polls/pres_pollaverages_1968-2016


files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv


This file contains links to the polling data behind our Latest Polls dashboard.

Polls

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

217,473 rows

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Link rowid ▼ cycle state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment election_date election_qdate last_qdate last_enddate _medpoly2 trend_medpoly2 _shortpoly0 trend_shortpoly0 sum_weight_medium sum_weight_short sum_influence sum_nat_influence _minpoints _defaultbasetime _numloops _state_houseeffects_weight _state_trendline_weight _out_of_state_house_discount _house_effects_multiplier _attenuate_endpoints _nonlinear_polynomial_degree _shortpoly_combpoly_weight _nat_shortpoly_combpoly_weight
1 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.11138000000001 68.63747 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     70.11138100000001 68.637474 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
2 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.630140000000004 49.681740000000005 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     51.630138 49.681736 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
3 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.0 41.02212 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     44.0 41.022121000000006 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
4 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.9515 43.51193 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     45.951502000000005 43.511928999999995 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6910744000000001 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
5 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.54603 44.68674 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.394218 46.558935999999996 46.376394 44.312304 4.3288660000000005 4.3288660000000005 2.770836 0.9420226999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
6 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.98361 49.4803 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     49.983612 49.480297 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.1946350000000001 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
7 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.70271 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     27.500001 25.702706 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
8 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.1852 41.144079999999995 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.198731 41.433503 43.182495 41.086191 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
9 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.45541 49.83593 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     50.455414000000005 49.83593 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.26152179999999997 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
10 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.922 38.485440000000004 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.488217 38.344093 39.008763 38.513705 4.180455 4.180455 3.2784489999999997 3.134945 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
11 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.259809999999995 38.38002 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     40.259812 38.380024 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
12 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.844069999999995 52.12106 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     55.844066000000005 52.121059 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
13 2016 National 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.9214 42.44001 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 42.447379 42.386132 43.395429 42.493883000000004 54.516690000000004 62.487559999999995 8.461908 8.461908 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
14 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28437 41.727540000000005 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.284366 41.727534999999996 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
15 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.26325 39.642559999999996 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.440872999999996 39.552021999999994 41.427723 39.660664000000004 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.8122557 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
16 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.23107 37.87658 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     38.231072 37.876576 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8616768 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
17 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.19905 34.54594 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     35.199056 34.545939000000004 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.1756879999999998 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
18 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.26028 43.30642 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.419103 42.84673 44.428513 43.398352 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.608383 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
19 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.62766 43.08505 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     43.627659 43.085048 2.498985 2.498985 2.4283240000000004 1.015099 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
20 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.75623 42.34789 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     42.756226 42.347888 1.4995319999999999 1.4995319999999999 1.172013 1.186391 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
21 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28437 42.67881 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.284366 42.67881 0.7809128000000001 0.7809128000000001 0.7809128000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
22 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.98365 46.2808 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     46.983646 46.280803999999996 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.126718 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
23 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.2043 34.74948 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015     37.204296 34.749477 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
24 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.47325 35.77851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.289689 36.495688 37.509958000000005 35.635076 2.093773 2.093773 1.3602290000000001 0.3894523 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
25 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61.0 60.419669999999996 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     61.0 60.41966600000001 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3523191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
26 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.850770000000004 38.14385 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.553864000000004 38.729296000000005 39.910153 38.026762 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.5742619999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
27 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.670970000000004 32.84491 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     32.670974 32.844913 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
28 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.824009999999994 45.081520000000005 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     44.824013 45.081524 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
29 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0 40.0138 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     42.0 40.013798 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
30 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.03014 41.31678 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     42.030141 41.31678 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6910744000000001 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
31 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.90705 44.34629 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.525869 44.386938 44.983282 44.338153999999996 4.3288660000000005 4.3288660000000005 2.770836 0.9420226999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
32 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.02863 40.962509999999995 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     41.028633 40.962509000000004 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.1946350000000001 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
33 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.772659999999995 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     36.5 36.772659000000004 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
34 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.31864 45.08527 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.157377000000004 45.484846000000005 45.350893 45.005355 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
35 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.2351 37.17752 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     37.235096 37.17752 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.26152179999999997 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
36 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.94632 48.929159999999996 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.331258 50.332246000000005 48.669327 48.648538 4.180455 4.180455 3.2784489999999997 3.134945 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
37 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.72152 43.611129999999996 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     43.721515000000004 43.611126 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
38 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.16828 29.852759999999996 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     31.168275 29.852756 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
39 2016 National 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.38879 47.13026 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 47.482154 47.201392 47.295415000000006 47.059129999999996 54.516690000000004 62.487559999999995 8.461908 8.461908 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
40 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14902 40.59892 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     42.149017 40.598915000000005 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
41 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.907709999999994 46.53025 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.213225 45.880746 47.046603999999995 46.660153 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.8122557 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
42 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.728680000000004 52.72894 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     52.728676 52.728939000000004 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8616768 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
43 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.719640000000005 57.556569999999994 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     57.719635 57.556568000000006 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.1756879999999998 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
44 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.42224 44.09425 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.725157 44.543865999999994 44.36166 44.004333 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.608383 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
45 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.64627 40.60757 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     40.646266 40.607575 2.498985 2.498985 2.4283240000000004 1.015099 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
46 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.8965 44.84734 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     44.896504 44.847338 1.4995319999999999 1.4995319999999999 1.172013 1.186391 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
47 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14902 40.848459999999996 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     42.149017 40.848465000000004 0.7809128000000001 0.7809128000000001 0.7809128000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
48 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.02897 43.90934 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     44.028969000000004 43.90934 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.126718 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
49 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 29.14013 27.61069 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015     29.140133000000002 27.610689 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
50 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 49.96832 49.54266 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 49.507496 49.525675 50.060484 49.546062 2.093773 2.093773 1.3602290000000001 0.3894523 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
51 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 24.0 23.9663 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     24.0 23.966297 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3523191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
52 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.39363 48.03135 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 48.30381 48.332798 48.4116 47.971063 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.5742619999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
53 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.11154 68.40449 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     70.111542 68.404487 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
54 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.630320000000005 49.373940000000005 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     51.630321 49.373940000000005 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
55 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.0 40.66024 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     44.0 40.660237 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
56 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.951640000000005 43.24126 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     45.951637 43.241263000000004 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6554545999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
57 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.5463 44.43505 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.394664 46.396706 46.376631 44.042716 4.3288660000000005 4.3288660000000005 2.770836 0.8833146999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
58 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.98364 49.31447 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     49.983639000000004 49.314471999999995 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.111682 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
59 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.41646 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     27.500001 25.416458 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
60 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.18541 40.8683 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.199 41.168692 43.182685 40.808225 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
61 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.45487 49.63258 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     50.454871999999995 49.632584 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2433623 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
62 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.92212 38.40537 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.488363 38.310459 39.008876 38.424355 4.180455 4.180455 3.2784489999999997 2.980875 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
63 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.25999 38.08333 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     40.259991 38.083329 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
64 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.0 43.0 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016     43.0 43.0 0.9642869000000001 0.9642869000000001 0.9642869000000001 1.054401 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
65 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.84353 51.83164 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     55.843529000000004 51.831638 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
66 2016 National 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.70839 42.10922 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 42.11465 42.017289 43.302122 42.201158 54.63186999999999 62.68411 8.040898 8.040898 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
67 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28382 41.3851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.283825 41.385101 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
68 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.26338 39.39946 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.440922 39.365505 41.427875 39.406255 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.7575725 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
69 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.23125 37.75459 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     38.231251 37.754585 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8121590999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
70 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.19923 34.38905 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     35.199228000000005 34.389046 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.117634 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
71 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.26038 43.10411 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.419157 42.671132 44.428622999999995 43.190709000000005 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.3844020000000001 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
72 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.6278 42.891870000000004 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     43.627796999999994 42.891867 2.498985 2.498985 2.4283240000000004 0.8983319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
73 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.755990000000004 42.27952 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     42.755987 42.27952 1.4995319999999999 1.4995319999999999 1.172013 1.1163239999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
74 2016 South Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28382 42.401709999999994 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.283825 42.401709999999994 0.7809128000000001 0.7809128000000001 0.7809128000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
75 2016 Texas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.98368 46.0857 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     46.983677 46.085705 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.042643 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
76 2016 Utah 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.20378 34.41109 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015     37.203777 34.411095 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
77 2016 Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.473290000000006 35.54412 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.289676 36.284801 37.510015 35.395984999999996 2.093773 2.093773 1.3602290000000001 0.35529390000000005 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
78 2016 West Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61.0 60.2645 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     61.0 60.264495999999994 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.32602929999999997 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
79 2016 Wisconsin 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.85095 37.91355 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.554044 38.515243 39.910333 37.793211 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.5238943 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
80 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.67096 32.79052 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     32.670963 32.790516 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
81 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.824 45.01081 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     44.823997999999996 45.010807 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
82 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0 39.93046 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     42.0 39.930462 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.8299773000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
83 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0302 41.229240000000004 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     42.030203 41.229234999999996 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6554545999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
84 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.90715 44.27904 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.526097 44.330321999999995 44.98336 44.268786999999996 4.3288660000000005 4.3288660000000005 2.770836 0.8833146999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
85 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.0287 40.92185 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     41.028702 40.921852 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.111682 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
86 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.69793 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     36.5 36.697928999999995 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.7289574000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
87 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.31878 45.02062 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.1575 45.422782 45.351038 44.940184 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
88 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.23573 37.12932 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     37.235733 37.129321999999995 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2433623 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
89 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.94638 48.90551 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.331338 50.319010999999996 48.669388 48.622803000000005 4.180455 4.180455 3.2784489999999997 2.980875 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
90 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.7215 43.54032 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     43.7215 43.540321 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 1.0846770000000001 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
91 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 38.0 38.0 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016     38.0 38.0 0.9642869000000001 0.9642869000000001 0.9642869000000001 1.054401 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
92 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.168879999999998 29.793409999999998 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     31.168879999999998 29.793411 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.46940519999999997 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
93 2016 National 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.358470000000004 47.07659 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 47.433959 47.153644 47.282973999999996 46.999542 54.63186999999999 62.68411 8.040898 8.040898 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
94 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.149409999999996 40.5206 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     42.149409999999996 40.520599 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
95 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.907759999999996 46.471940000000004 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.213192 45.832988 47.046673999999996 46.599728000000006 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.7575725 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
96 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.72866 52.68113 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     52.728664 52.681129000000006 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8121590999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
97 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.71961999999999 57.5613 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     57.71961999999999 57.561301 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.117634 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
98 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.422309999999996 44.04568 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.725193 44.500827 44.36173 43.954653 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.3844020000000001 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
99 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.64633 40.55891 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     40.646326 40.558912 2.498985 2.498985 2.4283240000000004 0.8983319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
100 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.89671 44.83169 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     44.896714 44.831687 1.4995319999999999 1.4995319999999999 1.172013 1.1163239999999999 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_pollaverages_1968-2016" (
"cycle" INTEGER,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "election_date" TEXT,
  "election_qdate" INTEGER,
  "last_qdate" INTEGER,
  "last_enddate" TEXT,
  "_medpoly2" REAL,
  "trend_medpoly2" REAL,
  "_shortpoly0" REAL,
  "trend_shortpoly0" REAL,
  "sum_weight_medium" REAL,
  "sum_weight_short" REAL,
  "sum_influence" REAL,
  "sum_nat_influence" REAL,
  "_minpoints" INTEGER,
  "_defaultbasetime" INTEGER,
  "_numloops" INTEGER,
  "_state_houseeffects_weight" REAL,
  "_state_trendline_weight" REAL,
  "_out_of_state_house_discount" REAL,
  "_house_effects_multiplier" INTEGER,
  "_attenuate_endpoints" TEXT,
  "_nonlinear_polynomial_degree" INTEGER,
  "_shortpoly_combpoly_weight" REAL,
  "_nat_shortpoly_combpoly_weight" REAL
);
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