizona 590 Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research     Fox News 103 Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research A 772 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/29/20 9/1/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 9/2/20 18:10   https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/09/Arizona.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 56.0
1695 1695 134455 71753 2020 Arizona 48 Basswood Research 1326 American Action Forum Basswood Research 24 Basswood Research B/C 800 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/29/20 8/31/20 11/3/20   0 REP   0 0 10/23/20 15:13   https://www.americanactionforum.org/insight/arizona-policy-priorities-and-the-election/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
1735 1735 127661 68153 2020 Arizona 1562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 1473 The Telegraph Redfield & Wilton Strategies 562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies B/C 856 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/16/20 8/18/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 8/21/20 19:00   https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-16-to-19-august/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 53.0
1769 1769 127356 68005 2020 Arizona 1102 Emerson College     Emerson College 88 Emerson College A- 661 lv lv IVR/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/8/20 8/10/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 8/11/20 19:05   https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/north-carolina-pennsylvania-and-arizona-2020-tight-races-in-battleground-states-leading-into-party-conventions general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.81
1777 1777 127368 68011 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 428 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/7/20 8/9/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 8/12/20 05:36   https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-11 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
1803 1803 127323 67973 2020 Arizona 1293 OH Predictive Insights     OH Predictive Insights 235 OH Predictive Insights B/C 603 lv lv IVR/Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/3/20 8/4/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 8/11/20 08:05   https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200803_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20--%20Senate.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
1805 1805 127581 68113 2020 Arizona 356 OnMessage Inc. 1162 Heritage Action OnMessage Inc. 239 OnMessage Inc. B/C 400 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 8/2/20 8/4/20 11/3/20   0 REP   0 0 8/18/20 16:40   https://s3.amazonaws.com/hafa/Heritage-Action-August-2020-Battleground-Survey.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.0
1837 1837 127194 67934 2020 Arizona 1515 Data for Progress     Data for Progress 522 Data for Progress B 1215 lv lv Online/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/24/20 8/2/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 8/6/20 08:00   http://filesforprogress.org/datasets/2020/8/progressive-senate-project/DFP_Arizona_8_20_xtabs.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1906 1906 126908 67808 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 365 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/24/20 7/26/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/29/20 05:36   https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-10 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.0
1912 1912 126761 67685 2020 Arizona 1189 Morning Consult     Morning Consult 218 Morning Consult B 908 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/17/20 7/26/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/28/20 06:44   https://morningconsult.com/2020/07/28/senate-presidential-polling-political-intelligence/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
1928 1928 126667 67661 2020 Arizona 1361 SSRS 143 CNN CNN/SSRS 297 SSRS C 873 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/18/20 7/24/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/26/20 08:09   https://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/07/26/rel1_az.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
1940 1940 126989 67838 2020 Arizona 1562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 1473 The Telegraph Redfield & Wilton Strategies 562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies B/C 858 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/19/20 7/23/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/30/20 08:38   https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-senate-and-governor-voting-intention-19-to-24-july/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 53.0
1944 1944 126607 67652 2020 Arizona 383 Public Policy Polling 236 MoveOn Public Policy Polling 263 Public Policy Polling A- 816 v v IVR/Text U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/21/20 7/22/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 7/24/20 12:28   https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bovYI6yeunK2kGDEqKrz0UWBi2AlRNZz/view general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
1946 1946 126672 67665 2020 Arizona 1205 Marist College 132 NBC News Marist College 183 Marist College A 826 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/14/20 7/22/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/26/20 08:58   http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/NBC-News_Marist-Poll-AZ-NOS-and-Tables_202007231249.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 53.0
1972 1972 126531 67621 2020 Arizona 1488 Spry Strategies 1260 American Principles Project Spry Strategies 508 Spry Strategies B/C 700 lv lv IVR/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/11/20 7/16/20 11/3/20   0 REP   0 0 7/22/20 18:48   https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP.Arizona.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 48.07
1996 1996 125356 67087 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 345 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/10/20 7/12/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/15/20 05:39   https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-9 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
2009 2009 125292 67055 2020 Arizona 568 YouGov 133 CBS News YouGov 391 YouGov B+ 1087 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/7/20 7/10/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/12/20 10:34   https://drive.google.com/file/d/1NdvAi60uPh_3x7OMA1S_ZtFCMBB7y8X_/view general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 46.0
2033 2033 125334 67078 2020 Arizona 1293 OH Predictive Insights     OH Predictive Insights 235 OH Predictive Insights B/C 600 lv lv IVR/Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 7/6/20 7/7/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/14/20 07:57   https://f.hubspotusercontent40.net/hubfs/7453540/200706_AZPOP/Arizona%20Public%20Opinion%20Pulse%20(AZPOP)%20--%20Senate%20Toplines.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 52.0
2068 2068 125070 66969 2020 Arizona 1308 Data Orbital     Data Orbital 73 Data Orbital A/B 600 lv lv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/27/20 6/29/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/1/20 12:00   https://www.dataorbital.com/the-blog/breaking-in-az-us-senate-leans-dem-presidential-race-a-toss-up general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.9
2070 2070 125035 66956 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 576 CNBC Change Research 48 Change Research B- 311 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/26/20 6/28/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 7/1/20 05:40   https://www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-8 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 53.0
2078 2078 125094 66976 2020 Arizona 801 Gravis Marketing 358 One America News Network Gravis Marketing 124 Gravis Marketing B 527 lv lv IVR/Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/27/20 6/27/20 11/3/20   0 REP   0 0 7/1/20 19:57   https://d2pggiv3o55wnc.cloudfront.net/oann/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-OANN-June-28-2020-v3.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 42.0
2101 2101 125198 67007 2020 Arizona 178 Global Strategy Group 681 End Citizens United Global Strategy Group 118 Global Strategy Group B/C 800 lv lv   U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/19/20 6/24/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 7/7/20 06:53   https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000173-2701-d3c8-abf7-67f5fa840000 general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
2115 2115 125242 67026 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 973 314 Action Change Research 48 Change Research B- 946 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/20/20 6/23/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 7/8/20 21:40   https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-Senate-Survey-Memo.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
2117 2117 125243 67026 2020 Arizona 1365 Change Research 973 314 Action Change Research 48 Change Research B- 946 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/20/20 6/23/20 11/3/20   0 DEM   0 0 7/8/20 21:40   https://314action.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/Arizona-Senate-Survey-Memo.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0
2137 2137 124938 66904 2020 Arizona 1562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies 1473 The Telegraph Redfield & Wilton Strategies 562 Redfield & Wilton Strategies B/C 865 lv lv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/14/20 6/17/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 6/25/20 11:52   https://redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-usa-swing-state-voting-intention-14-to-19-june/ general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 49.0
2151 2151 124901 66892 2020 Arizona 1424 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot     Siena College/The New York Times Upshot 448 Siena College/The New York Times Upshot A+ 650 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/8/20 6/16/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 6/25/20 05:03   https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/AZ0620-Crosstabs062520H.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 47.0
2153 2153 124693 66820 2020 Arizona 1447 Civiqs 185 Daily Kos Civiqs 471 Civiqs B- 1368 rv rv Online U.S. Senate 2 Class III 6/13/20 6/15/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 6/16/20 08:17   https://civiqs.com/documents/Civiqs_DailyKos_AZ_banner_book_2020_06_gh368w.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 51.0
2181 2181 124472 66724 2020 Arizona 590 Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research     Fox News 103 Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research A 1002 rv rv Live Phone U.S. Senate 2 Class III 5/30/20 6/2/20 11/3/20   0     0 0 6/3/20 18:16   https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/content/uploads/2020/06/35199d36-Fox_May-30-June-2-2020_Complete_Arizona_Topline_June-3-Release.pdf general 6268 Kelly 13445 Mark Kelly DEM 50.0

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CREATE TABLE "senate_polls" (
"question_id" INTEGER,
  "poll_id" INTEGER,
  "cycle" INTEGER,
  "state" TEXT,
  "pollster_id" INTEGER,
  "pollster" TEXT,
  "sponsor_ids" TEXT,
  "sponsors" TEXT,
  "display_name" TEXT,
  "pollster_rating_id" INTEGER,
  "pollster_rating_name" TEXT,
  "fte_grade" TEXT,
  "sample_size" INTEGER,
  "population" TEXT,
  "population_full" TEXT,
  "methodology" TEXT,
  "office_type" TEXT,
  "seat_number" INTEGER,
  "seat_name" TEXT,
  "start_date" TEXT,
  "end_date" TEXT,
  "election_date" TEXT,
  "sponsor_candidate" TEXT,
  "internal" INTEGER,
  "partisan" TEXT,
  "tracking" TEXT,
  "nationwide_batch" INTEGER,
  "ranked_choice_reallocated" INTEGER,
  "created_at" TEXT,
  "notes" TEXT,
  "url" TEXT,
  "stage" TEXT,
  "race_id" INTEGER,
  "answer" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_party" TEXT,
  "pct" REAL
);