NCAA Bracket: historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results.csv
Data license: CC Attribution 4.0 License · Data source: fivethirtyeight/data on GitHub · About: simonw/fivethirtyeight-datasette
253 rows sorted by favorite
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Suggested facets: year, round, favorite_win_flag
Link | rowid | year | round | favorite ▼ | underdog | favorite_probability | favorite_win_flag |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | 19 | 2012 | 2 | Alabama | Creighton | 0.526 | 0 |
13 | 13 | 2014 | 1 | Albany | Mount St. Mary's | 0.523 | 1 |
6 | 6 | 2011 | 5 | Arizona | Connecticut | 0.514 | 0 |
107 | 107 | 2011 | 2 | Arizona | Memphis | 0.668 | 1 |
139 | 139 | 2013 | 2 | Arizona | Belmont | 0.717 | 1 |
144 | 144 | 2014 | 3 | Arizona | Gonzaga | 0.727 | 1 |
193 | 193 | 2013 | 3 | Arizona | Harvard | 0.853 | 1 |
244 | 244 | 2014 | 2 | Arizona | Weber State | 0.978 | 1 |
108 | 108 | 2012 | 4 | Baylor | Xavier | 0.669 | 1 |
125 | 125 | 2014 | 2 | Baylor | Nebraska | 0.703 | 1 |
162 | 162 | 2012 | 3 | Baylor | Colorado | 0.771 | 0 |
173 | 173 | 2012 | 2 | Baylor | South Dakota State | 0.792 | 1 |
40 | 40 | 2011 | 3 | Brigham Young | Gonzaga | 0.559 | 1 |
196 | 196 | 2011 | 2 | Brigham Young | Wofford | 0.856 | 1 |
24 | 24 | 2011 | 6 | Butler | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.534 | 1 |
42 | 42 | 2011 | 2 | Butler | Old Dominion | 0.562 | 1 |
81 | 81 | 2013 | 2 | Butler | Bucknell | 0.627 | 1 |
36 | 36 | 2014 | 1 | Cal Poly | Texas Southern | 0.556 | 1 |
49 | 49 | 2012 | 1 | California | South Florida | 0.577 | 0 |
4 | 4 | 2011 | 2 | Cincinnati | Missouri | 0.509 | 1 |
5 | 5 | 2012 | 3 | Cincinnati | Florida State | 0.509 | 1 |
52 | 52 | 2014 | 2 | Cincinnati | Harvard | 0.58 | 0 |
67 | 67 | 2012 | 2 | Cincinnati | Texas | 0.604 | 1 |
69 | 69 | 2011 | 1 | Clemson | UAB | 0.605 | 1 |
50 | 50 | 2012 | 2 | Connecticut | Iowa State | 0.578 | 0 |
83 | 83 | 2011 | 7 | Connecticut | Butler | 0.628 | 1 |
91 | 91 | 2011 | 3 | Connecticut | Cincinnati | 0.638 | 1 |
113 | 113 | 2014 | 2 | Connecticut | St. Joseph's | 0.673 | 1 |
182 | 182 | 2011 | 2 | Connecticut | Bucknell | 0.814 | 1 |
29 | 29 | 2014 | 3 | Creighton | Baylor | 0.544 | 0 |
55 | 55 | 2013 | 2 | Creighton | Cincinnati | 0.585 | 1 |
206 | 206 | 2014 | 2 | Creighton | Louisiana-Lafayette | 0.883 | 1 |
28 | 28 | 2013 | 4 | Duke | Michigan State | 0.543 | 1 |
134 | 134 | 2013 | 3 | Duke | Creighton | 0.711 | 1 |
176 | 176 | 2011 | 4 | Duke | Arizona | 0.8 | 0 |
209 | 209 | 2012 | 2 | Duke | Lehigh | 0.896 | 0 |
222 | 222 | 2011 | 3 | Duke | Michigan | 0.925 | 1 |
224 | 224 | 2014 | 2 | Duke | Mercer | 0.929 | 0 |
231 | 231 | 2013 | 2 | Duke | Albany | 0.946 | 1 |
252 | 252 | 2011 | 2 | Duke | Hampton | 0.995 | 1 |
15 | 15 | 2012 | 4 | Florida | Marquette | 0.525 | 1 |
33 | 33 | 2012 | 5 | Florida | Louisville | 0.552 | 0 |
60 | 60 | 2011 | 4 | Florida | Brigham Young | 0.596 | 1 |
87 | 87 | 2013 | 5 | Florida | Michigan | 0.637 | 0 |
93 | 93 | 2012 | 2 | Florida | Virgina | 0.641 | 1 |
117 | 117 | 2011 | 5 | Florida | Butler | 0.68 | 0 |
157 | 157 | 2014 | 3 | Florida | Pittsburgh | 0.762 | 1 |
180 | 180 | 2013 | 3 | Florida | Minnesota | 0.813 | 1 |
185 | 185 | 2011 | 3 | Florida | UCLA | 0.822 | 1 |
219 | 219 | 2012 | 3 | Florida | Norfolk State | 0.921 | 1 |
230 | 230 | 2013 | 4 | Florida | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.942 | 1 |
235 | 235 | 2013 | 2 | Florida | Northwestern State | 0.948 | 1 |
237 | 237 | 2011 | 2 | Florida | UC-Santa Barbara | 0.95 | 1 |
248 | 248 | 2014 | 2 | Florida | Albany | 0.988 | 1 |
22 | 22 | 2011 | 2 | Florida State | Texas A&M | 0.531 | 1 |
75 | 75 | 2011 | 4 | Florida State | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.619 | 0 |
204 | 204 | 2012 | 2 | Florida State | St. Bonaventure | 0.882 | 1 |
35 | 35 | 2012 | 2 | Georgetown | Belmont | 0.553 | 1 |
86 | 86 | 2012 | 3 | Georgetown | North Carolina State | 0.636 | 0 |
129 | 129 | 2011 | 2 | Georgetown | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.706 | 0 |
212 | 212 | 2013 | 2 | Georgetown | Florida Gulf Coast | 0.897 | 0 |
105 | 105 | 2011 | 2 | Gonzaga | St. John's | 0.664 | 1 |
149 | 149 | 2013 | 3 | Gonzaga | Wichita State | 0.747 | 0 |
245 | 245 | 2013 | 2 | Gonzaga | Southern University | 0.982 | 1 |
2 | 2 | 2013 | 2 | Illinois | Colorado | 0.504 | 1 |
58 | 58 | 2011 | 2 | Illinois | UNLV | 0.586 | 1 |
48 | 48 | 2013 | 4 | Indiana | Syracuse | 0.571 | 0 |
131 | 131 | 2012 | 3 | Indiana | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.709 | 1 |
135 | 135 | 2012 | 2 | Indiana | New Mexico State | 0.713 | 1 |
218 | 218 | 2013 | 3 | Indiana | Temple | 0.919 | 1 |
247 | 247 | 2013 | 2 | Indiana | James Madison | 0.983 | 1 |
14 | 14 | 2012 | 1 | Iona | Brigham Young | 0.525 | 0 |
37 | 37 | 2014 | 3 | Iowa State | North Carolina | 0.557 | 1 |
179 | 179 | 2014 | 2 | Iowa State | North Carolina Central | 0.812 | 1 |
3 | 3 | 2013 | 1 | James Madison | Long Island | 0.506 | 1 |
30 | 30 | 2013 | 4 | Kansas | Michigan | 0.548 | 0 |
159 | 159 | 2011 | 3 | Kansas | Illinois | 0.765 | 1 |
166 | 166 | 2013 | 3 | Kansas | North Carolina | 0.778 | 1 |
169 | 169 | 2012 | 3 | Kansas | Purdue | 0.786 | 1 |
171 | 171 | 2014 | 3 | Kansas | Stanford | 0.787 | 0 |
184 | 184 | 2012 | 4 | Kansas | North Carolina State | 0.819 | 1 |
192 | 192 | 2011 | 4 | Kansas | Richmond | 0.852 | 1 |
199 | 199 | 2011 | 5 | Kansas | Virginia Commonwealth | 0.873 | 0 |
221 | 221 | 2014 | 2 | Kansas | Eastern Kentucky | 0.924 | 1 |
232 | 232 | 2012 | 2 | Kansas | Detroit | 0.946 | 1 |
246 | 246 | 2013 | 2 | Kansas | Western Kentucky | 0.982 | 1 |
249 | 249 | 2011 | 2 | Kansas | Boston University | 0.99 | 1 |
47 | 47 | 2011 | 2 | Kansas State | Utah State | 0.571 | 1 |
102 | 102 | 2012 | 2 | Kansas State | Southern Miss | 0.658 | 1 |
167 | 167 | 2013 | 2 | Kansas State | La Salle | 0.782 | 0 |
27 | 27 | 2011 | 6 | Kentucky | Connecticut | 0.538 | 0 |
70 | 70 | 2011 | 3 | Kentucky | West Virginia | 0.606 | 1 |
92 | 92 | 2012 | 7 | Kentucky | Kansas | 0.641 | 1 |
145 | 145 | 2014 | 2 | Kentucky | Kansas State | 0.739 | 1 |
147 | 147 | 2012 | 6 | Kentucky | Louisville | 0.744 | 1 |
161 | 161 | 2012 | 5 | Kentucky | Baylor | 0.769 | 1 |
175 | 175 | 2012 | 4 | Kentucky | Indiana | 0.795 | 1 |
203 | 203 | 2011 | 2 | Kentucky | Princeton | 0.882 | 1 |
208 | 208 | 2012 | 3 | Kentucky | Iowa State | 0.895 | 1 |
250 | 250 | 2012 | 2 | Kentucky | Western Kentucky | 0.991 | 1 |
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CREATE TABLE "historical-ncaa-forecasts/historical-538-ncaa-tournament-model-results" ( "year" INTEGER, "round" INTEGER, "favorite" TEXT, "underdog" TEXT, "favorite_probability" REAL, "favorite_win_flag" INTEGER );