pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
68 rows where NCPP / AAPOR / Roper = "yes"
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Suggested facets: Live Caller With Cellphones, Methodology, Predictive Plus-Minus, 538 Grade, Mean-Reverted Bias, Races Called Correctly, Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus, Predictive Plus-Minus, Mean-Reverted Bias.1
Link | rowid ▼ | Pollster | Pollster Rating ID | # of Polls | NCPP / AAPOR / Roper | Live Caller With Cellphones | Methodology | Banned by 538 | Historical Advanced Plus-Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | 538 Grade | Mean-Reverted Bias | Races Called Correctly | Misses Outside MOE | Simple Average Error | Simple Expected Error | Simple Plus-Minus | Advanced Plus-Minus | Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus | Predictive Plus-Minus | # of Polls for Bias Analysis | Bias | Mean-Reverted Bias.1 | House Effect | Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA) | Herding Penalty |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Monmouth University | 215 | 100 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.5 | A+ | D +1.3 | 80% | 21% | 5.2 | 6.5 | -1.1 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -1.5 | 70 | D +1.8 | D +1.3 | R +0.5 | 5.1 | 0.2 |
2 | 2 | Selzer & Co. | 304 | 44 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.9 | -1.4 | A+ | D +0.1 | 84% | 25% | 4.2 | 5.7 | -1.3 | -1.9 | -1.1 | -1.4 | 31 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 5.0 | 0.0 |
3 | 3 | ABC News/Washington Post | 3 | 63 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -1.3 | A+ | D +0.6 | 79% | 5% | 2.8 | 4.6 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -1.1 | -1.3 | 58 | D +0.9 | D +0.6 | D +1.5 | 3.8 | 0.02 |
4 | 4 | Elway Research | 87 | 21 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.5 | -1.2 | A/B° | D +0.5 | 90% | 5% | 3.9 | 6.3 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 20 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | D +3.7 | 4.5 | 0.37 |
5 | 5 | Field Research Corp. (Field Poll) | 94 | 25 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.2 | A/B° | R +1.0 | 100% | 16% | 3.9 | 5.5 | -1.5 | -2.0 | -0.8 | -1.2 | 18 | R +3.3 | R +1.0 | D +0.6 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
6 | 6 | IBD/TIPP | 144 | 22 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.0 | -1.1 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 73% | 5% | 2.1 | 4.0 | -1.7 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -1.1 | 22 | R +1.8 | R +0.8 | R +1.3 | 3.4 | 0.23 |
7 | 7 | Muhlenberg College | 219 | 29 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.2 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.2 | 84% | 7% | 3.4 | 6.0 | -2.5 | -2.2 | -1.2 | -1.0 | 28 | R +0.4 | R +0.2 | D +0.2 | 3.9 | 0.84 |
8 | 8 | Marquette University Law School | 195 | 11 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -1.0 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 77% | 9% | 2.8 | 5.6 | -2.6 | -2.4 | -0.8 | -1.0 | 8 | D +1.0 | D +0.3 | R +0.2 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
9 | 9 | Siena College/New York Times Upshot | 448 | 57 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.3 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.3 | 69% | 11% | 3.9 | 5.7 | -1.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -1.0 | 57 | R +0.4 | R +0.3 | D +0.4 | 4.2 | 0.21 |
10 | 10 | Marist College | 183 | 172 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.1 | -1.0 | A+ | R +0.2 | 84% | 24% | 5.2 | 6.3 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -0.9 | -1.0 | 111 | R +0.2 | R +0.2 | R +0.0 | 5.1 | 0.03 |
11 | 11 | Data Orbital | 73 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.8 | -0.9 | A/B° | D +0.3 | 100% | 0% | 2.2 | 5.3 | -3.0 | -2.8 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 8 | D +0.9 | D +0.3 | R +1.4 | 3.7 | 0.73 |
12 | 12 | National Journal | 224 | 12 | yes | yes | Live | no | -3.2 | -0.9 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 0% | 2.6 | 6.2 | -3.4 | -3.2 | -0.8 | -0.9 | 12 | R +0.6 | R +0.2 | D +0.3 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
13 | 13 | Stockton University | 317 | 10 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.8 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 100% | 20% | 3.9 | 5.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.8 | 10 | D +2.2 | D +0.7 | D +0.7 | 6.1 | 0.0 |
15 | 15 | SurveyUSA | 325 | 790 | yes | partial | IVR/Online/Live | no | -1.1 | -0.8 | A | D +0.1 | 90% | 19% | 4.6 | 5.9 | -1.1 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | 628 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | R +0.3 | 5.0 | 0.12 |
16 | 16 | Ciruli Associates | 51 | 17 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.3 | -0.7 | A/B° | R +0.4 | 94% | 0% | 3.6 | 6.1 | -2.3 | -2.3 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 16 | R +2.1 | R +0.4 | R +2.5 | 5.0 | 0.72 |
17 | 17 | Fairleigh Dickinson University (PublicMind) | 92 | 18 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.4 | -0.7 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 94% | 6% | 4.1 | 5.5 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 17 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +3.1 | 4.7 | 0.25 |
18 | 18 | CBS News/New York Times | 36 | 54 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.7 | A | D +0.4 | 77% | 28% | 4.5 | 5.4 | -0.7 | -0.9 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 44 | D +0.7 | D +0.4 | D +1.8 | 4.2 | 0.11 |
19 | 19 | Behavior Research Center (Rocky Mountain) | 27 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -2.4 | -0.7 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 71% | 0% | 3.5 | 6.5 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -0.3 | -0.7 | 5 | D +0.6 | D +0.0 | R +2.1 | 9.4 | 0.0 |
20 | 20 | University of Massachusetts Lowell | 355 | 17 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -1.3 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 88% | 24% | 4.5 | 6.7 | -2.0 | -1.3 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 9 | R +0.8 | R +0.2 | R +0.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 |
21 | 21 | Michigan State University | 463 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -7.6 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.1 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 9.6 | -8.4 | -7.6 | -0.8 | -0.6 | 2 | R +0.5 | R +0.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
22 | 22 | University of Connecticut | 347 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.5 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.3 | 93% | 0% | 3.6 | 5.4 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 7 | R +1.9 | R +0.3 | R +2.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 |
24 | 24 | Lake Research Partners | 165 | 10 | yes | partial | IVR/Live | no | -2.1 | -0.6 | A/B° | D +0.7 | 80% | 20% | 3.9 | 6.1 | -2.0 | -2.1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | 10 | D +2.4 | D +0.7 | D +3.5 | 5.8 | 0.06 |
25 | 25 | Temple University | 336 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -1.4 | -0.6 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 17% | 3.7 | 5.2 | -1.3 | -1.4 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 5 | R +2.5 | R +0.2 | D +0.8 | 3.6 | 0.11 |
26 | 26 | University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll) | 346 | 39 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.9 | -0.6 | A- | R +1.4 | 94% | 21% | 3.9 | 5.7 | -1.6 | -0.9 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 30 | R +3.2 | R +1.4 | R +2.5 | 3.4 | 0.43 |
27 | 27 | High Point University | 139 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -5.2 | -0.6 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 1.0 | 5.2 | -4.1 | -5.2 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 2 | D +0.1 | D +0.0 | D +1.8 | 3.3 | 0.81 |
28 | 28 | Emerson College | 88 | 142 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | -1.1 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.0 | 81% | 18% | 5.0 | 6.1 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.5 | 113 | R +0.0 | R +0.0 | R +1.4 | 4.8 | 0.23 |
29 | 29 | Los Angeles Times | 172 | 38 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | R +0.3 | 86% | 26% | 5.0 | 6.3 | -1.2 | -0.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 23 | R +1.0 | R +0.3 | D +0.8 | 5.3 | 0.06 |
30 | 30 | Siena College | 305 | 53 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.8 | -0.5 | A- | R +0.8 | 88% | 25% | 5.1 | 5.4 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 49 | R +1.2 | R +0.8 | R +1.1 | 4.4 | 0.27 |
31 | 31 | Fox News/Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research | 103 | 40 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.5 | -0.5 | A- | D +1.5 | 71% | 38% | 5.6 | 5.7 | 0.1 | -0.5 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 25 | D +2.7 | D +1.5 | D +1.0 | 4.9 | 0.0 |
32 | 32 | Winthrop University | 386 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.3 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.2 | 4.6 | -4.3 | -4.3 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 1 | D +0.2 | D +0.0 | R +0.9 | 3.8 | 0.61 |
33 | 33 | Elon University | 86 | 7 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.6 | 50% | 14% | 3.2 | 4.7 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 7 | D +2.7 | D +0.6 | D +1.1 | 3.7 | 0.47 |
34 | 34 | Indiana University | 149 | 2 | yes | yes | Live | no | -4.5 | -0.5 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.9 | 6.1 | -5.1 | -4.5 | -0.2 | -0.5 | 2 | D +0.9 | D +0.0 | D +4.1 | 0.0 | |
35 | 35 | Castleton University | 45 | 3 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.7 | -0.5 | A/B° | 100% | 33% | 9.9 | 9.2 | 0.9 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | |||||
36 | 36 | Public Policy Institute of California | 262 | 13 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +1.1 | 100% | 15% | 4.7 | 5.7 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 9 | R +4.4 | R +1.1 | R +1.5 | 0.0 | |
37 | 37 | University of North Florida | 360 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.3 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.8 | 38% | 25% | 3.9 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 6 | D +3.9 | D +0.8 | D +1.4 | 4.0 | 0.05 |
38 | 38 | Yankelovich Partners Inc. | 390 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | 0.0 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +0.0 | 42% | 50% | 7.0 | 6.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 3 | R +1.2 | R +0.0 | R +1.3 | 4.7 | 0.0 |
39 | 39 | University of Florida | 349 | 1 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.0 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 50% | 0% | 1.1 | 4.6 | -3.4 | -1.0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | 1 | D +1.1 | D +0.0 | R +0.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
40 | 40 | Princeton Survey Research Associates International | 258 | 33 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.2 | 70% | 30% | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 31 | D +0.5 | D +0.2 | R +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.0 |
41 | 41 | Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Corp. | 104 | 34 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.2 | -0.4 | A/B° | R +0.4 | 72% | 12% | 3.9 | 5.0 | -0.9 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 28 | R +1.0 | R +0.4 | R +1.6 | 4.1 | 0.09 |
43 | 43 | NBC News/Wall Street Journal | 221 | 29 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.6 | -0.4 | A/B° | D +0.8 | 74% | 14% | 4.0 | 5.0 | -0.8 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.4 | 24 | D +1.7 | D +0.8 | D +1.3 | 2.9 | 0.53 |
44 | 44 | University of Illinois at Chicago | 352 | 1 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | 6.9 | -0.3 | A/B° | R +0.2 | 100% | 100% | 14.1 | 5.4 | 8.9 | 6.9 | 0.1 | -0.3 | 1 | R +14.1 | R +0.2 | R +5.1 | 0.0 | |
45 | 45 | University of Wisconsin (Badger Poll) | 365 | 6 | yes | yes* | Live* | no | -0.3 | -0.3 | A/B° | D +0.1 | 83% | 17% | 6.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | -0.3 | 0.0 | -0.3 | 5 | D +1.3 | D +0.1 | D +1.7 | 4.0 | 0.88 |
48 | 48 | Western New England University | 380 | 14 | yes | yes | Live | no | -1.1 | -0.3 | A/B° | R +1.2 | 89% | 29% | 5.5 | 6.2 | -0.5 | -1.1 | -0.4 | -0.3 | 13 | R +3.2 | R +1.2 | D +0.6 | 3.0 | 1.32 |
49 | 49 | Abt Associates | 7 | 8 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | -0.2 | A/B° | D +0.8 | 88% | 25% | 4.1 | 5.2 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 7 | D +3.8 | D +0.8 | D +0.7 | 4.0 | 0.49 |
50 | 50 | Georgetown University (Battleground) | 114 | 31 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.0 | -0.2 | A/B° | R +0.8 | 55% | 19% | 3.5 | 4.3 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 31 | R +1.9 | R +0.8 | R +2.0 | 3.4 | 0.27 |
53 | 53 | Market Shares Corp. | 187 | 26 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.1 | -0.2 | A/B° | R +1.2 | 85% | 31% | 6.8 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.2 | 22 | R +4.1 | R +1.2 | R +2.0 | 4.8 | 0.37 |
54 | 54 | Quinnipiac University | 267 | 204 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.1 | -0.2 | B+ | D +0.2 | 83% | 25% | 4.6 | 5.5 | -0.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | 152 | D +0.2 | D +0.2 | D +0.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
58 | 58 | CNN/Opinion Research Corp. | 37 | 98 | yes | yes | Live | no | -0.2 | -0.1 | B+ | D +0.1 | 72% | 24% | 5.4 | 6.0 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 70 | D +0.1 | D +0.1 | D +0.2 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
61 | 61 | Public Religion Research Institute | 428 | 1 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | -2.7 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +0.0 | 100% | 0% | 0.4 | 5.1 | -4.4 | -2.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 1 | D +0.4 | D +0.0 | D +1.6 | 2.0 | 1.23 |
63 | 63 | SSRS | 297 | 16 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.6 | -0.1 | A/B° | D +1.2 | 50% | 19% | 4.6 | 4.9 | -0.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 16 | D +2.8 | D +1.2 | D +2.8 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
68 | 68 | RT Strategies | 275 | 42 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.8 | 0.1 | B/C° | D +0.9 | 71% | 40% | 5.8 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 42 | D +1.9 | D +0.9 | D +3.5 | 8.9 | 0.0 |
82 | 82 | Rutgers University | 295 | 14 | yes | yes | Live | no | 1.7 | 0.1 | B/C° | R +0.0 | 86% | 14% | 5.7 | 5.7 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 14 | R +0.1 | R +0.0 | D +0.9 | 6.2 | 0.0 |
94 | 94 | Gallup | 112 | 80 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B | R +0.8 | 71% | 31% | 4.2 | 4.8 | -0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 66 | R +1.3 | R +0.8 | R +1.6 | 4.2 | 0.0 |
96 | 96 | Pew Research Center | 253 | 21 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.7 | 0.2 | B/C° | D +0.6 | 60% | 29% | 3.5 | 3.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 21 | D +1.5 | D +0.6 | D +0.9 | 3.5 | 0.0 |
100 | 100 | University of New Hampshire | 357 | 114 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B | D +2.9 | 85% | 26% | 5.9 | 6.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 98 | D +3.7 | D +2.9 | D +3.5 | 5.7 | 0.06 |
101 | 101 | Middle Tennessee State University | 208 | 6 | yes | yes | Live | no | 3.3 | 0.3 | B/C° | D +1.1 | 100% | 67% | 10.1 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 5 | D +6.5 | D +1.1 | R +2.8 | 5.0 | 0.12 |
106 | 106 | American Research Group | 9 | 263 | yes | yes | Live | no | 0.4 | 0.3 | B | R +0.2 | 75% | 40% | 7.5 | 7.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 79 | R +0.3 | R +0.2 | R +1.8 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
153 | 153 | Knowledge Networks | 164 | 3 | yes | no | Online | no | -0.6 | 0.4 | B/C° | R +0.3 | 100% | 33% | 4.1 | 4.5 | -0.2 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3 | R +4.1 | R +0.3 | R +0.3 | 3.2 | 0.08 |
173 | 173 | Franklin & Marshall College | 106 | 21 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 0.9 | 0.4 | B/C° | D +0.4 | 86% | 29% | 6.5 | 6.5 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 18 | D +0.9 | D +0.4 | D +2.0 | 5.5 | 0.15 |
203 | 203 | GfK Group | 115 | 21 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.1 | 0.5 | B/C° | D +0.2 | 88% | 19% | 3.9 | 5.0 | -0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 21 | D +0.6 | D +0.2 | D +1.2 | 4.2 | 0.44 |
234 | 234 | Ipsos | 154 | 66 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.3 | 0.5 | B- | D +0.2 | 71% | 23% | 4.5 | 4.8 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 60 | D +0.3 | D +0.2 | D +0.8 | 3.5 | 0.16 |
242 | 242 | Opinion Savvy/InsiderAdvantage | 243 | 118 | yes | no | IVR/Online | no | 0.4 | 0.6 | B- | D +1.2 | 70% | 42% | 7.4 | 7.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 42 | D +1.8 | D +1.2 | D +0.5 | 5.8 | 0.0 |
272 | 272 | PSB Research | 250 | 18 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.6 | B/C° | D +2.4 | 67% | 39% | 7.6 | 6.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 18 | D +6.7 | D +2.4 | D +0.4 | 1.0 | 0.15 |
299 | 299 | SoonerPoll.com | 308 | 20 | yes | partial | Online/Live | no | 1.6 | 0.8 | B/C° | D +2.1 | 80% | 45% | 8.6 | 6.0 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 16 | D +5.4 | D +2.1 | D +1.7 | 5.0 | 0.28 |
311 | 311 | Harris Insights & Analytics | 133 | 169 | yes | no | Online | no | 0.8 | 0.9 | C+ | R +1.3 | 83% | 49% | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 169 | R +1.5 | R +1.3 | D +0.7 | 4.0 | 0.0 |
356 | 356 | USC Dornsife/LA Times | 343 | 6 | yes | no | Online | no | 3.5 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.3 | 67% | 83% | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | D +1.2 | D +0.3 | D +1.1 | 9.0 | 0.0 |
367 | 367 | Roanoke College | 292 | 15 | yes | yes | Live | no | 4.2 | 1.2 | B/C° | D +0.5 | 77% | 60% | 8.9 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 12 | D +1.6 | D +0.5 | D +1.5 | 5.4 | 0.0 |
411 | 411 | Google Surveys | 122 | 24 | yes | no | Online | no | 2.8 | 1.6 | D+ | R +0.1 | 92% | 38% | 5.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 24 | R +0.2 | R +0.1 | R +0.7 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
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CREATE TABLE "pollster-ratings/2019/pollster-ratings" ( "Pollster" TEXT, "Pollster Rating ID" INTEGER, "# of Polls" INTEGER, "NCPP / AAPOR / Roper" TEXT, "Live Caller With Cellphones" TEXT, "Methodology" TEXT, "Banned by 538" TEXT, "Historical Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "538 Grade" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias" TEXT, "Races Called Correctly" TEXT, "Misses Outside MOE" TEXT, "Simple Average Error" REAL, "Simple Expected Error" REAL, "Simple Plus-Minus" REAL, "Advanced Plus-Minus" REAL, "Mean-Reverted Advanced Plus Minus" REAL, "Predictive Plus-Minus" REAL, "# of Polls for Bias Analysis" INTEGER, "Bias" TEXT, "Mean-Reverted Bias.1" TEXT, "House Effect" TEXT, "Average Distance from Polling Average (ADPA)" REAL, "Herding Penalty" REAL );