forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions: 15

This table contains the data behind the story How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works.

Header Definition
state Election
year Year of election
candidate Last name
forecast_prob Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast
result Win or Loss

For archived results, see:

Data source: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/blob/master/forecast-methodology/historical-senate-predictions.csv

This data as json

rowid state year candidate forecast_prob result winflag
15 Arkansas 2010 Boozman 1.0 Win 1
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