This table contains data behind the story Projecting The Top 50 Players In The 2015 NBA Draft Class.
historical_projections.csv contains historical results of the NBA draft projection model, 2001-2015.
| Header | Definition |
|---|---|
Player |
Player name |
Position |
The player's position going into the draft |
ID |
The player's identification code |
Draft Year |
The year the player was eligible for the NBA draft |
Projected SPM |
The model's projected statistical plus/minus over years 2-5 of the player's NBA career |
Superstar |
Probability of becoming a superstar player (1 per draft, SPM >= +3.3) |
Starter |
Probability of becoming a starting-caliber player (10 per draft, SPM >= +0.5) |
Role Player |
Probability of becoming a role player (25 per draft, SPM >= -1.4) |
Bust |
Probability of becoming a bust (everyone else, SPM < -1.4) |
Data source: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/blob/master/nba-draft-2015/historical_projections.csv
| rowid | Player | Position | ID | Draft Year | Projected SPM | Superstar | Starter | Role Player | Bust |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Branden Dawson | SF | branden-dawson | 2015 | -0.94832171 | 0.000308971 | 0.093166238 | 0.391170861 | 0.51535393 |