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polls/pres_pollaverages_1968-2016: 165


files: - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_primary_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/senate_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/house_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/governor_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/president_approval_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls-page/data/generic_ballot_polls_historical.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-data/pres_primary_avgs_2020.csv - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-general-data/presidential_poll_averages_2020.csv


Polls

Current polls files contain data since the most recent election. Historical files contain data prior to the most recent election.

  • Presidential Primary Polls: current, historical
  • Presidential General Election Polls: current, historical
  • Senate Polls: current, historical
  • House Polls: current, historical
  • Governor Polls: current, historical
  • Presidential Approval Polls*: current, historical
  • Vice Presidential Approval Polls**: current
  • Generic Ballot Polls: current, historical
  • Favorability Polls***: current

*Historical approval polls prior to the Trump presidency are not available, however The Roper Center maintains a collection of historical approval polls.

**Historical vice presidential approval polls prior to the Biden presidency are not available.

***At this time, we are tracking only post-2020 Trump favorability. Favorability polls prior to this time are not available.

Polling Averages

  • Presidential Primary Polling Averages (2020)
  • Presidential Primary Polling Averages (1980-2016)
  • Presidential General Election Polling Averages (2020)
  • Presidential General Election Polling Averages (1968-2016)

Please see What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different for more information about the methodology used to calculate polling averages. For more information about the general election polling averages, please see Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally .

Data source: https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/data/blob/master/polls/pres_pollaverages_1968-2016.csv

This data as json, copyable

rowid cycle state modeldate candidate_name candidate_id pct_estimate pct_trend_adjusted timestamp comment election_date election_qdate last_qdate last_enddate _medpoly2 trend_medpoly2 _shortpoly0 trend_shortpoly0 sum_weight_medium sum_weight_short sum_influence sum_nat_influence _minpoints _defaultbasetime _numloops _state_houseeffects_weight _state_trendline_weight _out_of_state_house_discount _house_effects_multiplier _attenuate_endpoints _nonlinear_polynomial_degree _shortpoly_combpoly_weight _nat_shortpoly_combpoly_weight
165 2016 Florida 3/6/2016 Donald Trump 9849 45.61213 44.72843 18:51:39 14 Jun 2020 full archive 1968-2016 11/8/2016 448 119 3/6/2016 45.701171 45.369262 45.59432 44.600264 7.738587 7.738587 4.927843 4.119669 5 20 5 0.5 0.5 0.02 1 yes 2 0.8 0.5
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