pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
430 rows sorted by Mean-Reverted Bias.1
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Suggested facets: NCPP / AAPOR / Roper, Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Banned by 538, 538 Grade
Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 ▼ | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
85 | 85 | Iowa State University | 153 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.3 | 8.6 | -2.1 | -3.7 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
120 | 120 | Public Opinion Strategies/Hamilton Campaigns (Texas Credit Union League) | 261 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.2 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 7.0 | 9.1 | -2.0 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
121 | 121 | Personal Marketing Research | 252 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.1 | 0.3 | B/C° | 67% | 33% | 6.2 | 8.0 | -1.6 | -2.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0 | 6.1 | 0.0 | ||||
124 | 124 | University of Houston | 351 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -6.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 8.2 | -6.0 | -6.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
140 | 140 | Merrill Poll | 206 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 8.7 | 8.8 | 0.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
144 | 144 | QEV Analytics | 266 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 7.3 | 6.5 | 1.0 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
146 | 146 | New Mexico State University | 230 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 0% | 0% | 6.8 | 10.6 | -3.7 | -3.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
152 | 152 | Baruch College | 22 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 5.7 | 8.4 | -2.6 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 9.2 | 0.0 | ||||
156 | 156 | Canisius College | 43 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -5.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 0.1 | 8.3 | -8.0 | -5.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
167 | 167 | Vox Populi Polling | 529 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.1 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 8.3 | -4.6 | -3.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 6.7 | 0.0 | ||||
172 | 172 | Dartmouth College | 72 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 9.0 | 8.4 | 0.8 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
200 | 200 | University of Nevada Las Vegas | 356 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 9.0 | 8.3 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
204 | 204 | Public Strategies Inc. | 264 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | 100% | 33% | 7.9 | 8.4 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0 | 7.6 | 0.0 | ||||
216 | 216 | Overtime Politics | 247 | 12 | no | yes | Live | yes | 0.6 | 0.5 | F | 67% | 42% | 9.8 | 8.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0 | 6.8 | 0.0 | ||||
244 | 244 | Ron Lester and Associates | 293 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 3.3 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 18.9 | 7.8 | 11.3 | 3.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.34 | ||||
273 | 273 | Douglas Fulmer & Associates | 82 | 2 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.7 | 0.6 | B/C° | 100% | 50% | 5.1 | 8.0 | -2.8 | -2.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0 | 9.1 | 0.0 | ||||
281 | 281 | Schapiro Group | 300 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.0 | 0.7 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 20.0 | 8.0 | 12.2 | 5.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.36 | ||||
315 | 315 | R.L. Repass & Partners | 268 | 1 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 11.2 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
334 | 334 | Alabama State University | 8 | 4 | no | no | Landline | no | -3.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | 50% | 50% | 6.4 | 7.8 | -1.3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | 1.0 | 0 | 5.0 | 0.03 | ||||
336 | 336 | IVR Polls | 146 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.1 | 1.0 | B/C° | 100% | 25% | 4.1 | 8.0 | -3.8 | -2.1 | -0.2 | 1.0 | 0 | 8.1 | 0.0 | ||||
342 | 342 | Master Image | 200 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 7.1 | -5.8 | -3.9 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
373 | 373 | War Room Logistics | 374 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.3 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 100% | 4.5 | 7.1 | -2.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
383 | 383 | TargetPoint | 331 | 3 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 4.1 | 1.3 | C/D° | 83% | 100% | 14.0 | 7.7 | 6.4 | 4.1 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
386 | 386 | Liberty Opinion Research | 169 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.6 | 1.3 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 5.7 | 6.9 | -1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.51 | ||||
392 | 392 | TeleResearch Corporation | 335 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 2.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 8.6 | 7.7 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 11.3 | 0.0 | ||||
398 | 398 | ResearchNow | 283 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 0.5 | 1.4 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 9.4 | 8.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | ||||
399 | 399 | New Frontier Strategy | 229 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.0 | 1.4 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 21.6 | 7.5 | 14.3 | 4.0 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
403 | 403 | GCR & Associates | 110 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.1 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 18.3 | 7.8 | 10.7 | 6.1 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
408 | 408 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 10.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 19.4 | 0.0 | ||||
412 | 412 | Indiana University-Purdue University Fort Wayne | 150 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 9.7 | 1.6 | C/D° | 0% | 100% | 23.5 | 8.9 | 14.7 | 9.7 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
423 | 423 | CPEC LLC | 38 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 7.5 | 2.1 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 16.2 | 8.0 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 11.6 | 0.0 | ||||
17 | 17 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 18 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.7 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 94% | 6% | 4.1 | 5.5 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 17 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +3.1 | 4.7 | 0.25 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 27 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.7 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | R +2.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
27 | 27 | High Point University | 139 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -5.2 | -0.6 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 5.2 | -4.1 | -5.2 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 2 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +1.8 | 3.3 | 0.81 |
32 | 32 | Winthrop University | 386 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.3 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.2 | 4.6 | -4.3 | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 1 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 | 3.8 | 0.61 |
34 | 34 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.1 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | |
39 | 39 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.6 | -3.4 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1 | D +1.1 | D +0.0 | R +0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.7 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | D +1.6 | 2.0 | 1.23 |
107 | 107 | GBAO | 109 | 6 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 75% | 0% | 3.7 | 6.0 | -2.1 | -1.9 | -0.4 | 0.3 | 6 | D +0.0 | D +0.0 | D +1.9 | 0.0 | |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
145 | 145 | Florida International University/Univision | 98 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.8 | 6.3 | -4.3 | -5.9 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.8 | D +0.0 | R +13.0 | 0.0 | |
149 | 149 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.1 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
158 | 158 | Central Surveys Inc. | 46 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 0% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.7 | -3.8 | -3.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.0 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
159 | 159 | Wood Communications Group | 388 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 6.4 | -5.4 | -4.3 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +0.8 | D +0.0 | D +3.0 | 2.0 | 3.28 |
166 | 166 | Dynamic Marketing Inc. | 83 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 6.2 | -3.0 | -4.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.0 | D +0.0 | R +7.5 | 0.0 | |
174 | 174 | Voter/Consumer Research | 371 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 5.5 | 5.7 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 6 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | R +3.9 | 2.5 | 1.19 |
185 | 185 | University of North Carolina | 359 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.6 | 5.5 | -3.7 | -3.0 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +1.6 | D +0.0 | R +1.3 | 1.0 | 2.97 |
225 | 225 | Southern Opinion Research | 311 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 2.3 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 50% | 8.5 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +4.5 | 4.0 | 0.56 |
310 | 310 | Capital Survey Research Center | 44 | 11 | no | no | Landline | no | -0.9 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 36% | 55% | 7.8 | 7.2 | 0.8 | -0.9 | -0.2 | 0.9 | 4 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | D +1.1 | 8.7 | 0.0 |
376 | 376 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -2.9 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | |
2 | 2 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 44 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.4 | A+ | D +0.1 | 84% | 25% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | 31 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
15 | 15 | SurveyUSA | 325 | 790 | yes | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -1.1 | -0.8 | A | D +0.1 | 90% | 19% | 4.6 | 5.9 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 628 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.3 | 5.0 | 0.12 |
45 | 45 | University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) | 365 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | -0.3 | A/B° | D +0.1 | 83% | 17% | 6.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 5 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.7 | 4.0 | 0.88 |
58 | 58 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 98 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 72% | 24% | 5.4 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 70 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
67 | 67 | Harper Polling | 132 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -1.9 | 0.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 91% | 18% | 3.6 | 6.0 | -2.2 | -1.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 8 | D +0.5 | D +0.1 | R +0.6 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
75 | 75 | University of Washington | 364 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.7 | 5.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 9 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 | 5.3 | 0.42 |
83 | 83 | Crawford Johnson & Northcott Inc. | 63 | 5 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 40% | 4.7 | 7.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
87 | 87 | KRC/Communications Research | 160 | 22 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 91% | 41% | 6.9 | 7.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 0.2 | 11 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | D +2.5 | 6.4 | 0.0 |
90 | 90 | Market Research Insight | 185 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 22% | 4.0 | 5.1 | -0.9 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 7 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
91 | 91 | Orion Strategies | 246 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.0 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.1 | 6.6 | -3.3 | -4.0 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 3 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +6.3 | 2.6 | 0.35 |
112 | 112 | Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates | 56 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 75% | 25% | 6.3 | 6.5 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.4 | D +0.1 | R +2.3 | 4.1 | 0.41 |
118 | 118 | Mason Strategies | 464 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.7 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.9 | 5.8 | -3.7 | -4.7 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +1.9 | D +0.1 | R +4.1 | 0.0 | |
125 | 125 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
129 | 129 | Odney | 524 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -4.6 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.1 | D +0.1 | R +8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
165 | 165 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
179 | 179 | Market Trends Pacific | 190 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.4 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 50% | 0% | 4.6 | 5.6 | -0.8 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
181 | 181 | NRECA Market Research | 223 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 5.6 | 0.9 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
183 | 183 | Wick Communications | 381 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 6.3 | -3.2 | -1.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +2.8 | D +0.1 | D +4.0 | 5.0 | 1.19 |
184 | 184 | Belden Russonello | 28 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 4.7 | 5.2 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | D +5.7 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
186 | 186 | Analytical Group | 11 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -0.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.0 | 5.4 | -1.2 | -0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +4.0 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 3.7 | 0.86 |
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
193 | 193 | Meeting Street Research | 204 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.7 | 5.1 | -2.2 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +2.7 | D +0.1 | 3.0 | 1.39 | |
196 | 196 | Strategic Services | 319 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 5.5 | 5.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | D +2.0 | 0.0 | |
214 | 214 | Independent Market Research | 148 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.8 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 50% | 5.7 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2 | D +5.3 | D +0.1 | D +4.9 | 5.5 | 0.23 |
217 | 217 | Harvard University | 135 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 0% | 0% | 6.9 | 6.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +6.9 | D +0.1 | D +1.5 | 2.0 | 2.69 |
224 | 224 | West Chester University | 377 | 7 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.0 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 29% | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 7 | D +1.0 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.96 |
239 | 239 | NPR | 222 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 17% | 33% | 5.0 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | D +1.0 | D +0.1 | D +1.0 | 2.0 | 0.63 |
254 | 254 | Howey Politics/DePauw University | 142 | 7 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.2 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 57% | 29% | 6.8 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 6 | D +0.6 | D +0.1 | D +1.3 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
302 | 302 | Research America Inc. | 282 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 3.1 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 33% | 14.4 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1 | D +1.7 | D +0.1 | R +1.6 | 11.9 | 0.0 |
333 | 333 | University of Texas | 363 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -5.0 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 5.6 | -4.3 | -5.0 | -0.6 | 1.0 | 4 | D +1.1 | D +0.1 | D +2.8 | 0.0 | |
341 | 341 | Strategic National | 318 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -6.9 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 25% | 0% | 0.7 | 5.1 | -4.2 | -6.9 | -0.6 | 1.1 | 2 | D +0.7 | D +0.1 | R +4.8 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
349 | 349 | OnPoint | 240 | 4 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.3 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.7 | 5.3 | -3.5 | -2.3 | -0.2 | 1.1 | 4 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +2.3 | 3.7 | 0.79 |
357 | 357 | Forward Strategies | 102 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.3 | 5.2 | -3.7 | -2.8 | -0.2 | 1.2 | 2 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +3.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
360 | 360 | CSP Polling | 39 | 1 | no | no | Online | yes | -2.5 | 1.2 | F | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 5.6 | -2.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.6 | D +0.1 | R +2.6 | 4.1 | 0.8 |
371 | 371 | Cranford & Associates | 62 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.5 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +2.5 | D +0.1 | D +9.5 | 0.0 | |
379 | 379 | Rossman Group | 294 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.2 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 6.5 | -2.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.1 | D +4.7 | 0.0 | |
387 | 387 | Iona College | 152 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.3 | C/D° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | D +4.4 | D +0.1 | R +1.7 | 1.5 | 2.26 |
40 | 40 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 258 | 33 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.2 | 70% | 30% | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 31 | D +0.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
52 | 52 | St. Norbert College | 313 | 12 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.2 | 88% | 0% | 3.9 | 6.8 | -2.7 | -2.4 | -0.7 | -0.2 | 11 | D +0.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.9 | 5.1 | 0.23 |
54 | 54 | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 204 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.2 | 83% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 152 | D +0.2 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
81 | 81 | Keating Research Inc. | 161 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.1 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 80% | 0% | 2.4 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.1 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 5 | D +0.9 | D +0.2 | D +3.0 | 3.4 | 0.76 |
86 | 86 | McKeon & Associates | 202 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | -4.1 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 67% | 33% | 2.9 | 5.9 | -2.8 | -4.1 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 2 | D +3.0 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
115 | 115 | MSR Group | 178 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -3.8 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.1 | -3.8 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 3 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | D +1.3 | 0.0 | |
133 | 133 | Centre College | 47 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.9 | 5.4 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +3.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.3 | 0.0 | |
134 | 134 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 |
147 | 147 | Winston Group | 385 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.8 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 6.3 | 6.7 | -0.2 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 1 | D +6.3 | D +0.2 | R +8.0 | 0.0 | |
201 | 201 | Victoria Research & Consulting | 369 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 50% | 0% | 8.1 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | D +8.1 | D +0.2 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );