polls/pres_pollaverages_1968-2016

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files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv

Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette

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Link rowid ▼ cycle state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment election_date election_qdate last_qdate last_enddate _medpoly2 trend_medpoly2 _shortpoly0 trend_shortpoly0 sum_weight_medium sum_weight_short sum_influence sum_nat_influence _minpoints _defaultbasetime _numloops _state_houseeffects_weight _state_trendline_weight _out_of_state_house_discount _house_effects_multiplier _attenuate_endpoints _nonlinear_polynomial_degree _shortpoly_combpoly_weight _nat_shortpoly_combpoly_weight
1 1 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.11138 68.63747 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     70.111381 68.637474 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
2 2 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.63014 49.68174 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     51.630138 49.681736 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
3 3 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.0 41.02212 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     44.0 41.022121 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
4 4 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.9515 43.51193 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     45.951502 43.511929 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6910744 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
5 5 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.54603 44.68674 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.394218 46.558936 46.376394 44.312304 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.9420227 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
6 6 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.98361 49.4803 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     49.983612 49.480297 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.194635 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
7 7 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.70271 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     27.500001 25.702706 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
8 8 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.1852 41.14408 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.198731 41.433503 43.182495 41.086191 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
9 9 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.45541 49.83593 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     50.455414 49.83593 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2615218 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
10 10 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.922 38.48544 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.488217 38.344093 39.008763 38.513705 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 3.134945 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
11 11 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.25981 38.38002 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     40.259812 38.380024 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
12 12 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.84407 52.12106 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     55.844066 52.121059 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
13 13 2016 National 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.9214 42.44001 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 42.447379 42.386132 43.395429 42.493883 54.51669 62.48756 8.461908 8.461908 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
14 14 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28437 41.72754 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.284366 41.727535 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
15 15 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.26325 39.64256 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.440873 39.552022 41.427723 39.660664 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.8122557 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
16 16 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.23107 37.87658 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     38.231072 37.876576 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8616768 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
17 17 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.19905 34.54594 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     35.199056 34.545939 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.175688 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
18 18 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.26028 43.30642 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.419103 42.84673 44.428513 43.398352 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.608383 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
19 19 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.62766 43.08505 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     43.627659 43.085048 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 1.015099 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
20 20 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.75623 42.34789 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     42.756226 42.347888 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.186391 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
21 21 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28437 42.67881 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.284366 42.67881 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
22 22 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.98365 46.2808 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     46.983646 46.280804 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.126718 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
23 23 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.2043 34.74948 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015     37.204296 34.749477 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
24 24 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.47325 35.77851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.289689 36.495688 37.509958 35.635076 2.093773 2.093773 1.360229 0.3894523 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
25 25 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61.0 60.41967 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     61.0 60.419666 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3523191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
26 26 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.85077 38.14385 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.553864 38.729296 39.910153 38.026762 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.574262 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
27 27 2016 Alabama 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.67097 32.84491 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     32.670974 32.844913 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
28 28 2016 Alaska 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.82401 45.08152 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     44.824013 45.081524 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
29 29 2016 Arizona 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0 40.0138 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     42.0 40.013798 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
30 30 2016 Colorado 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.03014 41.31678 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     42.030141 41.31678 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6910744 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
31 31 2016 Florida 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.90705 44.34629 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.525869 44.386938 44.983282 44.338154 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.9420227 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
32 32 2016 Georgia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.02863 40.96251 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     41.028633 40.962509 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.194635 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
33 33 2016 Illinois 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.77266 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     36.5 36.772659 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
34 34 2016 Iowa 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.31864 45.08527 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.157377 45.484846 45.350893 45.005355 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
35 35 2016 Kansas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.2351 37.17752 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     37.235096 37.17752 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2615218 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
36 36 2016 Michigan 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.94632 48.92916 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.331258 50.332246 48.669327 48.648538 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 3.134945 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
37 37 2016 Minnesota 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.72152 43.61113 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     43.721515 43.611126 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
38 38 2016 Montana 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.16828 29.85276 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     31.168275 29.852756 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
39 39 2016 National 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.38879 47.13026 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016 47.482154 47.201392 47.295415 47.05913 54.51669 62.48756 8.461908 8.461908 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
40 40 2016 Nevada 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14902 40.59892 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     42.149017 40.598915 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
41 41 2016 New Hampshire 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.90771 46.53025 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.213225 45.880746 47.046604 46.660153 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.8122557 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
42 42 2016 New Jersey 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.72868 52.72894 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     52.728676 52.728939 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8616768 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
43 43 2016 New York 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.71964 57.55657 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     57.719635 57.556568 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.175688 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
44 44 2016 North Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.42224 44.09425 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.725157 44.543866 44.36166 44.004333 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.608383 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
45 45 2016 Ohio 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.64627 40.60757 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     40.646266 40.607575 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 1.015099 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
46 46 2016 Pennsylvania 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.8965 44.84734 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     44.896504 44.847338 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.186391 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
47 47 2016 South Carolina 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14902 40.84846 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     42.149017 40.848465 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
48 48 2016 Texas 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.02897 43.90934 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     44.028969 43.90934 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.126718 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
49 49 2016 Utah 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 29.14013 27.61069 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015     29.140133 27.610689 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
50 50 2016 Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 49.96832 49.54266 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 49.507496 49.525675 50.060484 49.546062 2.093773 2.093773 1.360229 0.3894523 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
51 51 2016 West Virginia 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 24.0 23.9663 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     24.0 23.966297 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3523191 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
52 52 2016 Wisconsin 3/3/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.39363 48.03135 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 48.30381 48.332798 48.4116 47.971063 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.574262 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
53 53 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 70.11154 68.40449 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     70.111542 68.404487 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
54 54 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 51.63032 49.37394 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     51.630321 49.37394 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
55 55 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.0 40.66024 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     44.0 40.660237 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
56 56 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.95164 43.24126 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     45.951637 43.241263 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6554546 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
57 57 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.5463 44.43505 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 47.394664 46.396706 46.376631 44.042716 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.8833147 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
58 58 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 49.98364 49.31447 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     49.983639 49.314472 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.111682 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
59 59 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 27.5 25.41646 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     27.500001 25.416458 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
60 60 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.18541 40.8683 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 43.199 41.168692 43.182685 40.808225 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
61 61 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 50.45487 49.63258 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     50.454872 49.632584 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2433623 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
62 62 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.92212 38.40537 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 38.488363 38.310459 39.008876 38.424355 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 2.980875 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
63 63 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 40.25999 38.08333 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     40.259991 38.083329 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
64 64 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.0 43.0 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016     43.0 43.0 0.9642869 0.9642869 0.9642869 1.054401 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
65 65 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 55.84353 51.83164 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     55.843529 51.831638 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
66 66 2016 National 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.70839 42.10922 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 42.11465 42.017289 43.302122 42.201158 54.63187 62.68411 8.040898 8.040898 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
67 67 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28382 41.3851 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.283825 41.385101 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
68 68 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 41.26338 39.39946 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 40.440922 39.365505 41.427875 39.406255 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.7575725 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
69 69 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 38.23125 37.75459 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     38.231251 37.754585 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8121591 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
70 70 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 35.19923 34.38905 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     35.199228 34.389046 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.117634 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
71 71 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 44.26038 43.10411 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 43.419157 42.671132 44.428623 43.190709 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.384402 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
72 72 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 43.6278 42.89187 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     43.627797 42.891867 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 0.8983319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
73 73 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 42.75599 42.27952 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     42.755987 42.27952 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.116324 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
74 74 2016 South Carolina 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.28382 42.40171 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     46.283825 42.40171 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.7809128 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
75 75 2016 Texas 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 46.98368 46.0857 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     46.983677 46.085705 1.799316 1.799316 1.799316 1.042643 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
76 76 2016 Utah 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.20378 34.41109 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 34 12/14/2015     37.203777 34.411095 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.5865651 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
77 77 2016 Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 37.47329 35.54412 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/22/2016 37.289676 36.284801 37.510015 35.395985 2.093773 2.093773 1.360229 0.3552939 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
78 78 2016 West Virginia 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 61.0 60.2645 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 107 2/22/2016     61.0 60.264496 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.5626372 0.3260293 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
79 79 2016 Wisconsin 3/4/2016 Donald Trump 9849 39.85095 37.91355 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 105 2/21/2016 39.554044 38.515243 39.910333 37.793211 3.306806 3.306806 2.057189 0.5238943 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
80 80 2016 Alabama 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 32.67096 32.79052 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 66 1/12/2016     32.670963 32.790516 1.293506 1.293506 1.293506 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
81 81 2016 Alaska 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.824 45.01081 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/12/2016     44.823998 45.010807 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.8274046 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
82 82 2016 Arizona 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0 39.93046 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 30 12/9/2015     42.0 39.930462 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.8299773 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
83 83 2016 Colorado 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.0302 41.22924 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 113 2/29/2016     42.030203 41.229235 2.209496 2.209496 1.012831 0.6554546 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
84 84 2016 Florida 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.90715 44.27904 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 110 2/25/2016 44.526097 44.330322 44.98336 44.268787 4.328866 4.328866 2.770836 0.8833147 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
85 85 2016 Georgia 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 41.0287 40.92185 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/23/2016     41.028702 40.921852 1.775305 1.775305 1.775305 1.111682 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
86 86 2016 Illinois 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 36.5 36.69793 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/9/2016     36.5 36.697929 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.7289574 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
87 87 2016 Iowa 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 45.31878 45.02062 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 63 1/10/2016 45.1575 45.422782 45.351038 44.940184 5.338463 5.338463 4.136615 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
88 88 2016 Kansas 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 37.23573 37.12932 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 108 2/26/2016     37.235733 37.129322 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.3886382 0.2433623 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
89 89 2016 Michigan 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 48.94638 48.90551 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/3/2016 50.331338 50.319011 48.669388 48.622803 4.180455 4.180455 3.278449 2.980875 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
90 90 2016 Minnesota 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 43.7215 43.54032 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 73 1/20/2016     43.7215 43.540321 1.084677 1.084677 1.084677 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
91 91 2016 Missouri 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 38.0 38.0 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 118 3/4/2016     38.0 38.0 0.9642869 0.9642869 0.9642869 1.054401 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
92 92 2016 Montana 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 31.16888 29.79341 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 13 11/23/2015     31.16888 29.793411 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.4694052 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
93 93 2016 National 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 47.35847 47.07659 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/4/2016 47.433959 47.153644 47.282974 46.999542 54.63187 62.68411 8.040898 8.040898 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
94 94 2016 Nevada 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 42.14941 40.5206 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 6 11/16/2015     42.14941 40.520599 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.7816904 0.0 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
95 95 2016 New Hampshire 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 46.90776 46.47194 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 109 2/28/2016 46.213192 45.832988 47.046674 46.599728 9.321606 9.321606 3.470526 0.7575725 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
96 96 2016 New Jersey 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 52.72866 52.68113 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 111 2/28/2016     52.728664 52.681129 1.059748 1.059748 1.059748 0.8121591 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
97 97 2016 New York 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 57.71962 57.5613 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 115 3/3/2016     57.71962 57.561301 2.292912 2.393991 1.376205 1.117634 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
98 98 2016 North Carolina 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.42231 44.04568 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 102 2/19/2016 44.725193 44.500827 44.36173 43.954653 7.017797 7.017797 5.563706 1.384402 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
99 99 2016 Ohio 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 40.64633 40.55891 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 103 2/20/2016     40.646326 40.558912 2.498985 2.498985 2.428324 0.8983319 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
100 100 2016 Pennsylvania 3/4/2016 Hillary Rodham Clinton 9207 44.89671 44.83169 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 116 3/2/2016     44.896714 44.831687 1.499532 1.499532 1.172013 1.116324 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5

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CREATE TABLE "polls/pres_pollaverages_1968-2016" (
"cycle" INTEGER,
  "state" TEXT,
  "modeldate" TEXT,
  "candidate_name" TEXT,
  "candidate_id" INTEGER,
  "pct_estimate" REAL,
  "pct_trend_adjusted" REAL,
  "timestamp" TEXT,
  "comment" TEXT,
  "election_date" TEXT,
  "election_qdate" INTEGER,
  "last_qdate" INTEGER,
  "last_enddate" TEXT,
  "_medpoly2" REAL,
  "trend_medpoly2" REAL,
  "_shortpoly0" REAL,
  "trend_shortpoly0" REAL,
  "sum_weight_medium" REAL,
  "sum_weight_short" REAL,
  "sum_influence" REAL,
  "sum_nat_influence" REAL,
  "_minpoints" INTEGER,
  "_defaultbasetime" INTEGER,
  "_numloops" INTEGER,
  "_state_houseeffects_weight" REAL,
  "_state_trendline_weight" REAL,
  "_out_of_state_house_discount" REAL,
  "_house_effects_multiplier" INTEGER,
  "_attenuate_endpoints" TEXT,
  "_nonlinear_polynomial_degree" INTEGER,
  "_shortpoly_combpoly_weight" REAL,
  "_nat_shortpoly_combpoly_weight" REAL
);