pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
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Link | rowid | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error ▼ | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
416 | 416 | Zia Poll | 393 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | 4.8 | 1.8 | C/D° | R +0.6 | 100% | 33% | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 4.8 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 3 | R +4.9 | R +0.6 | R +3.3 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
391 | 391 | RAND (American Life Panel) | 270 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | 1.3 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 100% | 25% | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4 | D +1.4 | D +0.2 | D +3.8 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
382 | 382 | People's Pundit Daily | 251 | 3 | no | no | Online | yes | 1.0 | 1.3 | F | R +0.4 | 33% | 33% | 3.0 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 3 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +4.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
413 | 413 | Saguaro Strategies | 298 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 4.5 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 5.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +5.0 | D +0.4 | D +4.1 | 2.7 | 0.24 |
356 | 356 | USC Dornsife/LA Times | 343 | 6 | yes | no | Online | no | 3.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 67% | 83% | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | D +1.2 | D +0.3 | D +1.1 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
405 | 405 | Strategy Research | 322 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 5.2 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 8.6 | 3.2 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +8.6 | R +0.4 | R +4.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
313 | 313 | CVOTER International | 40 | 5 | no | no | Online | no | -1.6 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.1 | 3.3 | -1.1 | -1.6 | -0.3 | 0.9 | 5 | R +1.8 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.1 | 0.08 |
351 | 351 | M4 Strategies | 177 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | -4.4 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 3.1 | 3.3 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -0.3 | 1.1 | 2 | R +3.1 | R +0.2 | D +4.8 | 6.7 | 0.0 |
311 | 311 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 169 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | C+ | R +1.3 | 83% | 49% | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 169 | R +1.5 | R +1.3 | D +0.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
317 | 317 | Lucid | 175 | 15 | no | no | Online | no | 0.1 | 0.9 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 100% | 13% | 2.6 | 3.5 | -0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 15 | D +2.0 | D +0.9 | D +1.6 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
331 | 331 | Morning Consult | 218 | 12 | no | no | Online | no | 0.2 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 75% | 25% | 3.0 | 3.5 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 12 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | R +0.6 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
411 | 411 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 2.8 | 1.6 | D+ | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.1 | R +0.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
390 | 390 | Remington Research Group | 279 | 38 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | 1.4 | 1.4 | C- | D +1.2 | 68% | 37% | 5.0 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 37 | D +1.9 | D +1.2 | R +1.9 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
96 | 96 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 21 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 60% | 29% | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 21 | D +1.5 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
213 | 213 | Polling Company/Global Strategy Group (Hotline Bullseye) | 255 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.3 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 33% | 33% | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | R +4.6 | R +0.2 | R +3.1 | 3.4 | 0.09 |
353 | 353 | BK Strategies | 20 | 3 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.0 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 67% | 33% | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 | -1.0 | -0.1 | 1.1 | 3 | D +3.6 | D +0.5 | R +2.9 | 2.9 | 0.59 |
358 | 358 | Data for Progress | 522 | 1 | no | no | Text | no | -1.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 3.7 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 0 | 5.3 | 0.0 | ||||
422 | 422 | Dane & Associates | 71 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 15.0 | 2.1 | C/D° | R +1.1 | 50% | 100% | 21.2 | 3.9 | 17.4 | 15.0 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2 | R +21.2 | R +1.1 | R +10.5 | 3.0 | 0.79 |
6 | 6 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 22 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.1 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 73% | 5% | 2.1 | 4.0 | -1.7 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 22 | R +1.8 | R +0.8 | R +1.3 | 3.4 | 0.23 |
291 | 291 | 1892 Polling | 461 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.2 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.6 | 4.0 | -3.2 | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.7 | 1 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +4.3 | 7.6 | 0.0 |
376 | 376 | BIGresearch | 19 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -2.9 | 1.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 2.0 | 4.0 | -1.8 | -2.9 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | D +2.0 | D +0.0 | 6.4 | 0.0 | |
117 | 117 | Victory Research | 437 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.3 | 4.1 | -3.5 | -5.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 1 | D +0.3 | D +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
380 | 380 | Singularis Group | 306 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.8 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | 1.3 | 1 | R +0.8 | R +0.0 | D +2.0 | 2.0 | 2.38 |
389 | 389 | co/efficient | 514 | 1 | no | no | IVR/Text | no | 0.4 | 1.4 | C/D° | D +0.2 | 0% | 0% | 3.5 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1 | D +3.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.5 | 3.0 | 1.04 |
378 | 378 | Triumph Campaigns | 339 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.4 | 1.3 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.2 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 0.0 | |
394 | 394 | MarblePort | 182 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.6 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 100% | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 2 | R +5.6 | R +0.5 | R +7.2 | 6.3 | 0.0 |
409 | 409 | ccAdvertising | 396 | 30 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.8 | 1.6 | C/D° | R +2.5 | 88% | 70% | 7.1 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 30 | R +5.1 | R +2.5 | R +3.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
50 | 50 | Georgetown University (Battleground) | 114 | 31 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | -0.2 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 55% | 19% | 3.5 | 4.3 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 31 | R +1.9 | R +0.8 | R +2.0 | 3.4 | 0.27 |
297 | 297 | Star Tribune | 315 | 13 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.1 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +1.0 | 46% | 54% | 6.3 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 11 | D +5.5 | D +1.0 | D +3.9 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
348 | 348 | Columbus Dispatch | 57 | 20 | no | no | no | 0.5 | 1.1 | B/C° | D +1.3 | 93% | 45% | 4.9 | 4.3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 17 | D +3.6 | D +1.3 | D +3.3 | 5.6 | 0.0 | |
257 | 257 | Anderson Group | 12 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 7.9 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 10.9 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 7.9 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1 | R +10.9 | R +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
262 | 262 | Clarity Campaign Labs | 52 | 11 | no | partial | IVR/Live | no | -0.5 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +1.2 | 50% | 18% | 3.7 | 4.4 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 11 | D +3.7 | D +1.2 | D +0.8 | 2.7 | 0.39 |
328 | 328 | Valley Research | 368 | 6 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.3 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 83% | 50% | 11.5 | 4.4 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 6 | D +2.4 | D +0.2 | D +1.4 | 2.0 | 0.21 |
347 | 347 | Ogden & Fry | 425 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | -5.8 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.7 | 4.4 | -3.5 | -5.8 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 2 | R +0.2 | R +0.0 | R +6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
402 | 402 | Optimus | 245 | 15 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live/Text | no | 2.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +1.3 | 87% | 67% | 7.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 13 | R +3.4 | R +1.3 | R +2.1 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
406 | 406 | Glascock Group | 116 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 6.3 | 1.5 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 0% | 100% | 12.1 | 4.4 | 7.9 | 6.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1 | R +12.1 | R +0.5 | 0.0 | ||
427 | 427 | SurveyMonkey | 324 | 206 | no | no | Online | no | 2.3 | 2.6 | D- | D +5.1 | 84% | 54% | 7.2 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 193 | D +5.6 | D +5.1 | D +3.2 | 5.6 | 0.0 |
130 | 130 | Scripps Howard | 303 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.7 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 25% | 3.8 | 4.5 | -0.6 | -1.7 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | R +0.6 | R +0.0 | R +2.3 | 2.8 | 0.54 |
153 | 153 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 4.1 | 4.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | R +4.1 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.2 | 0.08 |
177 | 177 | Associated Industries of Florida | 18 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 50% | 0% | 3.4 | 4.5 | -0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +3.4 | D +0.3 | D +1.0 | 0.0 | |
187 | 187 | ASA Marketing Group | 5 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.3 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 5.5 | 4.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | D +5.5 | D +0.1 | 0.0 | ||
188 | 188 | Schoen Consulting | 301 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 2.3 | 4.5 | -2.1 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1 | R +2.3 | R +0.1 | R +1.8 | 1.8 | 0.99 |
194 | 194 | Gordon S. Black Corp. | 123 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 0.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 50% | 6.3 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2 | R +6.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.3 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
226 | 226 | Tulsa Surveys | 341 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 5.5 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 11.9 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1 | R +11.9 | R +0.2 | 0.0 | ||
303 | 303 | St. Pete Polls | 314 | 21 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.1 | 0.8 | C+ | R +0.5 | 50% | 24% | 3.8 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 21 | R +0.9 | R +0.5 | R +1.3 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
407 | 407 | GaPundit.com | 111 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.8 | 1.5 | C/D° | D +0.6 | 25% | 100% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.6 | D +3.1 | 0.0 | |
410 | 410 | Baldwin Wallace University | 401 | 2 | no | no | Online | no | 3.8 | 1.6 | C/D° | D +0.8 | 50% | 50% | 8.3 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 2 | D +8.3 | D +0.8 | D +3.5 | 0.0 | |
3 | 3 | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 63 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.6 | 79% | 5% | 2.8 | 4.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 58 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 | 3.8 | 0.02 |
32 | 32 | Winthrop University | 386 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.3 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.2 | 4.6 | -4.3 | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 1 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 | 3.8 | 0.61 |
39 | 39 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.6 | -3.4 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1 | D +1.1 | D +0.0 | R +0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
235 | 235 | CallFire | 42 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.5 | 75% | 0% | 3.9 | 4.6 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4 | R +3.9 | R +0.5 | R +0.4 | 2.5 | 0.82 |
253 | 253 | McCulloch Research & Polling | 201 | 4 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 2.1 | 0.6 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 75% | 50% | 7.0 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 4 | R +5.5 | R +0.4 | R +3.7 | 5.1 | 0.0 |
338 | 338 | TargetSmart/William & Mary | 332 | 3 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.9 | 1.0 | B/C° | D +0.7 | 67% | 33% | 5.3 | 4.6 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 3 | D +5.3 | D +0.7 | D +1.7 | 4.2 | 0.16 |
340 | 340 | Hampton University | 131 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.2 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +0.9 | 50% | 50% | 7.5 | 4.6 | 3.1 | 4.2 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | R +5.8 | R +0.9 | R +6.7 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
370 | 370 | University of California, Berkeley | 457 | 1 | no | no | Online | no | -0.9 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 100% | 5.9 | 4.6 | 1.5 | -0.9 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 1 | R +5.9 | R +0.3 | D +2.7 | 3.9 | 0.0 |
384 | 384 | Trafalgar Group | 338 | 44 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 1.2 | 1.3 | C- | R +0.9 | 77% | 48% | 5.5 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 31 | R +1.4 | R +0.9 | R +2.7 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
428 | 428 | TCJ Research | 327 | 133 | no | no | IVR | yes | 3.0 | 3.0 | F | R +4.5 | 59% | 50% | 6.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 125 | R +5.6 | R +4.5 | R +3.5 | 4.4 | 0.0 |
33 | 33 | Elon University | 86 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 50% | 14% | 3.2 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 7 | D +2.7 | D +0.6 | D +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.47 |
68 | 68 | RT Strategies | 275 | 42 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 71% | 40% | 5.8 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 42 | D +1.9 | D +0.9 | D +3.5 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
80 | 80 | Financial Dynamics | 95 | 15 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -1.2 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.6 | 100% | 0% | 2.8 | 4.7 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 15 | R +2.0 | R +0.6 | R +2.1 | 2.5 | 0.59 |
125 | 125 | Starboard Communications | 316 | 1 | no | yes | Live | no | -5.5 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -5.5 | -0.2 | 0.3 | 1 | D +3.3 | D +0.1 | R +7.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
220 | 220 | Decision Forecasting | 77 | 3 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 1.6 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 100% | 67% | 8.1 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | R +1.4 | R +0.1 | D +0.5 | 4.3 | 0.14 |
239 | 239 | NPR | 222 | 3 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.9 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 17% | 33% | 5.0 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 3 | D +1.0 | D +0.1 | D +1.0 | 2.0 | 0.63 |
94 | 94 | Gallup | 112 | 80 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B | R +0.8 | 71% | 31% | 4.2 | 4.8 | -0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 66 | R +1.3 | R +0.8 | R +1.6 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
234 | 234 | Ipsos | 154 | 66 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.3 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.2 | 71% | 23% | 4.5 | 4.8 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 60 | D +0.3 | D +0.2 | D +0.8 | 3.5 | 0.16 |
286 | 286 | Jeffrey Stonecash | 158 | 1 | no | yes* | Live* | no | 11.9 | 0.7 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 0% | 100% | 17.3 | 4.8 | 12.7 | 11.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1 | R +17.3 | R +0.4 | R +16.5 | 22.0 | 0.0 |
324 | 324 | University of Texas at Tyler | 458 | 2 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | -0.4 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 100% | 50% | 4.1 | 4.8 | -0.6 | -0.4 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 2 | R +4.1 | R +0.4 | R +0.9 | 1.9 | 1.76 |
337 | 337 | Change Research | 48 | 57 | no | no | Online | no | 0.6 | 1.0 | C | D +1.1 | 78% | 33% | 5.5 | 4.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 56 | D +1.5 | D +1.1 | D +1.7 | 5.9 | 0.0 |
366 | 366 | Purple Strategies | 265 | 4 | no | no | Online | no | -1.2 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.4 | 88% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.8 | -1.6 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 4 | R +3.0 | R +0.4 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.32 |
368 | 368 | Revily | 284 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -2.8 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.5 | 4.8 | -4.1 | -2.8 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +0.5 | R +0.0 | 2.0 | 1.58 | |
385 | 385 | BWD Global | 527 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 0.8 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.4 | 4.8 | -0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1 | R +4.4 | R +0.2 | R +5.3 | 0.0 | |
408 | 408 | Spry Strategies | 508 | 1 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 10.0 | 1.5 | C/D° | 100% | 100% | 14.6 | 4.8 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0 | 19.4 | 0.0 | ||||
51 | 51 | Christopher Newport University | 50 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 100% | 13% | 3.5 | 4.9 | -1.2 | -2.2 | -0.6 | -0.2 | 8 | D +2.2 | D +0.6 | D +1.6 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
63 | 63 | SSRS | 297 | 16 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +1.2 | 50% | 19% | 4.6 | 4.9 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 16 | D +2.8 | D +1.2 | D +2.8 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
71 | 71 | Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint | 127 | 8 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 100% | 50% | 4.4 | 4.9 | -0.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 6 | R +4.2 | R +0.7 | D +1.6 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
134 | 134 | Richmond Times-Dispatch | 288 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | -1.2 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 3.3 | 4.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 4 | D +2.9 | D +0.2 | D +2.4 | 5.0 | 0.17 |
165 | 165 | Bendixen & Amandi International | 29 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 3.0 | 4.9 | -1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2 | D +1.6 | D +0.1 | D +3.0 | 0.0 | |
318 | 318 | Kimball Political Consulting | 163 | 4 | no | yes | Live | no | 4.2 | 0.9 | B/C° | R +1.0 | 75% | 75% | 8.1 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 4.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 4 | R +8.1 | R +1.0 | R +4.5 | 6.5 | 0.0 |
344 | 344 | Clout Research/Wenzel Strategies | 55 | 15 | no | yes | Live | no | 2.1 | 1.1 | B/C° | R +1.9 | 53% | 40% | 6.7 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 14 | R +5.5 | R +1.9 | R +4.9 | 5.3 | 0.0 |
369 | 369 | AFL-CIO | 526 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -3.7 | 1.2 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.2 | 4.9 | -3.5 | -3.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | 0.0 | ||
374 | 374 | Diamond State Consulting Group | 78 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 4.2 | 4.9 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1 | D +4.2 | D +0.2 | R +5.0 | 5.0 | 0.62 |
388 | 388 | CrossTarget | 66 | 2 | no | no | IVR | no | 1.5 | 1.3 | C/D° | R +0.5 | 100% | 50% | 7.7 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2 | R +7.7 | R +0.5 | R +13.3 | 15.8 | 0.0 |
426 | 426 | Saint Leo University | 299 | 6 | no | no | Online | no | 6.7 | 2.6 | C/D° | D +2.0 | 33% | 67% | 8.5 | 4.9 | 3.8 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 2.6 | 6 | D +8.5 | D +2.0 | D +6.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 |
40 | 40 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 258 | 33 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.2 | 70% | 30% | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 31 | D +0.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
41 | 41 | Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corp. | 104 | 34 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.2 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +0.4 | 72% | 12% | 3.9 | 5.0 | -0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 28 | R +1.0 | R +0.4 | R +1.6 | 4.1 | 0.09 |
43 | 43 | NBC News/Wall Street Journal | 221 | 29 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.8 | 74% | 14% | 4.0 | 5.0 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 24 | D +1.7 | D +0.8 | D +1.3 | 2.9 | 0.53 |
81 | 81 | Keating Research Inc. | 161 | 5 | no | yes | Live | no | -2.1 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 80% | 0% | 2.4 | 5.0 | -2.4 | -2.1 | -0.4 | 0.1 | 5 | D +0.9 | D +0.2 | D +3.0 | 3.4 | 0.76 |
122 | 122 | Pharos Research Group | 254 | 31 | no | yes | Live | yes | -0.1 | 0.3 | F | D +0.9 | 92% | 16% | 4.0 | 5.0 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 31 | D +1.7 | D +0.9 | D +0.9 | 4.4 | 0.34 |
198 | 198 | New England College | 228 | 15 | no | no | IVR | no | -1.2 | 0.5 | B/C° | R +0.7 | 77% | 0% | 3.0 | 5.0 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -0.4 | 0.5 | 15 | R +1.9 | R +0.7 | R +3.3 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
203 | 203 | GfK Group | 115 | 21 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 88% | 19% | 3.9 | 5.0 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 21 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | D +1.2 | 4.2 | 0.44 |
266 | 266 | Florida Poll | 99 | 6 | no | yes | Live | no | 1.3 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 67% | 0% | 4.6 | 5.0 | -0.2 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 6 | D +3.3 | D +0.4 | D +1.6 | 3.6 | 0.62 |
274 | 274 | GQR Research (GQRR) | 126 | 52 | no | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.2 | 0.6 | C+ | D +2.3 | 52% | 21% | 4.5 | 5.0 | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 51 | D +3.8 | D +2.3 | D +3.4 | 4.1 | 0.06 |
300 | 300 | Gravis Marketing | 124 | 127 | no | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | 0.4 | 0.8 | C+ | D +0.9 | 67% | 31% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 100 | D +1.0 | D +0.9 | R +0.2 | 4.3 | 0.0 |
397 | 397 | Great Lakes Strategies Group | 125 | 1 | no | no | IVR | no | 3.1 | 1.4 | C/D° | R +0.2 | 0% | 100% | 7.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1 | R +7.6 | R +0.2 | R +10.0 | 10.0 | 0.0 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.7 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | D +1.6 | 2.0 | 1.23 |
69 | 69 | Strategic Vision LLC | 320 | 130 | no | yes* | Live* | yes | -0.3 | 0.1 | F | R +1.6 | 87% | 20% | 4.0 | 5.1 | -0.9 | -0.3 | -0.2 | 0.1 | 107 | R +2.3 | R +1.6 | R +2.2 | 4.4 | 0.09 |
90 | 90 | Market Research Insight | 185 | 9 | no | yes | Live | no | -0.4 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.1 | 100% | 22% | 4.0 | 5.1 | -0.9 | -0.4 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 7 | D +0.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.9 | 6.9 | 0.0 |
103 | 103 | APC Research | 4 | 2 | no | yes | Live | no | -3.4 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.5 | 5.1 | -2.4 | -3.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 2 | D +2.5 | D +0.2 | D +0.3 | 0.0 | |
141 | 141 | Lincoln Institute | 170 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -2.5 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.1 | 75% | 0% | 4.1 | 5.1 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | R +4.1 | R +0.1 | D +2.5 | 0.0 | |
149 | 149 | Louis Harris & Associates | 173 | 2 | no | yes* | Live* | no | -4.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 5.1 | -4.0 | -4.9 | -0.1 | 0.4 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +5.4 | 5.5 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );